election-methods@mailman.electorama.com

Technical discussion of election methods

View all threads

MAS defined

FS
Forest Simmons
Fri, Oct 7, 2016 8:32 PM

So MAS doesn't strictly satisfy the CD criterion, but a simple defensive
measure by the A faction can keep B from winning; they just have to make
sure that B's median score is zero by down voting B on a few ballots.

As Michael pointed out recently, plain Range with high resolution ballots
provides a similar chicken defense for A.  But MAS does the same thing with
three slots, so I think it is an improvement.

I agree that ICT is better than MAS, but not for public consumption.

A more succinct (but equivalent) way to define MAS would be "Elect the
candidate with the highest total score among all those tied for highest
median score."

Jameson's definition is probably better psychologically.

A grade ballot version would be "Elect the candidate with the highest
average grade among the candidates tied for highest median grade."

Regarding the resolution of blanks on MAS style ballots: Let the candidates
top rated on the ballot decide between down and middle.  Assuming the
candidates at least publish an approval ballot before election day, this
adjustment could be automated  during the count.

Michael Ossipoff wrote ...

Yes, if both factions of the majority (A & B) cooperate by bottom voting C,
but not eachother, then yes, A, the larger faction of the majority, wins.

But what if B, the other faction of the majority, defects instead of
cooperating?

They don't rate A or C above bottom.

Now B is the only candidate not bottom voted by a majority.

Additionally, B has more points than anyone else.

B, with fewer voters than A, wins because the A voters cooperated & the B
voters defected.

In 3-Slot ICT, if the A voters middle-rate B, & the B voters bottom-vote A
(both factions bottom voting C), then C wins. The B voters should have
cooperated to beat C.

(The C voters bottom-vote A & B).

Michael Ossipoff
On Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM, "Jameson Quinn" jameson.quinn@gmail.com wrote:

I've been working on a simple three-slot system as a next step after
approval. This has gone through various iterations and names: U/P, MUMA,
NUMA. The latest, and I hope final, version is MAS, Majority Acceptable
Score. Here's an explanation, intended for those without a voting theory
background. The basic system is described in 3 sentences in the first
paragraph; the second paragraph describes the default rule, which is
worthwhile but not absolutely essential to the system; and the next two
paragraphs give some scenarios.

For each candidate, you may upvote, ?midvote?, or downvote. Candidates
with a majority of downvotes are eliminated, unless that eliminates
everyone. The remaining candidates get 2 points for every upvote and 1

for

every midvote. Most points wins.

When people leave a candidate blank, that could mean one of two things:
?never heard of this person?, which should count as a downvote for

safety;

or ?no strong feelings?, which should count as a midvote (because if the
voter really disliked the candidate they would have downvoted). To
distinguish these possibilities, see if the candidate?s score from
non-blank votes averages at least half a point per voter; for instance,
this would be true if they were upvoted by 25%, or explicitly midvoted by
50%. If the score is this good, that candidate is reasonably well-known

and

well-liked, so blanks count as midvotes; if it isn?t, that candidate is
relatively unknown, so blanks count as downvotes.

MAS is good at dealing with a vote-splitting situation ("chicken

dilemma",

so called because in many voting systems it can work like a game of

chicken

between the two majority subfactions). Say that one "side" of voters have
55%, but there are two candidates on that side splitting the vote and

only

one on the other side. In this case, assuming voters on either side
downvote the candidates on the other side, the 45% candidate will be
eliminated by downvotes, and whichever subfaction of the majority has

more

supporters will win.

MAS also deals well with a "center squeeze" scenario, in which a centrist
candidate faces off against candidates on either side. Assuming all three
are equally qualified and likeable, the centrist will probably be able to
beat either side in a one-on-one race (because leftist voters will prefer
Center over Right, and vice versa); but it is quite possible that there
will be more partisans on either side than in the center. In this case,

the

centrist should not be punished simply for being more "crowded"
ideologically; their ability to dominate one-on-one means they should

win.

But many voting systems, such as IRV, can eliminate the centrist
prematurely, giving results like the tragic outcome in Egypt 2012.
Meanwhile, other systems, such as Condorcet, can enable tricky strategies
by one side to possibly win. In MAS, as long as the center candidate was
preferred by a respectable number of voters (say, 20% or more),

"midvotes"

from voters in either wing would probably be enough to let the centrist
win; and either defensive "midvoting" from the weaker wing or defensive
"downvoting" by the centrists would probably be enough to stop a takeover
by the stronger wing.

