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single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

SW
Sennet Williams
Thu, May 16, 2019 8:30 PM

I cannot figure this list out.   
IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)
Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___

I cannot figure this list out.    IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections) Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___
RB
robert bristow-johnson
Thu, May 16, 2019 10:11 PM

---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------

Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

From: "Sennet Williams" sennetwilliams@yahoo.com

Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm

To: "election-methods@lists.electorama.com" election-methods@lists.electorama.com


I cannot figure this list out.   

IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)

Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___

No Sennet, it does not always pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV)
method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%.
That is a
fact.
I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different specific
candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation.
Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where all 3 candidates are plausible winners
going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is not a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the spoiler
does have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem.
But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and has done so a decade ago in Burlington
Vermont.
 

r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."

 
 
 
 

---------------------------- Original Message ---------------------------- Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming From: "Sennet Williams" <sennetwilliams@yahoo.com> Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm To: "election-methods@lists.electorama.com" <election-methods@lists.electorama.com> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- > I cannot figure this list out.    > IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections) > Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___ No Sennet, it does not **always** pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV) method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%. That is a fact. I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different *specific* candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation. Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where **all** 3 candidates are plausible winners going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is *not* a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the spoiler **does** have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem. But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and **has** done so a decade ago in Burlington Vermont.   -- r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com "Imagination is more important than knowledge."        
RB
robert bristow-johnson
Thu, May 16, 2019 10:26 PM

i said this one sentence wrong.  here it is corrected:

"I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than Condorcet-compliant RCV because... "

---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------

Subject: Re: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

From: "robert bristow-johnson" rbj@audioimagination.com

Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 3:11 pm

To: "election-methods@lists.electorama.com" election-methods@lists.electorama.com


---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------

Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming

From: "Sennet Williams" sennetwilliams@yahoo.com

Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm


I cannot figure this list out.   

IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections)

Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___

No Sennet, it does not always pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV)

method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%.

That is a

fact.

I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different specific

candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation.

Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where all 3 candidates are plausible winners

going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is not a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the

spoiler

does have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem.

But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and has done so a decade ago in Burlington

Vermont.

 

--

r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."

 

 

 

 


Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info

 
 
 

--

r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com

"Imagination is more important than knowledge."

 
 
 
 

i said this one sentence wrong.  here it is corrected: "I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than Condorcet-compliant RCV because... " ---------------------------- Original Message ---------------------------- Subject: Re: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming From: "robert bristow-johnson" <rbj@audioimagination.com> Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 3:11 pm To: "election-methods@lists.electorama.com" <election-methods@lists.electorama.com> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > > > > > > > ---------------------------- Original Message ---------------------------- > > Subject: [EM] single winner? Maine -style IRV vs brainstorming > > From: "Sennet Williams" <sennetwilliams@yahoo.com> > > Date: Thu, May 16, 2019 1:30 pm > > To: "election-methods@lists.electorama.com" <election-methods@lists.electorama.com> > > -------------------------------------------------------------------------- > > > >> I cannot figure this list out.    > >> IRV modernization is starting to sweep the country,  and we keep seeing posts about inferior theoretical systems that would not even be legal in the U.S.  (you cannot vote for more than one candidate for U.S. elections) > >> Maine's election system definitely picks a single candidate that is the most preferred vs all the losing candidates.___ > No Sennet, it does not **always** pick the single candidate that is most preferred vs all of the losing candidates.  It is the same Single Transferable Vote (STV) > method that is in use for all other governmental elections that I am aware of.  We have already, in 2009, demonstrated in Burlington Vermont that this STV method elected a candidate when another candidate was preferred over the STV winner by a margin exceeding 6.5%. > That is a > fact. > I think STV RCV is better than no RCV.  But STV, unless it's IRV-BTR (bottom two runoff, which is Condorcet compliant), is worse than STV RCV because sometimes this STV will elect a candidate when more voters mark their ballots that they prefer a different *specific* > candidate.   And when voting reform lite makes a mistake like this, the electorate reacts badly sometimes and sometimes the voting reform is repealed and set back at least an entire generation. > Wait 'til Maine gets a serious 3-way race where **all** 3 candidates are plausible winners > going into the election (i.e. media polls show them as virtually tied going in).  That's when you might get a problem.  But if the potential spoiler candidate is *not* a plausible winner, that is does not have close to enough support to beat either of the front runners, but the spoiler > **does** have enough votes to change who the winner is (like we had in Vermont for Governor in 2014) then STV does okay.  Then STV will solve the spoiler problem. > But in a tough 3-way race, funky things can happen with STV and **has** done so a decade ago in Burlington > Vermont. >   > -- > > > r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com > > > > "Imagination is more important than knowledge." > >   >   >   >   > ---- > Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list info >       -- r b-j                         rbj@audioimagination.com "Imagination is more important than knowledge."