Yes, the definition of Simmons' method, MDDA(pt/2) should be added to
Electowiki.
Should Forest get the first option to do that?
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 21, 2016 at 6:29 PM, Monkey Puzzle <araucaria.araucana@gmail.com
wrote:
Forest, Michael, Chris:
It seems that you are converging toward consensus on a modified version of
ICA that is equivalent to MDDTR(pt/2), if
Both these methods have scattered definitions on the list that go back
years, and the current discussion has moved toward something different than
the ICA description here: http://wiki.electorama.com/
wiki/Improved_Condorcet_Approval .
Would it be possible to have a concise restatement/correction of the
method(s) somewhere, preferably on electorama?
Thank you!
Frango ut patefaciam -- I break so that I may reveal
On Mon, Nov 21, 2016 at 3:03 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
"Just the knowledge that a failure of Mono-add-Plump is theoretically
possible could reduce people's enthusiasm for voting and make it more
likely that those who like to vote by just plumping for their favourite
will stay home."
...or make you rank your favorite last instead of first in IRV because
ranking hir first instead of last could make hir lose?
...or just not vote because you know that IRV can act oppositely to
changes in your vote?
Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Nov 19, 2016 at 12:18 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
On 11/19/2016 3:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
If the more embarrassing Mono-Raise failure doesn't give IRV any
acceptance or enactment problem, then why should the less embarrassing
Mono-Add-Plump failure of MDDTR give MDDTR an acceptance or enactment
problem?
Because what you consider more or less "embarrassing" I am sure isn't in
accord with what most people would find unacceptably ridiculous.
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes X lose, it's because you added a
ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that you voted
favorably to X.
That's right. "You" should have found some way to vote for X without
adding a ballot. Unfortunately removing someone else's ballot when you are
in the
polling station is usually impossible or legally risky.
Anyway, if IRV is so widely used and successful, then why would
nonmonotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?
Because IRV has a traditional and (for many) intuitive algorithm, and a
solid "maximal" set of criterion compliances and MDDTR doesn't.
Earlier you attempted to ridicule my observation that MDDTR fails
Irrelevant Ballots Independence by suggesting that might indirectly
motivate a higher
turnout. Well, just as some might have an interest in promoting that
(for voters who'll ignore the competitive/viable candidates) so as to wash
away
an otherwise likely majority-defeat disqualification so would opposed
forces have an interest in doing the opposite.
In fact you could have post-election recriminations reminiscent of those
that were aimed at Nader and those who voted for him supposedly allowing
Bush to
win a few years ago. "Those idiots weren't even really interested in who
won, why didn't they just stay home?!" could be the lament.
Just the knowledge that a failure of Mono-add-Plump is theoretically
possible could reduce people's enthusiasm for voting and make it more
likely that those who like to vote by just plumping for their favourite
will stay home.
Whereas IRV doesn't just meet mono-add-plump. It also meet Mono-add-Top.
C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent" device
can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest possible
excuse.
The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives some
more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and simple
message:
"You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre malfunction
"I've changed my mind, Y should win" and offers the nonsensical excuse "Hey
those
extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased the
total number of ballots!".
C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
C: There are methods that meet FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So your
proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up compliance with
mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy".
Chris Benham
On 11/19/2016 3:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
I don't mean that IRV isn't ok. IRV's Mono-Raise failure doesn't bother
me.
Neither does MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure.
Voting's purpose is probabilistic anyway. You vote to improve the
probability of a better outcome. The possible nonmonotonicity of IRV
& MDDTR doesn't invalidate that.
My point, in asking about when you make someone lose by raising hir from
last place to 1st place, was just that IRV is popular and widely used. It's
been used in Australia for a long time, and it's used in a fair number of
cities in this country. ...and now has been adopted by the state of Maine.
...in spite of its Mono-Raise failure.
If the more embarrassing Mono-Raise failure doesn't give IRV any
acceptance or enactment problem, then why should the less embarrassing
Mono-Add-Plump failure of MDDTR give MDDTR an acceptance or enactment
problem?
There of course have been objections to IRV, some valid, some not. But I
haven't heard any of the IRV critics in the various cities complain about
its nonmonotonicity. They object to implementation complexity. They
invalidly claim voting complexity. They invalidly complain because
supposedly voting is supposed to be by Plurality. They repealed IRV in
Burlington because of the elimination of a CWv. But none of the
complaints that I've heard, in cities using it or considering IRV, have
been about its nonmonotonicity.