So MAS doesn't strictly satisfy the CD criterion, but a simple defensive measure by the A faction can keep B from winning; they just have to make sure that B's median score is zero by down voting B on a few ballots. As Michael pointed out recently, plain Range with high resolution ballots provides a similar chicken defense for A. But MAS does the same thing with three slots, so I think it is an improvement. I agree that ICT is better than MAS, but not for public consumption. A more succinct (but equivalent) way to define MAS would be "Elect the candidate with the highest total score among all those tied for highest median score." Jameson's definition is probably better psychologically. A grade ballot version would be "Elect the candidate with the highest average grade among the candidates tied for highest median grade." Regarding the resolution of blanks on MAS style ballots: Let the candidates top rated on the ballot decide between down and middle. Assuming the candidates at least publish an approval ballot before election day, this adjustment could be automated during the count. Michael Ossipoff wrote ... > > Yes, if both factions of the majority (A & B) cooperate by bottom voting C, > but not eachother, then yes, A, the larger faction of the majority, wins. > > But what if B, the other faction of the majority, defects instead of > cooperating? > > They don't rate A or C above bottom. > > Now B is the only candidate not bottom voted by a majority. > > Additionally, B has more points than anyone else. > > B, with fewer voters than A, wins because the A voters cooperated & the B > voters defected. > > In 3-Slot ICT, if the A voters middle-rate B, & the B voters bottom-vote A > (both factions bottom voting C), then C wins. The B voters should have > cooperated to beat C. > > (The C voters bottom-vote A & B). > > Michael Ossipoff > On Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM, "Jameson Quinn" <jameson.quinn@gmail.com> wrote: > > > I've been working on a simple three-slot system as a next step after > > approval. This has gone through various iterations and names: U/P, MUMA, > > NUMA. The latest, and I hope final, version is MAS, Majority Acceptable > > Score. Here's an explanation, intended for those without a voting theory > > background. The basic system is described in 3 sentences in the first > > paragraph; the second paragraph describes the default rule, which is > > worthwhile but not absolutely essential to the system; and the next two > > paragraphs give some scenarios. > > > > For each candidate, you may upvote, ?midvote?, or downvote. Candidates > > with a majority of downvotes are eliminated, unless that eliminates > > everyone. The remaining candidates get 2 points for every upvote and 1 > for > > every midvote. Most points wins. > > > > When people leave a candidate blank, that could mean one of two things: > > ?never heard of this person?, which should count as a downvote for > safety; > > or ?no strong feelings?, which should count as a midvote (because if the > > voter really disliked the candidate they would have downvoted). To > > distinguish these possibilities, see if the candidate?s score from > > non-blank votes averages at least half a point per voter; for instance, > > this would be true if they were upvoted by 25%, or explicitly midvoted by > > 50%. If the score is this good, that candidate is reasonably well-known > and > > well-liked, so blanks count as midvotes; if it isn?t, that candidate is > > relatively unknown, so blanks count as downvotes. > > > > MAS is good at dealing with a vote-splitting situation ("chicken > dilemma", > > so called because in many voting systems it can work like a game of > chicken > > between the two majority subfactions). Say that one "side" of voters have > > 55%, but there are two candidates on that side splitting the vote and > only > > one on the other side. In this case, assuming voters on either side > > downvote the candidates on the other side, the 45% candidate will be > > eliminated by downvotes, and whichever subfaction of the majority has > more > > supporters will win. > > > > MAS also deals well with a "center squeeze" scenario, in which a centrist > > candidate faces off against candidates on either side. Assuming all three > > are equally qualified and likeable, the centrist will probably be able to > > beat either side in a one-on-one race (because leftist voters will prefer > > Center over Right, and vice versa); but it is quite possible that there > > will be more partisans on either side than in the center. In this case, > the > > centrist should not be punished simply for being more "crowded" > > ideologically; their ability to dominate one-on-one means they should > win. > > But many voting systems, such as IRV, can eliminate the centrist > > prematurely, giving results like the tragic outcome in Egypt 2012. > > Meanwhile, other systems, such as Condorcet, can enable tricky strategies > > by one side to possibly win. In MAS, as long as the center candidate was > > preferred by a respectable number of voters (say, 20% or more), > "midvotes" > > from voters in either wing would probably be enough to let the centrist > > win; and *either* defensive "midvoting" from the weaker wing or defensive > > "downvoting" by the centrists would probably be enough to stop a takeover > > by the stronger wing. >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Sat, Oct 8, 2016 7:53 AM

