MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Jul 15, 2024 3:37 AM
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods
should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually
using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you
use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As
others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that
allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be
seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say
that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours
after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods
should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually
using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you
use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As
others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that
allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be
seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say
that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours
after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
MG
Michael Garman
Mon, Jul 15, 2024 3:40 AM
Much as I loathe them, it seems ridiculous to do a poll and omit the
Republican party.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 11:38 PM Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
info
Much as I loathe them, it seems ridiculous to do a poll and omit the
Republican party.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 11:38 PM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
> methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
> parties.
>
> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
> until you use them.
>
> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>
> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
> As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
> that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
> collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
>
> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
> explicit-approval.
>
> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>
> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
> presidential-poll.
>
> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
> some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>
> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
> STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
> unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
> order in which ballots transfer.
>
> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
> also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>
> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
> they could write both & indicate which is which.
>
> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
> for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
> to their votes.
>
> Reported will be: allocations by:
>
> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
> Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>
> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>
> ————-
>
> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
> party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>
> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
> vote.
>
> ————-
>
> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
> That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
> otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>
> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
> same requirement.
>
> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
> be seated.
>
> —————-
>
> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>
> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>
> Joe Biden
> RFK Jr.
> Chase Oliver
> Jill Stein
> Donald Trump
> Cornell West
> Marianne Williamson
> approval-line———————
> ———————
> Parties for party-PR election:
>
> American Independent
> American Solidarity
> Constitution
> Democrat
> Green
> Libertarian
> Peace & Freedom
> Working Family
> —————
> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
> should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
> say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
> hours after this message posts.
>
> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>
> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
> there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
>
> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
> ————
> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
> responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
> will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
> ————-
> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
> be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
> would be called-for.
>
> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
> hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
> informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
> people, based on opinions expressed.
>
> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
> if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
> more support or acceptance.
>
> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
> mentioned for contingency.
> ————-
> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
> beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
> but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
> have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
> electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
> & that there might be participation.
>
> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
> info
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Jul 15, 2024 3:49 AM
I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
voted-for.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
voted-for.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
> methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
> parties.
>
> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
> until you use them.
>
> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>
> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
> As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
> that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
> collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
>
> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
> explicit-approval.
>
> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>
> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
> presidential-poll.
>
> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
> some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>
> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
> STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
> unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
> order in which ballots transfer.
>
> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
> also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>
> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
> they could write both & indicate which is which.
>
> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
> for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
> to their votes.
>
> Reported will be: allocations by:
>
> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
> Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>
> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>
> ————-
>
> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
> party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>
> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
> vote.
>
> ————-
>
> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
> That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
> otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>
> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
> same requirement.
>
> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
> be seated.
>
> —————-
>
> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>
> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>
> Joe Biden
> RFK Jr.
> Chase Oliver
> Jill Stein
> Donald Trump
> Cornell West
> Marianne Williamson
> approval-line———————
> ———————
> Parties for party-PR election:
>
> American Independent
> American Solidarity
> Constitution
> Democrat
> Green
> Libertarian
> Peace & Freedom
> Working Family
> —————
> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
> should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
> say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
> hours after this message posts.
>
> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>
> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
> there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
>
> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
> ————
> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
> responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
> will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
> ————-
> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
> be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
> would be called-for.
>
> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
> hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
> informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
> people, based on opinions expressed.
>
> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
> if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
> more support or acceptance.
>
> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
> mentioned for contingency.
> ————-
> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
> beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
> but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
> have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
> electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
> & that there might be participation.
>
> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
>
>
>
CB
Chris Benham
Mon, Jul 15, 2024 9:26 PM
I nominate two more candidates for the presidential poll:
Claudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
Peter Sonski (American Solidarity Party)
And a candidate for the party-PR election:
African People's Socialist Party
Chris B.
On 15/07/2024 1:19 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
voted-for.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff
email9648742@gmail.com wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the
PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual
candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the
methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the
approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be
counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course
RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner
should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that
use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or
seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, &
integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV
is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or
randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its
ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV &
RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course
voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the
parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt,
Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement
for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4
of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s
1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage
splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be
advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should
have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a
party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional
nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week
or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So
let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends
exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1
week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s
electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to
take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so.