Why I say that Mono-Raise failure is more embarrassing:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes X lose, it's because you added a
ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that you voted
favorably to X.
With IRV, if raising X from bottom to top makes X lose, then X lost for
no other reason than because you helped hir more.
There are 2 kinds of nonmonotonicity:
Did you make X lose in spite of voting favorably for hir?
or
Did you make X lose because you voted hir more favorably?
Of those 2 kinds of nonmonotonicity the 2nd one is more of an
embarrassment to the method. There, the method is more directly acting
oppositely to your action.
Maybe it could be said that the 2nd kind of nonmonotonicity is twice as
embarrassing to the voting-system.
Anyway, if IRV is so widely used and successful, then why would
nonmonotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?
I now feel that IRV's (mitigated) problem isn't an unusually high price
for CD, isn't more than the "going rate" for CD. IRV & its derivatives are
at the top of my ranking of method-merit for electorates who want &/or need
ranking.
Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Nov 18, 2016 at 1:23 AM, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
Forest--
You wrote:
But MAI still fails FBC.
Failing both FBC & CD isn't good.
So to me the best proposal is ICA with default approval cutoff at
truncation to help punish burial and truncation with an option to raise the
cutoff to withstand a CD attack.
But buriers or truncators could raise that approval cutoff too. Someone
could bury X under Z without having to approve Z. That loses the deterrence
that would exist if that burier had to approve Z in order to rank hir over
someone, as would be so if ranking is counted as approval.
So CD still comes at the cost of a lot less protection against burial,
or, in ICT's case, trunction too.
But that just means that it isn't better than MDDTR in that regard.
It doesn't mean that it's worse.
And it doesn't have Mono-Add-Plump failure.
So, the method has CD as MDDTR does, and trades truncation-proofness
for Mono-Add-Plump.
I value strategy protections more than embarrassment criteria. (But I
realize that proposal-opponents can use embarrassment criteria criticisms,
and that proponents aren't likely to be able to afford as much media time,
to answer the criticisms.)
[Replying farther down] :
Here's my version (slightly different from the original):
Candidate X strongly beats candidate Y iff
the number of ballots on which X is ranked over Y is greater than
the number of ballots on which Y is ranked equal to or greater than
Y.
[Note Y is not ranked equal to X if Y is not ranked.]
If not all of the candidates are strongly beaten, disqualify all of
the ones who are.
Elect the most approved qualified candidate.
I think that this method has all of the good properties of MDDA with
mono-add-plump to boot.
I've only had a preliminary look at it, but it seems to me, right now,
that the separate approval-cutoff that the voter can raise from the default
spoils protection from burial & truncation.
You wrote:
We still need to explore MDDA with the half power truncation rule,
since it would also satisfy mono-add-plump if I am not mistaken.
Yes, it seems to me that a 1/2 power-truncation would get rid of the
Mono-Add-Plump failure. If, by not ranking a certain 2 candidates, you give
them each at least half of a vote against eachother, that would bring
Mono-Add-Plump compliance, it seems to me.
So maybe it would avoid criticism of MDDA.
But, if used with MDDTR, it would spoil CD.
You wrote:
I agree with Chris Benham that mono-add-plump failure would be fatal
in a public proposal.
What if you're going to rank X last in your ranking. With all the
ballots, including yours, X will win. But then you move X to 1st place in
your ranking, and that makes X lose.
Would that be ok?
Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 2:12 PM, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
I meant to ask: Did you say that MTRI doesn't pass FBC? How does FBC
failure happen? In return for FBC, it should beat MDDTR at vulnerability to
burial, and not be vulnerable to truncation.
Anyway, anything you can tell me about the properties comparison
between MTRI & MDDTR would be helpful.
MIchael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 5:05 PM, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
For this method, MTRI, the procedural definition is more
understandable than the recursive definition (though the recursive
definition's brevity could be useful).
So this is what I understand MTRI's procedural definition to be:
Order the candidates by their top-count score, with higher scores
at top.
Switch the lowest pair of adjacent candidates whose lower
candidate pair-beats the higher one.
Repeat till there are no more pairs to switch. The highest candidate
in the order at that time wins.
As a CD rank method, this method is a competitor of MDDTR. What are
the property differences between MTRI & MDDTR?
In particular, how does MTRI compare with MDDTR in regards to
protection of a CWs against truncation & burial?
Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 2:55 PM, Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu
wrote:
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 10:54 AM, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
But wouldn't Smith//Approval, with approval cutoffs in the
rankings, share MDDTR's burial-vullnerability?
...with, additionally, vulnerability to truncation, which MDDTR
doesn't have?
And Smith//Approval trades MDDTR's FBC for Smith, which I consider
an unfavorable trade.
Perhaps make truncation the default approval cutoff, but let voters
move it higher as an option:
45 C
30 A>B or A>>B
25 B
Voting A>>B would be the chicken defense (where sincere is 25 B>A).
Voting A>B would be the truncation defense (where sincere is 45
C>B).
With this option, MDDA would be an FBC compliant method that is
truncation and burial resistant as well as quasi CD compliant.
Is there a way to modify MDDA to make it satisfy mono-add-plump?
How about incorporating some form of power truncation. When you
plump X and reduce the majority victory of Y over Z to a sub-majority, it
would revert to a majority if you counted the common truncation of Y and Z
against each other as even half a point.
Btw, in case you didn't see it, one of my new favorite non-FBC
methods is Most Approved Immune(MAI): Elect the most approved immune
candidate.
This means elect the most approved candidate X that is unbeaten
pairwise by the candidate that would win (recursively) if the method were
applied to the same ballot set with X disqualified or withdrawn.
It is the simplest approval based rank method that confers immunity
from second place complaints on its winners.
It is quasi CD compliant if voters can specify their approval
cutoffs above the truncation level when they want to.
A top rank version of this method is fully CD compliant:
Elect the Most Top Ranked Immune candidate. (MTRI)
In other words elect the most top ranked candidate X that is
unbeaten pairwise by the candidate that would win (recursively) if the
method were applied to the same ballot set with X disqualified or withdrawn.
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
info
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added
a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new
ballot plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for
X, not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to 1st
place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it is
the reason why X lost.
That "distinction" is meaningless and completely useless. The idea that
adding a ballot is "something you did" that rates a mention is ridiculous.
[Mike:] Anyway, if IRV is so widely used and successful, then why
would nonmonotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?
[Chris:] Because IRV has a traditional and (for many) intuitive algorithm
[Mike:] So, tradition before merit?
Mike, the (quoted) question of yours that I was answering was why
"would non-monotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?", not why it /should/.
Chris said:
Just the knowledge that a failure of Mono-add-Plump is theoretically
possible could reduce people's enthusiasm for voting and make it more
likely that those who like to vote by just plumping for their
favourite will stay home.
[endquote]
.Then the fact that ranking someone 1st place instead of last place
could make hir lose will likewise make you stay home instead of
showing up and top-ranking your favorite in IRV.
.
Monotonicity failures of the Participation-like "Your announced result
may be premature, I have only just voted, here is my ballot" type are
much more stark and
potentially problematic than the "I and everybody else has voted and the
result has been announced, but I wish to alter my ballot and have the
votes recounted"
type.
That is because (a) the media and sometimes the major parties are eager
for a quick result and usually the winner can be determined without
counting all the votes,
and (b) because it isn't practical (with a secret ballot) or legal to
allow voters to to change their already-cast ballots and demand a recount.
Suppose that a simple purely positional method (such as FPP or Approval)
has been used and voter P always just plumps for hir favourite. Now
suppose that the
method changes to IRV. No-one can ever demonstrate to voter P that
continuing to vote in the same way can ever cause a worse result for P's
favourite than if
P had stayed home.
That isn't the case with any method (like MDDTR) that fails
Mono-add-Plump. So MDDTR's failure of Mono-add-Plump makes for a much
stronger stay-at-home
incentive than IRV's vulnerability to Push-over strategy, with the
result that occasionally a subset of candidate X's supporters could have
got a better result for
X (than if they'd top-ranked X) by top-ranking some other candidate.
Anyway, we now know that, with the pt/2 provision, MDDA & MDDTR
needn't give up Mono-Add-Plump. ...and evidently MMPO needn't have
the Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
Regarding MDDA, symmetrically completing the ballots only at the bottom
and having a moveable approval cutoff fixes its failures of Mono-add-Plump
and Plurality and Irrelevant Ballots Independence and in my opinion
makes it a good/acceptable method.
Chris Benham
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Sat, Nov 19, 2016 at 12:18 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
On 11/19/2016 3:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
If the more embarrassing Mono-Raise failure doesn't give IRV any
acceptance or enactment problem, then why should the less
embarrassing Mono-Add-Plump failure of MDDTR give MDDTR an
acceptance or enactment problem?