On Oct 7, 2016 1:32 PM, "Forest Simmons" fsimmons@pcc.edu wrote:

So MAS doesn't strictly satisfy the CD criterion, but a simple defensive

measure by the A faction can keep B from winning; they just have to make
sure that B's median score is zero by down voting B on a few ballots.

(endquote)

Yes, but when it's necessary for a certain fraction of the A voters to vote
differently from the rest, that will require either 1) probabilistic voting
by all the A voters; or 2) a party of campaign organization instructing
people to not support B if they reside within certain street-boundaries of
if their name alphabetizes between two specified other names.

So, maybe the ICT count-rule needs more explanation, but probabilistic
voting, or special voting instructions based on name of neighborhood makes
more work for voters.

A little more explanation can buy something easier to use.

As Michael pointed out recently, plain Range with high resolution ballots

provides a similar chicken defense for A.  But MAS does the same thing with
three slots, so I think it is an improvement.

I agree that ICT is better than MAS, but not for public consumption.

A proposer could say:

We look at pairwise comparisons.

X beats Y if:

The number of people ranking X over Y is greater than the number of people
ranking Y over X, + the number ranking both at top.

So, if you rank them both at top, you're voting against either beating the
other.

We do that so that you can fully support & protect as many candidates as
you want to, by top-ranking them.

The winner is the unbeaten candidate who is top-ranked by the most people.

If no one is unbeaten, the winner is the candidate top-ranked by the most
people.

(end of introduction/definition)

Well yes, I tried that introduction, and it didn't go over well.

I said, "If someone you didn't know came up to you with a clipboard, on a
street-corner, gave that introduction, & invited you to sign the initiative
petition for it, would you sign it?"

Answer: "No"

MMPO has a very brief & obvious definition, but the objections to it must
be disclosed & answered, to the initiative-comittee at least.

Maybe Approval, but a lot of people reject it, perceiving it as illegal
Plurality.

Maybe Score.

If people prefer unlimited rankings, then maybe Bucklin.

It's use-precedent in at least 39 cities would help.

I regard voting system proposals, now, as a way to get people's attention
to a problem for which the 1st need is verifiable vote-counting.

Michael Ossipoff

A more succinct (but equivalent) way to define MAS would be "Elect the

candidate with the highest total score among all those tied for highest
median score."

Jameson's definition is probably better psychologically.

A grade ballot version would be "Elect the candidate with the highest

average grade among the candidates tied for highest median grade."

Regarding the resolution of blanks on MAS style ballots: Let the

candidates top rated on the ballot decide between down and middle.
Assuming the candidates at least publish an approval ballot before election
day, this adjustment could be automated  during the count.

Michael Ossipoff wrote ...

Yes, if both factions of the majority (A & B) cooperate by bottom voting

C,

but not eachother, then yes, A, the larger faction of the majority, wins.

But what if B, the other faction of the majority, defects instead of
cooperating?

They don't rate A or C above bottom.

Now B is the only candidate not bottom voted by a majority.

Additionally, B has more points than anyone else.

B, with fewer voters than A, wins because the A voters cooperated & the B
voters defected.

In 3-Slot ICT, if the A voters middle-rate B, & the B voters bottom-vote

A

(both factions bottom voting C), then C wins. The B voters should have
cooperated to beat C.

(The C voters bottom-vote A & B).

Michael Ossipoff
On Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM, "Jameson Quinn" jameson.quinn@gmail.com wrote:

I've been working on a simple three-slot system as a next step after
approval. This has gone through various iterations and names: U/P,

MUMA,

NUMA. The latest, and I hope final, version is MAS, Majority Acceptable
Score. Here's an explanation, intended for those without a voting

theory

background. The basic system is described in 3 sentences in the first
paragraph; the second paragraph describes the default rule, which is
worthwhile but not absolutely essential to the system; and the next two
paragraphs give some scenarios.