…then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that
purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this
poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the
objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, &
so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it
will be informally-obvious which position is supported or
acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call
for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to
clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at
the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will
participate, but, because there was participation in the previous
poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s
no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on
the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be
participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to
start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - seehttps://electorama.com/em for list info
I nominate two more candidates for the presidential poll:
Claudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
Peter Sonski (American Solidarity Party)
And a candidate for the party-PR election:
African People's Socialist Party
Chris B.
On 15/07/2024 1:19 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
> I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
> voted-for.
>
> On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff
> <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the
> PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual
> candidates & parties.
>
> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the
> methods until you use them.
>
> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>
> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the
> approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be
> counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course
> RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner
> should be reported.
>
> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that
> use explicit-approval.
>
> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>
> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
> presidential-poll.
>
> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or
> seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>
> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, &
> integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV
> is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or
> randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
>
> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its
> ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>
> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV &
> RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
>
> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course
> voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the
> parties in proportion to their votes.
>
> Reported will be: allocations by:
>
> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt,
> Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>
> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>
> ————-
>
> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement
> for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>
> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4
> of the vote.
>
> ————-
>
> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s
> 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage
> splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be
> advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>
> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should
> have that same requirement.
>
> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a
> party to be seated.
>
> —————-
>
> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>
> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>
> Joe Biden
> RFK Jr.
> Chase Oliver
> Jill Stein
> Donald Trump
> Cornell West
> Marianne Williamson
> approval-line———————
> ———————
> Parties for party-PR election:
>
> American Independent
> American Solidarity
> Constitution
> Democrat
> Green
> Libertarian
> Peace & Freedom
> Working Family
> —————
> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional
> nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week
> or two for that.
> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So
> let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends
> exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
>
> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>
> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1
> week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s
> electioneering?
>
> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
> ————
> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to
> take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so.
> …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that
> purpose.
> ————-
> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this
> poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the
> objection, then discussion would be called-for.
>
> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, &
> so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it
> will be informally-obvious which position is supported or
> acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
>
> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call
> for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to
> clearly have more support or acceptance.
>
> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
> mentioned for contingency.
> ————-
> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at
> the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will
> participate, but, because there was participation in the previous
> poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s
> no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on
> the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be
> participation.
>
> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to
> start it.
>
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - seehttps://electorama.com/em for list info
TP
Toby Pereira
Tue, Jul 16, 2024 1:04 PM
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
----
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Jul 16, 2024 2:06 PM
I nominate two more candidates for the presidential poll:
Claudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
Peter Sonski (American Solidarity Party)
And a candidate for the party-PR election:
African People's Socialist Party
Chris B.
On 15/07/2024 1:19 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
voted-for.
On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV,
then they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters
vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in
proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week
if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Nominations recorded.
On Mon, Jul 15, 2024 at 14:26 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
> I nominate two more candidates for the presidential poll:
>
> Claudia De La Cruz (Party for Socialism and Liberation)
>
> Peter Sonski (American Solidarity Party)
>
> And a candidate for the party-PR election:
>
> African People's Socialist Party
>
> Chris B.
> On 15/07/2024 1:19 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
> I omitted the Republican Party. Obviously that’s one that could be
> voted-for.
>
> On Sun, Jul 14, 2024 at 20:37 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
>> methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
>> parties.
>>
>> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
>> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
>> until you use them.
>>
>> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>>
>> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
>> As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
>> that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
>> collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
>>
>> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
>> explicit-approval.
>>
>> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>>
>> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
>> presidential-poll.
>>
>> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
>> some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>>
>> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
>> STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
>> unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
>> order in which ballots transfer.
>>
>> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
>> also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>>
>> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV,
>> then they could write both & indicate which is which.
>>
>> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters
>> vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in
>> proportion to their votes.
>>
>> Reported will be: allocations by:
>>
>> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
>> Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>>
>> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>>
>> ————-
>>
>> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
>> party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>>
>> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
>> vote.
>>
>> ————-
>>
>> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
>> That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
>> otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>>
>> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
>> same requirement.
>>
>> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
>> be seated.
>>
>> —————-
>>
>> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>>
>> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>>
>> Joe Biden
>> RFK Jr.