Because what you consider more or less "embarrassing" I am sure
isn't in accord with what most people would find unacceptably
ridiculous.
You're right. What could be considered ridiculous about making a
candidate lose by raising hir from last choice to 1st choice in your
ranking?
:^)
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes X lose, it's because you
added a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact
that you voted favorably to X.
That's right. "You" should have found some way to vote for X
without adding a ballot. Unfortunately removing someone else's
ballot when you are in the
polling station is usually impossible or legally risky.
Then let me reword it:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added
a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new
ballot plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for
X, not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to 1st
place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it is
the reason why X lost.
Anyway, if IRV is so widely used and successful, then why would
nonmonotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?
Because IRV has a traditional and (for many) intuitive algorithm
So, tradition before merit?
, and a solid "maximal" set of criterion compliances and MDDTR
doesn't.
No doubt everyone has own definition of "solid maximal".
MDDTR avoids chicken dilemma and meets FBC.
IRV avoids chicken dilemma but fails FBC.
IRV was thrown out in Burlington because the CWs's voters have no way
to protect hir from defeat if hir faction is smallest, and neither
does anyone else, short of favorite-burial.
MDDTR doesn't have that problem. Though MDDTR's protection of a CWs
isn't as good as that of Simmons (unless, with Simmons, that CWs is
being denied approval due to a chicken-dilemma situation), MDDTR still
offers some burial deterrence (helped by voters, including the CWs's
voters, refusing to rank past the CWs), and full truncation-proofness.
IRV is pretty much unique, in the degree to which no one can do
anything to protect a small-faction CWs.
I don't oppose IRV, though I don't advocate it either (unless the only
alternative is no change from Plurality).
As I said in another thread, IRV's long track-record in elections for
national office, is one of 2-party domination.
Earlier you attempted to ridicule my observation that MDDTR fails
Irrelevant Ballots Independence by suggesting that might
indirectly motivate a higher
turnout.
There's nothing wrong with working to increase turnout.
Well, just as some might have an interest in promoting that (for
voters who'll ignore the competitive/viable candidates) so as to
wash away
an otherwise likely majority-defeat disqualification so would
opposed forces have an interest in doing the opposite.
Sure, some might have incentive to suppress turnout. That that's true
anyway, with any method. Anyway, measures to reduce turnout would be
difficult to justify in Congress, and, in some instances, under
existing law, would be illegal. I don't think that turnout-suppression
with MDDTR would be a problem.
In any case, the Mono-Add-Plump failure of MDDA & MDDTR is now moot,
because it's avoided by the pt/2 provision.
Chris said:
Just the knowledge that a failure of Mono-add-Plump is theoretically
possible could reduce people's enthusiasm for voting and make it more
likely that those who like to vote by just plumping for their
favourite will stay home.
[endquote]
.Then the fact that ranking someone 1st place instead of last place
could make hir lose will likewise make you stay home instead of
showing up and top-ranking your favorite in IRV.
.
Chris said:
Whereas IRV doesn't just meet mono-add-plump. It also meet Mono-add-Top
[endquote]
...and fails Mono-Raise, and fails FBC in a particularly flagrant way
that won't be unusual..
C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent"
device can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest
possible excuse.
The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives
some more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and
simple message:
"You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre
malfunction "I've changed my mind, Y should win" and offers the
nonsensical excuse "Hey those
extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased
the total number of ballots!".
C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)
are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
C: There are methods that meet FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So
your proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up
compliance with
mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy"
.
Sure, I'm more interested in making voting easier, and making
sincerity safer, than in embarrassment criteria. (...and IRV has an at
least equally ridiculous nonmonotonicity).
I now realize that MDDTR doesn't have wv strategy, though it does have
full truncation-proofness.
Simmons, MMPO(pt/2), IC,MMPO, and probably other methods meet FBC &
CD, and let voters protect a CWs to varying degrees under different
conditions...something that you have to give up when you choose IRV,
in which a CWs automatically loses if its faction is smallest.
I'm not saying that the overall IRV package couldn't be ok, if people
understand and accept IRV's problem and won't let it make them
favorite-bury.
Anyway, we now know that, with the pt/2 provision, MDDA & MDDTR
needn't give up Mono-Add-Plump. ...and evidently MMPO needn't have
the Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
On 11/19/2016 3:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
I don't mean that IRV isn't ok. IRV's Mono-Raise failure doesn't
bother me.
