[EM] (27) APR: Steve's 27th dialogue on NUTS with Richard Fobes
Date: Wed, 17 Feb 2016 23:48:29 -0800
Subject: Re: [EM] (26) APR: Steve's 26th dialogue with Richard Fobes
To
Richard:
S:
I am perplexed by your “definition” of a “nut” (copied below). It seems simply to refer to anyone who has
ideas that are currently unpopular. If being in a minority by definition makes
you “nuts”, how are you or I to escape, if at all, from this label? After all, each of us currently is in a
slightly different minority in the USA by favoring VoteFair and APR
respectively.
The
implications of your definition makes me think that we should save our more
detailed comparisons of APR and Votefair for our next or later dialogue. I need you to clarify your definition. You seem to believe than any minority views are
“nuts”. You see an electoral system’s denial
of political influence to these people as an unfairness of little importance: “failure for a nut to be represented anywhere
within that 49% is not an unfairness worth worrying about”. This seeming political contempt for many of
your fellow citizens seems to cast into doubt whether you even belief in “democracy”. If so, why are you promoting VoteFair, a
system that enables all citizens to record all of their preferences with regard
to all of the available candidates? What
happened to toleration, equality, and the democratic belief that each person (given
the freedoms of speech, press, and association) has the potential to learn and
work together for the common good?
Finally,
given that you seem also to believe that political parties are more reliable
than their individual candidates, why do you not currently prefer
closed-list-party PR for electingf your legislative assembly?
[….]
R: > In summary, the biggest weakness of the
APR method occurs at the last
step in which each voter can give his or her "weighted" support
to any
one of the elected representatives, even if that representative is not
in the voter's favorite political party.
A key part of the reason for this weakness is that a voter can easily
get lots of information about political parties
("associations"), but
voters never(!) get sufficient information about what a candidate will
or won't do after getting elected.
As a result, voters are capable of making reasonably wise decisions
about choosing a political party, but voters find it challenging to
anticipate what a candidate will do after the election, so most voters
are easily influenced by personalities rather than positions (and
because the positions are unknown).
The candidates who do well in elections are the ones who talk in ways
that are boastful, act in ways that appear to be decisive, hide their
fears, avoid being specific about how they believe a problem can be
solved (if they have any even if they have preconceived solutions in
mind), etc.
The result is that crazy-talking megalomaniacs -- such as two of the
Republican presidential candidates in the current US election -- attract
lots of support in spite of being clueless about how to solve the huge
problems they will face if they are elected.
Because of the multiple reasons explained above, only a small minority
of voters would be able to identify a candidate who "fully represents"
them. The remaining voters would not be "fully represented" by
any of
the elected representatives.
[….]
In the case of a very mainstream voter who prefers the most popular
political party, almost all of his or her tokens would be used toward
electing the first representative. The few remaining tokens would be
used to influence the choice of the second representative.
[….]
R: > You asked me for a definition of a "nut." In my opinion, a
voter who is
a nut has to be defined through counting and mathematics. By contrast,
a carefully worded definition would not be meaningful.
If you want a mathematical definition of a nut,
S: I did not ask for “a mathematical definition
of a nut”, nor do I think such a definition is meaningful.
R:
… then the best I can do
is point to VoteFair ranking. When all the different components of
VoteFair ranking are used together, the only voters who are
unrepresented are the ones who have preferences that are not shared by
hardly any other voters. Many, although not all, the voters in this
category are likely to be nuts, at least from the perspective of
calculating election results.
In other words, VoteFair ranking does not attempt to get "nuts"
fully
represented. Specifically, a voter who is a "nut" would end up
holding
some of their tokens, after having given only a few of their tokens to
help elect their district's first representative, and a few more tokens
to help elect their district's second representative, and possibly a
couple more tokens to help determine which candidates win one or two
statewide seats.
As a clarification, a voter who is a "nut" might get full
representation
(except for "round-off errors") in terms of helping to determine
how
many seats are won by each political party, provided their favorite
party is popular enough to win at least one seat.
One of the reasons I do not claim that VoteFair ranking "fully
represents every voter" is that "nuts" do not need to be
represented in
order for election results to be fair.
Remember that the voting process currently used in nearly every
legislature ignores(!) preferences of (up to) 49% of the elected
representatives, so a failure for a nut to be represented anywhere
within that 49% is not an unfairness worth worrying about.
[….]
Steve, three months ago you asked for a clearer definition of a "nut."
I have not come up with any new way to clarify what I previously tried
to explain. So, I'm removing your question(s) (below) from my inbox.
If I should find time to do any writing about election-method reform,
I'll use that time to write an article about what's going on in the U.S.
Presidential elections -- which itself might later yield an interesting
example on the topic of "nuts."