>> Chase Oliver
>> Jill Stein
>> Donald Trump
>> Cornell West
>> Marianne Williamson
>> approval-line———————
>> ———————
>> Parties for party-PR election:
>>
>> American Independent
>> American Solidarity
>> Constitution
>> Democrat
>> Green
>> Libertarian
>> Peace & Freedom
>> Working Family
>> —————
>> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
>> should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
>> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
>> say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
>> hours after this message posts.
>>
>> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>>
>> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week
>> if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
>>
>> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
>> ————
>> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
>> responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
>> will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
>> ————-
>> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
>> be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
>> would be called-for.
>>
>> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
>> hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
>> informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
>> people, based on opinions expressed.
>>
>> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
>> if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
>> more support or acceptance.
>>
>> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
>> mentioned for contingency.
>> ————-
>> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
>> beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
>> but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
>> have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
>> electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
>> & that there might be participation.
>>
>> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
>>
>>
>>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
> info
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Jul 16, 2024 2:26 PM
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, &
it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is
only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
info
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, &
it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
> It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is
> only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
>
> Toby
>
> On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
> methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
> parties.
>
> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
> until you use them.
>
> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>
> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
> As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
> that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
> collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
>
> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
> explicit-approval.
>
> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>
> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
> presidential-poll.
>
> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
> some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>
> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
> STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
> unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
> order in which ballots transfer.
>
> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
> also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>
> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
> they could write both & indicate which is which.
>
> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
> for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
> to their votes.
>
> Reported will be: allocations by:
>
> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
> Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>
> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>
> ————-
>
> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
> party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>
> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
> vote.
>
> ————-
>
> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
> That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
> otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>
> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
> same requirement.
>
> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
> be seated.
>
> —————-
>
> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>
> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>
> Joe Biden
> RFK Jr.
> Chase Oliver
> Jill Stein
> Donald Trump
> Cornell West
> Marianne Williamson
> approval-line———————
> ———————
> Parties for party-PR election:
>
> American Independent
> American Solidarity
> Constitution
> Democrat
> Green
> Libertarian
> Peace & Freedom
> Working Family
> —————
> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
> should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
> say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
> hours after this message posts.
>
> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>
> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
> there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
>
> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
> ————
> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
> responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
> will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
> ————-
> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
> be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
> would be called-for.
>
> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
> hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
> informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
> people, based on opinions expressed.
>
> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
> if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
> more support or acceptance.
>
> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
> mentioned for contingency.
> ————-
> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
> beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
> but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
> have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
> electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
> & that there might be participation.
>
> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
> info
>
TP
Toby Pereira
Wed, Jul 17, 2024 12:50 PM
Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it hold.
In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of bias. Essentially if a large party and a small party have an exactly mathematically equal claim to a seat "bias free" will award it to the small party. Obviously when I brought this up before, you introduced the red herring of Huntington-Hill, but I put that side issue to bed once and for all in this EM post - http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2024-April/005685.html
I understand that you are only talking about bias in terms of the total number of seats working out in favour of small parties or large parties, as if that is the only form of bias in existence. But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties. It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge that assumptions were required, but it appears you've forgotten that now. http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com//2012-July/095996.html
It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented. You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this balancing is not required.
Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block you!
Toby
On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, & it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it hold.
In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of bias. Essentially if a large party and a small party have an exactly mathematically equal claim to a seat "bias free" will award it to the small party. Obviously when I brought this up before, you introduced the red herring of Huntington-Hill, but I put that side issue to bed once and for all in this EM post - http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com/2024-April/005685.html
I understand that you are only talking about bias in terms of the total number of seats working out in favour of small parties or large parties, as if that is the only form of bias in existence. But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties. It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge that assumptions were required, but it appears you've forgotten that now. http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com//2012-July/095996.html
It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented. You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this balancing is not required.
Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block you!
Toby
On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, & it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
----
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Fri, Jul 19, 2024 5:11 AM
Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method
so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it
hold.
I defined bias, & told how BF is completely unbiased twice at EM. Once when
I introduced it in (I believe) 2006, & again in September’23.
No, you don’t have to define what conditions you’re talking about. But when
someone can’t say what it is that they mean, it’s probably because they
don’t know.
In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased
without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most
people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë
measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of
bias.
As I’ve surely mentioned, Toby hasn’t a clue what bias is. He’s continuing
to confuse it with non-systematic departure from proportionality.
But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any
deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps
other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how
votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties.
