On 07/13/2016 07:47 AM, steve bosworth wrote:
K: As for the MAM example, it seems that F wins in MAM as well.
S: Yes, F does win with MAM. I clearly made a mistake when counting.
However, I believe the following new profile does illustrate the point I
was trying to make (see below). This is that MAM (or any Condorcet
method) is less efficient than IRV in discovering the winner with the
highest available average intensity of majority support. This is
because MAM does not count the different intensities of preference as
illustrated by the following calculations: If each of the ordinal
preferences within this profile receive a score out of 10, 10 being
given to each 1^st choice, F receives an average intensity of support of
9.1 from the majority of 70 that elects her, or 8.47 from all 100 voters.
This contrasts with N who is elected both by MAM and Majority Judgment
(MJ). N’s average intensity of support from all 100voters is 7.51.
More exactly MJ elects N because she has received the highest
‘majority-grade’ of GOOD (i.e. perhaps this corresponds to a score of 8).
[snip]
PROFILE: A BETER EXAMPLE:
100 CITIZENS RANK CANDIDATES EFGKMNP AS FOLLOWS:
I've restated that example into the standard ranked ballot format:
49: F>P>K>N
30: M>E>N>F
21: G>K>N>F
And Eric Gorr's MAM implementation http://www.ericgorr.net/condorcet/
says that F wins under MAM ("Ranked Pairs (Deterministic #1-Winning
Votes)") as well[1].
According to LeGrand's voting calculator,
http://www.cs.wustl.edu/~legrand/rbvote/calc.html
the only methods (among those implemented there) that make N win are
Copeland (with random tiebreak), Raynaud (ditto), and Small. Note that
LeGrand's calculator uses margins, so the defeats matrix will look
different.
I haven't checked your majority figures yet as I'm not feeling all that
well today. I haven't checked your MJ result either; but a very quick
and dirty Bucklin count seems to support that N would win under MJ.
I would also like to again mention that one can construct examples where
IRV does worse by your intensity calculations. I gave one such example
in a previous post, and here's another from
http://rangevoting.org/CoreSuppPocket.html:
35:A>C>D>B
17:B>C>D>A
32:C>D>B>A
16:D>B>C>A
IRV elects B. MAM elects C. Say first preferences are 10 points, second
is 9, third is 8, and fourth is 7, then
B has an intensity of
(35 * 7 + 17 * 10 + 32 * 8 + 16 * 9) / 100 = 8.15
while C has an intensity of
(35 * 9 + 17 * 9 + 32 * 10 + 16 * 8) / 100 = 9.16.
Come to think of it, any center squeeze example would do. Here's LCR:
48: L>C>R
32: R>C>L
20: C>R>L
IRV elects R while every Condorcet method (and Bucklin/MJ) elects C.
C's intensity is: (9 * 48 + 9 * 32 + 10 * 20)/100 = 9.2
R's intensity is: (8 * 48 + 10 * 32 + 9 * 20)/100 = 8.84.
[1] It's not strictly speaking MAM because MAM handles ties among
majorities differently, but I don't think breaking ties differently
would make N win.