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ART Single Winner Method

NA
Nathaniel Allen
Thu, Dec 3, 2020 3:30 AM

Hey all,

Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone
thinks. I call it 'ART' for Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good
acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank each candidate 'Good',
'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the
'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance,
ensuring whoever wins is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is
selected based on a head-to-head automatic runoff, higher score on more
ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except
when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I
have however, I think that the weight of Approval in this method is
stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where head-to-head
tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins.

Please see this sheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dHjWfzTHSB-6miAM5mZEskWBVU-sgrVndXH6IM-ZP6I/edit?usp=sharing
to
run simulations for a 3 person, single-winner election. Further details and
notes on the method are included in the sheet. Instructions for the sheet
are simple: Hit delete or backspace on the green box to run a new
simulation. If you accidentally change something else please let me know or
just revert back to the previous version.

Thanks for taking the time to read over this and check out the method.

Best,

Nate

Hey all, Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone thinks. I call it 'ART' for Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the 'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance, ensuring whoever wins is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a head-to-head automatic runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I have however, I think that the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins. Please see this sheet <https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dHjWfzTHSB-6miAM5mZEskWBVU-sgrVndXH6IM-ZP6I/edit?usp=sharing> to run simulations for a 3 person, single-winner election. Further details and notes on the method are included in the sheet. Instructions for the sheet are simple: Hit delete or backspace on the green box to run a new simulation. If you accidentally change something else please let me know or just revert back to the previous version. Thanks for taking the time to read over this and check out the method. Best, Nate
KV
Kevin Venzke
Thu, Dec 3, 2020 4:23 AM

Hi Nate,

Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical Clone-Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the #2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim both of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where voters are primarily concerned about which party wins and not which candidate.

I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the top-ranking winner.)

From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV, too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't think the Condorcet element is so evident.

Kevin

Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen npwning@gmail.com a écrit :

Hey all,

Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone thinks. I call it 'ART' for 
Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank 
each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the 
'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance, ensuring whoever wins 
is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a head-to-head automatic
runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except
when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I have however, I think that
the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where
head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins.

Hi Nate, Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical Clone-Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the #2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim both of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where voters are primarily concerned about which party wins and not which candidate. I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the top-ranking winner.) >From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV, too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't think the Condorcet element is so evident. Kevin Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen <npwning@gmail.com> a écrit : >Hey all, > >Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone thinks. I call it 'ART' for  >Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank  >each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the  >'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance, ensuring whoever wins  >is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a head-to-head automatic >runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except >when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I have however, I think that >the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where >head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins.
NA
Nathaniel Allen
Mon, Dec 7, 2020 4:59 PM

Hey Kevin,

Thanks for the feedback! I wonder if the Clone-Loser situation still
applies in a circumstance where more preference can be expressed. For
instance, in this method "Approved" simply means combined 2's and 3's.
Thoughts?

Best,

Nate

On Wed, Dec 2, 2020 at 9:23 PM Kevin Venzke stepjak@yahoo.fr wrote:

Hi Nate,

Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over
the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical
Clone-Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the
#2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim
both of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would
admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where
voters are primarily concerned about which party wins and not which
candidate.

I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval
finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of
selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the
top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner
against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the
top-ranking winner.)

From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV,
too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't
think the Condorcet element is so evident.

Kevin

Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen <
npwning@gmail.com> a écrit :

Hey all,

Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone

thinks. I call it 'ART' for

Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works

as follows: Voters rank

each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the

winner you simply add up the

'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two

advance, ensuring whoever wins

is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a

head-to-head automatic

runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins

every time in this method except

when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I

have however, I think that

the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning

(especially in a method where

head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins.

Hey Kevin, Thanks for the feedback! I wonder if the Clone-Loser situation still applies in a circumstance where more preference can be expressed. For instance, in this method "Approved" simply means combined 2's and 3's. Thoughts? Best, Nate On Wed, Dec 2, 2020 at 9:23 PM Kevin Venzke <stepjak@yahoo.fr> wrote: > Hi Nate, > > Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over > the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical > Clone-Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the > #2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim > both of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would > admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where > voters are primarily concerned about which party wins and not which > candidate. > > I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval > finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of > selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the > top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner > against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the > top-ranking winner.) > > From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV, > too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't > think the Condorcet element is so evident. > > Kevin > > > Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen < > npwning@gmail.com> a écrit : > >Hey all, > > > >Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone > thinks. I call it 'ART' for > >Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works > as follows: Voters rank > >each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the > winner you simply add up the > >'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two > advance, ensuring whoever wins > >is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a > head-to-head automatic > >runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins > every time in this method except > >when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I > have however, I think that > >the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning > (especially in a method where > >head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins. >
KV
Kevin Venzke
Wed, Dec 9, 2020 12:37 AM

I'm not sure what you have in mind there. The fact that the 2/3s only differ in effect for the "second phase" (the pairwise contest) is practically the source of the issue I would say. If one attempts the nomination strategy, the goal is to grab both finalist positions, before the distinction between 2/3 makes any difference. If the distinction mattered earlier, in some way, perhaps it could be made impossible for the same voters to select both finalists.