There, Toby is confusing the proportionality of a particular allocation
with the bias of an allocation-rule.
It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge
I’m not entirely sure what Toby is referring to. Warren Smith was making
claims about what he felt was needed for defining, measuring & minimizing
bias. I’ve never heard of anyone agreeing with him on that.
But, at first, I was willing to discuss how his requirements could be met.
But at least 1 or 2 academic journal papers reported about BF, & one named
it the Ossipoff-Agnew method.
Agreement was expressed regarding its unbias.
It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and
large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more
mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and
two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly
overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not
necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented.
Again, completely clueless about what bias is, & the difference between
bias & non-systematic disproportionately.
Bias is worse, precisely because it consistently, systematically disfavors
certain groups(large or small parties or states).
These things have all been explained to Toby several times, but he’s still
reopening exactly the same blather as always.
Assertive, self-assured, & clueless.
In other words, the perfect poster-child for the Dunning-Kruger effect.
You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented
and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this
balancing is not required.
…demonstrating tha whenever it seems that Toby has surely maxed-out, he
outdoes himself again.
Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block
you!
Yes, if that will shut you up.
Toby
On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness,
& it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is
only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
- A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
- A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
they could write both & indicate which is which.
- A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe Biden
RFK Jr.
Chase Oliver
Jill Stein
Donald Trump
Cornell West
Marianne Williamson
approval-line———————
———————
Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent
American Solidarity
Constitution
Democrat
Green
Libertarian
Peace & Freedom
Working Family
—————
Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
————
Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
————-
It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
mentioned for contingency.
————-
As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
& that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
info
On Wed, Jul 17, 2024 at 05:50 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
> Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method
> so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it
> hold.
>
I defined bias, & told how BF is completely unbiased twice at EM. Once when
I introduced it in (I believe) 2006, & again in September’23.
No, you don’t have to define what conditions you’re talking about. But when
someone can’t say what it is that they mean, it’s probably because they
don’t know.
>
> In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased
> without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most
> people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë
> measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of
> bias.
>
As I’ve surely mentioned, Toby hasn’t a clue what bias is. He’s continuing
to confuse it with non-systematic departure from proportionality.
>
>
> But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any
> deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps
> other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how
> votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties.
>
There, Toby is confusing the proportionality of a particular allocation
with the bias of an allocation-rule.
It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge
> that assumptions were required, but it appears you've forgotten that now.
> http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com//2012-July/095996.html
>
I’m not entirely sure what Toby is referring to. Warren Smith was making
claims about what he felt was needed for defining, measuring & minimizing
bias. I’ve never heard of anyone agreeing with him on that.
But, at first, I was willing to discuss how his requirements could be met.
But at least 1 or 2 academic journal papers reported about BF, & one named
it the Ossipoff-Agnew method.
Agreement was expressed regarding its unbias.
>
> It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and
> large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more
> mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and
> two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly
> overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not
> necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented.
>
Again, completely clueless about what bias is, & the difference between
bias & non-systematic disproportionately.
Bias is worse, precisely because it consistently, systematically disfavors
certain groups(large or small parties or states).
These things have all been explained to Toby several times, but he’s still
reopening exactly the same blather as always.
Assertive, self-assured, & clueless.
In other words, the perfect poster-child for the Dunning-Kruger effect.
You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented
> and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this
> balancing is not required.
>
…demonstrating tha whenever it seems that Toby has surely maxed-out, he
outdoes himself again.
>
> Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block
> you!
>
Yes, if that will shut you up.
>
> Toby
>
>
>
> On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
>
> Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
>
> I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness,
> & it’s near-unbias.
>
> Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
>
> On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
>
> It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is
> only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
>
> Toby
>
> On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <
> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR
> methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates &
> parties.
>
> As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of
> actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods
> until you use them.
>
> So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
>
> 1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line.
> As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count
> that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most
> collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
>
> The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use
> explicit-approval.
>
> …in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
>
> 2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the
> presidential-poll.
>
> …as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in
> some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
>
> Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer
> STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the
> unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the
> order in which ballots transfer.
>
> Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots
> also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
>
> Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then
> they could write both & indicate which is which.
>
> 3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote
> for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion
> to their votes.
>
> Reported will be: allocations by:
>
> Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, &
> Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
>
> SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
>
> ————-
>
> For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a
> party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
>
> For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the
> vote.