For each candidate, you may upvote, ?midvote?, or downvote. Candidates
with a majority of downvotes are eliminated, unless that eliminates
everyone. The remaining candidates get 2 points for every upvote and 1

for

every midvote. Most points wins.

When people leave a candidate blank, that could mean one of two things:
?never heard of this person?, which should count as a downvote for

safety;

or ?no strong feelings?, which should count as a midvote (because if

the

voter really disliked the candidate they would have downvoted). To
distinguish these possibilities, see if the candidate?s score from
non-blank votes averages at least half a point per voter; for instance,
this would be true if they were upvoted by 25%, or explicitly midvoted

by

50%. If the score is this good, that candidate is reasonably

well-known and

well-liked, so blanks count as midvotes; if it isn?t, that candidate is
relatively unknown, so blanks count as downvotes.

MAS is good at dealing with a vote-splitting situation ("chicken

dilemma",

so called because in many voting systems it can work like a game of

chicken

between the two majority subfactions). Say that one "side" of voters

have

55%, but there are two candidates on that side splitting the vote and

only

one on the other side. In this case, assuming voters on either side
downvote the candidates on the other side, the 45% candidate will be
eliminated by downvotes, and whichever subfaction of the majority has

more

supporters will win.

MAS also deals well with a "center squeeze" scenario, in which a

centrist

candidate faces off against candidates on either side. Assuming all

three

are equally qualified and likeable, the centrist will probably be able

to

beat either side in a one-on-one race (because leftist voters will

prefer

Center over Right, and vice versa); but it is quite possible that there
will be more partisans on either side than in the center. In this

case, the

centrist should not be punished simply for being more "crowded"
ideologically; their ability to dominate one-on-one means they should

win.

But many voting systems, such as IRV, can eliminate the centrist
prematurely, giving results like the tragic outcome in Egypt 2012.
Meanwhile, other systems, such as Condorcet, can enable tricky

strategies

by one side to possibly win. In MAS, as long as the center candidate

was

preferred by a respectable number of voters (say, 20% or more),

"midvotes"

from voters in either wing would probably be enough to let the centrist
win; and either defensive "midvoting" from the weaker wing or

defensive

"downvoting" by the centrists would probably be enough to stop a

takeover

by the stronger wing.


Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

On Oct 7, 2016 1:32 PM, "Forest Simmons" <fsimmons@pcc.edu> wrote: > > So MAS doesn't strictly satisfy the CD criterion, but a simple defensive measure by the A faction can keep B from winning; they just have to make sure that B's median score is zero by down voting B on a few ballots. (endquote) Yes, but when it's necessary for a certain fraction of the A voters to vote differently from the rest, that will require either 1) probabilistic voting by all the A voters; or 2) a party of campaign organization instructing people to not support B if they reside within certain street-boundaries of if their name alphabetizes between two specified other names. So, maybe the ICT count-rule needs more explanation, but probabilistic voting, or special voting instructions based on name of neighborhood makes more work for voters. A little more explanation can buy something easier to use. > > As Michael pointed out recently, plain Range with high resolution ballots provides a similar chicken defense for A. But MAS does the same thing with three slots, so I think it is an improvement. > > I agree that ICT is better than MAS, but not for public consumption. A proposer could say: We look at pairwise comparisons. X beats Y if: The number of people ranking X over Y is greater than the number of people ranking Y over X, + the number ranking both at top. So, if you rank them both at top, you're voting against either beating the other. We do that so that you can fully support & protect as many candidates as you want to, by top-ranking them. The winner is the unbeaten candidate who is top-ranked by the most people. If no one is unbeaten, the winner is the candidate top-ranked by the most people. (end of introduction/definition) Well yes, I tried that introduction, and it didn't go over well. I said, "If someone you didn't know came up to you with a clipboard, on a street-corner, gave that introduction, & invited you to sign the initiative petition for it, would you sign it?" Answer: "No" MMPO has a very brief & obvious definition, but the objections to it must be disclosed & answered, to the initiative-comittee at least. Maybe Approval, but a lot of people reject it, perceiving it as illegal Plurality. Maybe Score. If people prefer unlimited rankings, then maybe Bucklin. It's use-precedent in at least 39 cities would help. I regard voting system proposals, now, as a way to get people's attention to a problem for which the 1st need is verifiable vote-counting. Michael Ossipoff > > A more succinct (but equivalent) way to define MAS would be "Elect the candidate with the highest total score among all those tied for highest median score." > > Jameson's definition is probably better psychologically. > > A grade ballot version would be "Elect the candidate with the highest average grade among the candidates tied for highest median grade." > > Regarding the resolution of blanks on MAS style ballots: Let the candidates top rated on the ballot decide between down and middle. Assuming the candidates at least publish an approval ballot before election day, this adjustment could be automated during the count. > > Michael Ossipoff wrote ... >> >> >> Yes, if both factions of the majority (A & B) cooperate by bottom voting C, >> but not eachother, then yes, A, the larger faction of the majority, wins. >> >> But what if B, the other faction of the majority, defects instead of >> cooperating? >> >> They don't rate A or C above bottom. >> >> Now B is the only candidate not bottom voted by a majority. >> >> Additionally, B has more points than anyone else. >> >> B, with fewer voters than A, wins because the A voters cooperated & the B >> voters defected. >> >> In 3-Slot ICT, if the A voters middle-rate B, & the B voters bottom-vote A >> (both factions bottom voting C), then C wins. The B voters should have >> cooperated to beat C. >> >> (The C voters bottom-vote A & B). >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> On Oct 6, 2016 11:41 AM, "Jameson Quinn" <jameson.quinn@gmail.com> wrote: >> >> > I've been working on a simple three-slot system as a next step after >> > approval. This has gone through various iterations and names: U/P, MUMA, >> > NUMA. The latest, and I hope final, version is MAS, Majority Acceptable >> > Score. Here's an explanation, intended for those without a voting theory >> > background. The basic system is described in 3 sentences in the first >> > paragraph; the second paragraph describes the default rule, which is >> > worthwhile but not absolutely essential to the system; and the next two >> > paragraphs give some scenarios. >> > >> > For each candidate, you may upvote, ?midvote?, or downvote. Candidates >> > with a majority of downvotes are eliminated, unless that eliminates >> > everyone. The remaining candidates get 2 points for every upvote and 1 for >> > every midvote. Most points wins. >> > >> > When people leave a candidate blank, that could mean one of two things: >> > ?never heard of this person?, which should count as a downvote for safety; >> > or ?no strong feelings?, which should count as a midvote (because if the >> > voter really disliked the candidate they would have downvoted). To >> > distinguish these possibilities, see if the candidate?s score from >> > non-blank votes averages at least half a point per voter; for instance, >> > this would be true if they were upvoted by 25%, or explicitly midvoted by >> > 50%. If the score is this good, that candidate is reasonably well-known and >> > well-liked, so blanks count as midvotes; if it isn?t, that candidate is >> > relatively unknown, so blanks count as downvotes. >> > >> > MAS is good at dealing with a vote-splitting situation ("chicken dilemma", >> > so called because in many voting systems it can work like a game of chicken >> > between the two majority subfactions). Say that one "side" of voters have >> > 55%, but there are two candidates on that side splitting the vote and only >> > one on the other side. In this case, assuming voters on either side >> > downvote the candidates on the other side, the 45% candidate will be >> > eliminated by downvotes, and whichever subfaction of the majority has more >> > supporters will win. >> > >> > MAS also deals well with a "center squeeze" scenario, in which a centrist >> > candidate faces off against candidates on either side. Assuming all three >> > are equally qualified and likeable, the centrist will probably be able to >> > beat either side in a one-on-one race (because leftist voters will prefer >> > Center over Right, and vice versa); but it is quite possible that there >> > will be more partisans on either side than in the center. In this case, the >> > centrist should not be punished simply for being more "crowded" >> > ideologically; their ability to dominate one-on-one means they should win. >> > But many voting systems, such as IRV, can eliminate the centrist >> > prematurely, giving results like the tragic outcome in Egypt 2012. >> > Meanwhile, other systems, such as Condorcet, can enable tricky strategies >> > by one side to possibly win. In MAS, as long as the center candidate was >> > preferred by a respectable number of voters (say, 20% or more), "midvotes" >> > from voters in either wing would probably be enough to let the centrist >> > win; and *either* defensive "midvoting" from the weaker wing or defensive >> > "downvoting" by the centrists would probably be enough to stop a takeover >> > by the stronger wing. > > > > ---- > Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info >