I do think as well, as it stands, that someone could give you some grief that a candidate who uniquely possesses "3" ratings from more than half the voters could theoretically fail to be a finalist. (Like if voters give out "2" ratings generously.)

Kevin

Le lundi 7 décembre 2020 à 10:59:28 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen npwning@gmail.com a écrit :

Hey Kevin,

Thanks for the feedback! I wonder if the Clone-Loser situation still applies in a circumstance where more 
preference can be expressed. For instance, in this method "Approved" simply means combined 2's and 
3's. Thoughts?

Best,

Nate

On Wed, Dec 2, 2020 at 9:23 PM Kevin Venzke stepjak@yahoo.fr wrote:

Hi Nate,

Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical Clone->Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the #2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim both >of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where voters are >primarily concerned about which party wins and not which candidate.

I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of >selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner >against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the top-ranking winner.)

From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV, too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't >think the Condorcet element is so evident.

Kevin

Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen npwning@gmail.com a écrit :

Hey all,

Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone thinks. I call it 'ART' for 
Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank 
each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the 
'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance, ensuring whoever wins 
is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a head-to-head automatic
runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except
when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I have however, I think that
the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where
head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins.

I'm not sure what you have in mind there. The fact that the 2/3s only differ in effect for the "second phase" (the pairwise contest) is practically the source of the issue I would say. If one attempts the nomination strategy, the goal is to grab both finalist positions, before the distinction between 2/3 makes any difference. If the distinction mattered earlier, in some way, perhaps it could be made impossible for the same voters to select both finalists. I do think as well, as it stands, that someone could give you some grief that a candidate who uniquely possesses "3" ratings from more than half the voters could theoretically fail to be a finalist. (Like if voters give out "2" ratings generously.) Kevin Le lundi 7 décembre 2020 à 10:59:28 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen <npwning@gmail.com> a écrit : >Hey Kevin, > >Thanks for the feedback! I wonder if the Clone-Loser situation still applies in a circumstance where more  >preference can be expressed. For instance, in this method "Approved" simply means combined 2's and  >3's. Thoughts? > >Best, > >Nate > > >On Wed, Dec 2, 2020 at 9:23 PM Kevin Venzke <stepjak@yahoo.fr> wrote: >> Hi Nate, >> >> Using Approval to select two finalists has been proposed many times over the years, but what has never sat well with me is the theoretical Clone->Loser issue. A candidate who wins by approval, but who can't beat the #2 candidate by approval, could in theory run with a partner try to claim both >of the top approval spots. It might not help very often, I would admit. It would probably be a more prevalent strategy in a race where voters are >primarily concerned about which party wins and not which candidate. >> >> I'm not sure I've heard before, the specific idea to take these approval finalists and do the head-to-head comparison instantly. (With other ways of >selecting finalists, yes... For instance staples of mine are pitting the top-ranking winner against the approval winner, or the top-ranking winner >against the candidate who is most approved on the ballots not approving the top-ranking winner.) >> >> From a Condorcet standpoint, you're only using one pairwise contest. IRV, too, will use one, once you're at two candidates remaining. So I don't >think the Condorcet element is so evident. >> >> Kevin >> >> >> Le mercredi 2 décembre 2020 à 21:31:16 UTC−6, Nathaniel Allen <npwning@gmail.com> a écrit : >>>Hey all, >>> >>>Rob asked me to send out this method I've created to see what everyone thinks. I call it 'ART' for  >>>Approval, Runoff Tally (in the name of a good acronym). The method works as follows: Voters rank  >>>each candidate 'Good', 'Acceptable', or 'Bad' (like 321). To find the winner you simply add up the  >>>'Acceptable' and 'Good' scores for each candidate and the top two advance, ensuring whoever wins  >>>is amongst the most favorable. Then the winner is selected based on a head-to-head automatic >>>runoff, higher score on more ballots wins. The condorcet winner wins every time in this method except >>>when they are not among the most approved. This is the biggest question I have however, I think that >>>the weight of Approval in this method is stronger than condorcet winning (especially in a method where >>>head-to-head tie scores are possible). The condorcet loser never wins. >>