>
> ————-
>
> SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat.
> That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could
> otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
>
> Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that
> same requirement.
>
> That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to
> be seated.
>
> —————-
>
> Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
>
> (These listings are alphabetical.)
>
> Joe Biden
> RFK Jr.
> Chase Oliver
> Jill Stein
> Donald Trump
> Cornell West
> Marianne Williamson
> approval-line———————
> ———————
> Parties for party-PR election:
>
> American Independent
> American Solidarity
> Constitution
> Democrat
> Green
> Libertarian
> Peace & Freedom
> Working Family
> —————
> Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations
> should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.
> Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s
> say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48
> hours after this message posts.
>
> …& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
>
> We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if
> there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
>
> Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.
> ————
> Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the
> responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course
> will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.
> ————-
> It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could
> be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion
> would be called-for.
>
> It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so
> hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be
> informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most
> people, based on opinions expressed.
>
> An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it
> if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have
> more support or acceptance.
>
> Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it
> mentioned for contingency.
> ————-
> As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the
> beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate,
> but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people
> have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the
> electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest
> & that there might be participation.
>
> If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
> info
>
>
TP
Toby Pereira
Fri, Jul 19, 2024 9:26 AM
I will reply in one block rather than line-by-line, as it might become a bit of a mess.
If you are defining a specific sort of bias, you need to reiterate it in every post you use the term, or at least in every discussion thread. "Bias" is already a word in the English language and you do not have a monopoly over it. The form of bias I was talking about was systemic departure from proportionality in favour of small parties, not non-systemic as you dishonestly or ignorantly claim. I have been quite clear about this. I have also explained at length why Sainte-Laguë is the single most reasonable measure of proportionality and not just any old allocation rule.
What I was referring to in your post about originally accepting that assumptions were required was when you put "If it is equally likely to find a party with its final quotient anywhere in interval N". Note the "if". This seemed to be the assumption that your unbiased method was dependent on. Is it not then?
I've never doubted that your method has interesting theoretical properties under idealised conditions, but when you put things like "Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions", you're claiming too much and it's simply wrong.
You could even demonstrate to people on this list how your method is unbiased, or provide a link to where you have done so, perhaps with some illuminating examples. Or maybe it's better to insult people. I don't know. It's a close call.
You have a habit of falling out with people on this mailing list. When someone disagrees with you about something, it might be better to try and read and understand where they are coming from, rather than arrogantly assuming from the outset that they can't possibly have a point. Some of my points you have just replied to with insults, suggesting you have no rebuttal to them. Your lack of self-awareness is mind-boggling. The problem is not everybody else.
Toby
On Friday 19 July 2024 at 06:11:52 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
On Wed, Jul 17, 2024 at 05:50 Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it hold.
I defined bias, & told how BF is completely unbiased twice at EM. Once when I introduced it in (I believe) 2006, & again in September’23.
No, you don’t have to define what conditions you’re talking about. But when someone can’t say what it is that they mean, it’s probably because they don’t know.
In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of bias.
As I’ve surely mentioned, Toby hasn’t a clue what bias is. He’s continuing to confuse it with non-systematic departure from proportionality.
But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties.
There, Toby is confusing the proportionality of a particular allocation with the bias of an allocation-rule.
It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge that assumptions were required, but it appears you've forgotten that now. http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com//2012-July/095996.html
I’m not entirely sure what Toby is referring to. Warren Smith was making claims about what he felt was needed for defining, measuring & minimizing bias. I’ve never heard of anyone agreeing with him on that.
But, at first, I was willing to discuss how his requirements could be met.
But at least 1 or 2 academic journal papers reported about BF, & one named it the Ossipoff-Agnew method.
Agreement was expressed regarding its unbias.
It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented.
Again, completely clueless about what bias is, & the difference between bias & non-systematic disproportionately.
Bias is worse, precisely because it consistently, systematically disfavors certain groups(large or small parties or states).
These things have all been explained to Toby several times, but he’s still reopening exactly the same blather as always.
Assertive, self-assured, & clueless.
In other words, the perfect poster-child for the Dunning-Kruger effect.
You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this balancing is not required.
…demonstrating tha whenever it seems that Toby has surely maxed-out, he outdoes himself again.
Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block you!
Yes, if that will shut you up.
Toby
On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, & it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info
I will reply in one block rather than line-by-line, as it might become a bit of a mess.