This would be a great time to write about the link between single-mark
ballots and the crazy Presidential primary results, and the need for
better ballots and better vote-counting methods, but alas I'm too busy
writing code for a new website.
(I'm not ready to reveal what the website is about, but I can say that
I'm writing the code in the Dashrep language, which is a programming
language I created, and which is documented at: Dashrep.org)
Richard Fobes
On 2/19/2016 11:47 AM, steve bosworth wrote:
[EM] (27) APR: Steve's 27th dialogue on NUTS with Richard Fobes
Date: Wed, 17 Feb 2016 23:48:29 -0800
From: ElectionMethods@VoteFair.org
To: election-methods@lists.electorama.com
CC: stevebosworth@hotmail.com
Subject: Re: [EM] (26) APR: Steve's 26th dialogue with Richard Fobes
To Richard:
S: I am perplexed by your “definition” of a “nut” (copied below).It
seems simply to refer to anyone who has ideas that are currently
unpopular. If being in a minority by definition makes you “nuts”, how
are you or I to escape, if at all, from this label?After all, each of us
currently is in a slightly different minority in the USA by favoring
VoteFair and APR respectively.
The implications of your definition makes me think that we should save
our more detailed comparisons of APR and Votefair for our next or later
dialogue.I need you to clarify your definition.You seem to believe than
any minority views are “nuts”.You see an electoral system’s denial of
political influence to these people as an unfairness of little
importance:“failure for a nut to be represented anywhere within that 49%
is not an unfairness worth worrying about”.This seeming political
contempt for many of your fellow citizens seems to cast into doubt
whether you even belief in “democracy”.If so, why are you promoting
VoteFair, a system that enables all citizens to record all of their
preferences with regard to all of the available candidates?What happened
to toleration, equality, and the democratic belief that each person
(given the freedoms of speech, press, and association) has the potential
to learn and work together for the common good?
Finally, given that you seem also to believe that political parties are
more reliable than their individual candidates, why do you not currently
prefer closed-list-party PR for electingf your legislative assembly?
[….]
R:> In summary, the biggest weakness of the APR method occurs at the last
step in which each voter can give his or her "weighted" support to any
one of the elected representatives, even if that representative is not
in the voter's favorite political party.
A key part of the reason for this weakness is that a voter can easily
get lots of information about political parties ("associations"), but
voters never(!) get sufficient information about what a candidate will
or won't do after getting elected.
As a result, voters are capable of making reasonably wise decisions
about choosing a political party, but voters find it challenging to
anticipate what a candidate will do after the election, so most voters
are easily influenced by personalities rather than positions (and
because the positions are unknown).
The candidates who do well in elections are the ones who talk in ways
that are boastful, act in ways that appear to be decisive, hide their
fears, avoid being specific about how they believe a problem can be
solved (if they have any even if they have preconceived solutions in
mind), etc.
The result is that crazy-talking megalomaniacs -- such as two of the
Republican presidential candidates in the current US election -- attract
lots of support in spite of being clueless about how to solve the huge
problems they will face if they are elected.
Because of the multiple reasons explained above, only a small minority
of voters would be able to identify a candidate who "fully represents"
them. The remaining voters would not be "fully represented" by any of
the elected representatives.
[….]
In the case of a very mainstream voter who prefers the most popular
political party, almost all of his or her tokens would be used toward
electing the first representative. The few remaining tokens would be
used to influence the choice of the second representative.
[….]
R: > You asked me for a definition of a "nut." In my opinion, a voter
who is
a nut has to be defined through counting and mathematics. By contrast,
a carefully worded definition would not be meaningful.
If you want a mathematical definition of a nut,
S:I did not ask for “a mathematical definition of a nut”, nor do I think
such a definition is meaningful.
R: >… then the best I can do
is point to VoteFair ranking. When all the different components of
VoteFair ranking are used together, the only voters who are
unrepresented are the ones who have preferences that are not shared by
hardly any other voters. Many, although not all, the voters in this
category are likely to be nuts, at least from the perspective of
calculating election results.
In other words, VoteFair ranking does not attempt to get "nuts" fully
represented. Specifically, a voter who is a "nut" would end up holding
some of their tokens, after having given only a few of their tokens to
help elect their district's first representative, and a few more tokens
to help elect their district's second representative, and possibly a
couple more tokens to help determine which candidates win one or two
statewide seats.
As a clarification, a voter who is a "nut" might get full representation
(except for "round-off errors") in terms of helping to determine how
many seats are won by each political party, provided their favorite
party is popular enough to win at least one seat.
One of the reasons I do not claim that VoteFair ranking "fully
represents every voter" is that "nuts" do not need to be represented in
order for election results to be fair.
Remember that the voting process currently used in nearly every
legislature ignores(!) preferences of (up to) 49% of the elected
representatives, so a failure for a nut to be represented anywhere
within that 49% is not an unfairness worth worrying about.
[….]