If you are defining a specific sort of bias, you need to reiterate it in every post you use the term, or at least in every discussion thread. "Bias" is already a word in the English language and you do not have a monopoly over it. The form of bias I was talking about was *systemic* departure from proportionality in favour of small parties, not non-systemic as you dishonestly or ignorantly claim. I have been quite clear about this. I have also explained at length why Sainte-Laguë is the single most reasonable measure of proportionality and not just any old allocation rule.
What I was referring to in your post about originally accepting that assumptions were required was when you put "If it is equally likely to find a party with its final quotient anywhere in interval N". Note the "if". This seemed to be the assumption that your unbiased method was dependent on. Is it not then?
I've never doubted that your method has interesting theoretical properties under idealised conditions, but when you put things like "Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions", you're claiming too much and it's simply wrong.
You could even demonstrate to people on this list how your method is unbiased, or provide a link to where you have done so, perhaps with some illuminating examples. Or maybe it's better to insult people. I don't know. It's a close call.
You have a habit of falling out with people on this mailing list. When someone disagrees with you about something, it might be better to try and read and understand where they are coming from, rather than arrogantly assuming from the outset that they can't possibly have a point. Some of my points you have just replied to with insults, suggesting you have no rebuttal to them. Your lack of self-awareness is mind-boggling. The problem is not everybody else.
Toby
On Friday 19 July 2024 at 06:11:52 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
On Wed, Jul 17, 2024 at 05:50 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
Nice try, but I'm not the one making such sweeping claims about the method so do not need to define the conditions under which any claims about it hold.
I defined bias, & told how BF is completely unbiased twice at EM. Once when I introduced it in (I believe) 2006, & again in September’23.
No, you don’t have to define what conditions you’re talking about. But when someone can’t say what it is that they mean, it’s probably because they don’t know.
In any case, your "bias free" method certainly is not entirely unbiased without conditions as you claim. For one thing, by the measure that most people would reasonably see as the best measure of proportionality (the Sainte-Laguë measure), "bias free" favours small parties, so that in itself is a form of bias.
As I’ve surely mentioned, Toby hasn’t a clue what bias is. He’s continuing to confuse it with non-systematic departure from proportionality.
But even by that measure, it can quite clearly be shown that any deterministic method (that doesn't award fractional seats, and perhaps other obvious background caveats), can end up biased, depending on how votes are distributed in terms of small/large parties.
There, Toby is confusing the proportionality of a particular allocation with the bias of an allocation-rule.
It's pretty obvious in fact. And back in 2012, you seemed to acknowledge that assumptions were required, but it appears you've forgotten that now. http://lists.electorama.com/pipermail/election-methods-electorama.com//2012-July/095996.html
I’m not entirely sure what Toby is referring to. Warren Smith was making claims about what he felt was needed for defining, measuring & minimizing bias. I’ve never heard of anyone agreeing with him on that.
But, at first, I was willing to discuss how his requirements could be met.
But at least 1 or 2 academic journal papers reported about BF, & one named it the Ossipoff-Agnew method.
Agreement was expressed regarding its unbias.
It is not clear in any case that a method that balances small parties and large parties in this manner is better than one that gives a more mathematically proportional result. E.g. if you have two small parties and two large parties, and the two large parties end up slightly overrepresented and the two small parties underrepresented, this is not necessarily any worse than having one of each over/underrepresented.
Again, completely clueless about what bias is, & the difference between bias & non-systematic disproportionately.
Bias is worse, precisely because it consistently, systematically disfavors certain groups(large or small parties or states).
These things have all been explained to Toby several times, but he’s still reopening exactly the same blather as always.
Assertive, self-assured, & clueless.
In other words, the perfect poster-child for the Dunning-Kruger effect.
You just have four separate parties, two of which end up overrepresented and two under. There's no coalition between parties of similar size so this balancing is not required.
…demonstrating tha whenever it seems that Toby has surely maxed-out, he outdoes himself again.
Perhaps if you continue with your incorrect claims, I will have to block you!
Yes, if that will shut you up.
Toby
On Tuesday 16 July 2024 at 15:26:37 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Oops!!! Toby forgot to say what conditions he was referring to.
Bias-Free is entirely unbiased, without conditions.
I propose Saint-Lague (SL), because of its natural intuitive obviousness, & it’s near-unbias.
Bias-Free (BF) is a refinement that I’d offer as a possibility for later.
On Tue, Jul 16, 2024 at 06:04 Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
It is worth noting that the method Ossipoff declares to be "bias free" is only so under a very specific set of assumptions.
Toby
On Monday 15 July 2024 at 04:38:35 BST, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
There was interest in a poll about PR. But I feel that first the PR methods should be tried, used, in a poll with the actual candidates & parties.
As I mentioned before, there’s no substitute for the experience of actually using the electoral methods in polls. You don’t know the methods until you use them.
So I propose a 3-part poll. …presidential & PR:
1. A Condorcet presidential-poll with 7 candidates + the approval-line. As others have mentioned, of course it could be counted by any rank-count that allows equal-ranking. But of course RP(wv) won here as the most collectively popular, & so its winner should be reported.
The approval-line of course would allow counting by methods that use explicit-approval.
…in addition to by the zero-cost implementation method.
2. A 3-seat STV poll among the same set of candidates as in the presidential-poll.
…as if we were electing a 3-person presidential triumvirate, or seats in some 3-member district in which those candidates are running.
Of course the STV rankings could be counted by any STV version, & integer STV is (in some ways) an easier count. But fractional STV is the unarbitrary STV that doesn’t require a rule or randomizing-process for the order in which ballots transfer.
Of course, because the STV doesn’t allow equal-rankin, then its ballots also could & would also be counted for an RCV count.
Of course if someone wanted to vote different rankings for STV & RCV, then they could write both & indicate which is which.
3. A 500-seat at-large party-PR allocation election. Of course voters vote for their favorite party, & seats are allocate to the parties in proportion to their votes.
Reported will be: allocations by:
Sainte-Lague, Bias-Free (Ossipoff-Agnew), d’Hondt, Largest-Remainder, & Huntington-Hill (“Equal-Proportions”).
SL & BF probably won’t differ from eachother.
————-
For the party-PR SL & BF allocation of 500 seats, the requirement for a party being seated 🪑 is about 1/7 of one percent of the vote.
For the 3-seat STV allocation, the requirement is being over 1/4 of the vote.
————-
SL, in actual implementations, requires .7 quotas for a party’s 1st seat. That’s to thwart, prevent & discourage splitting-strategy, which could otherwise sometimes be advantageous if the conditions were detected.
Because BF & SL give often the same allocation, then BF should have that same requirement.
That’s taken into account for the abovestated requirement for a party to be seated.
—————-
Candidates for presidential & STV elections:
(These listings are alphabetical.)
Joe BidenRFK Jr.Chase OliverJill SteinDonald TrumpCornell WestMarianne Williamson approval-line——————————————Parties for party-PR election:
American Independent American Solidarity Constitution DemocratGreenLibertarian Peace & FreedomWorking Family —————Of course if this poll is going to happen, then additional nominations should be allowed. But we probably don’t need a week or two for that.Surely any additional nominations would be made within 2 days. So let’s say that the period for optional additional nominations ends exactly 48 hours after this message posts.
…& that the voting period begins at that same moment.
We don’t need a month for the voting-period, do we? Shall we say 1 week if there’s no electioneering, & 2 weeks if there’s electioneering?
Anyone can change any of their ballots during the voting period.————Of course if this poll happens, & if no one else volunteers to take the responsibility of recording the ballots, then I’ll do so. …then of course will unblock the people I’ve blocked, for that purpose.————-It goes without saying that anything about the details of this poll could be objected-to, & then, if others support the objection, then discussion would be called-for.
It’s always best to avoid the delay caused by a procedural vote, & so hopefully there will be a consensus agreement. …or at least it will be informally-obvious which position is supported or acceptable to the most people, based on opinions expressed.
An RP(wv) vote would be a reluctant last-resort. Anyone could call for it if consensus were adamantly refused & no position seemed to clearly have more support or acceptance.
Hopefully none of that will be necessary, but it’s good to have it mentioned for contingency.————-As the proposer of the poll, I should vote first, immediately at the beginning of the voting-period. I don’t know if anyone will participate, but, because there was participation in the previous poll, & because people have suggested a PR poll, & because there’s no substitute for using the electoral methods…then I’ll proceed on the assumption that there’s interest & that there might be participation.
If the poll doesn’t happen, it won’t be because I didn’t try to start it.
----
Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info