Neither does MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure.
Voting's purpose is probabilistic anyway. You vote to improve the
probability of a better outcome. The possible nonmonotonicity of IRV
& MDDTR doesn't invalidate that.
My point, in asking about when you make someone lose by raising
hir from last place to 1st place, was just that IRV is popular
and widely used. It's been used in Australia for a long time, and
it's used in a fair number of cities in this country. ...and now
has been adopted by the state of Maine.
...in spite of its Mono-Raise failure.
If the more embarrassing Mono-Raise failure doesn't give IRV any
acceptance or enactment problem, then why should the less
embarrassing Mono-Add-Plump failure of MDDTR give MDDTR an
acceptance or enactment problem?
There of course have been objections to IRV, some valid, some
not. But I haven't heard any of the IRV critics in the various
cities complain about its nonmonotonicity. They object to
implementation complexity. They invalidly claim voting
complexity. They invalidly complain because supposedly voting is
supposed to be by Plurality. They repealed IRV in Burlington
because of the elimination of a CWv. But none of the complaints
that I've heard, in cities using it or considering IRV, have been
about its nonmonotonicity.
Why I say that Mono-Raise failure is more embarrassing:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes X lose, it's because you
added a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact
that you voted favorably to X.
With IRV, if raising X from bottom to top makes X lose, then X
lost for no other reason than because you helped hir more.
There are 2 kinds of nonmonotonicity:
Did you make X lose _in spite of_ voting favorably for hir?
or
Did you make X lose _because_ you voted hir more favorably?
Of those 2 kinds of nonmonotonicity the 2nd one is more of an
embarrassment to the method. There, the method is more directly
acting oppositely to your action.
Maybe it could be said that the 2nd kind of nonmonotonicity is
twice as embarrassing to the voting-system.
Anyway, if IRV is so widely used and successful, then why would
nonmonotonicity be a problem for MDDTR?
I now feel that IRV's (mitigated) problem isn't an unusually high
price for CD, isn't more than the "going rate" for CD. IRV & its
derivatives are at the top of my ranking of method-merit for
electorates who want &/or need ranking.
Michael Ossipoff
On Fri, Nov 18, 2016 at 1:23 AM, Michael Ossipoff
<email9648742@gmail.com <mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote:
Forest--
You wrote:
But MAI still fails FBC.
Failing both FBC & CD isn't good.
So to me the best proposal is ICA with default approval
cutoff at truncation to help punish burial and truncation
with an option to raise the cutoff to withstand a CD attack.
But buriers or truncators could raise that approval cutoff
too. Someone could bury X under Z without having to approve
Z. That loses the deterrence that would exist if that burier
had to approve Z in order to rank hir over someone, as would
be so if ranking is counted as approval.
So CD still comes at the cost of a lot less protection
against burial, or, in ICT's case, trunction too.
But that just means that it isn't _better_ than MDDTR in that
regard. It doesn't mean that it's worse.
And it doesn't have Mono-Add-Plump failure.
So, the method has CD as MDDTR does, and trades
truncation-proofness for Mono-Add-Plump.
I value strategy protections more than embarrassment
criteria. (But I realize that proposal-opponents can use
embarrassment criteria criticisms, and that proponents aren't
likely to be able to afford as much media time, to answer the
criticisms.)
[Replying farther down] :
Here's my version (slightly different from the original):
Candidate X strongly beats candidate Y iff
the number of ballots on which X is ranked over Y is
greater than
the number of ballots on which Y is _/*ranked*/_ equal to
or greater than Y.
[Note Y is not ranked equal to X if Y is not ranked.]
If not all of the candidates are strongly beaten,
disqualify all of the ones who are.
Elect the most approved qualified candidate.
I think that this method has all of the good properties
of MDDA with mono-add-plump to boot.
I've only had a preliminary look at it, but it seems to me,
right now, that the separate approval-cutoff that the voter
can raise from the default spoils protection from burial &
truncation.
You wrote:
We still need to explore MDDA with the half power
truncation rule, since it would also satisfy
mono-add-plump if I am not mistaken.
Yes, it seems to me that a 1/2 power-truncation would get rid
of the Mono-Add-Plump failure. If, by not ranking a certain 2
candidates, you give them each at least half of a vote
against eachother, that would bring Mono-Add-Plump
compliance, it seems to me.
So maybe it would avoid criticism of MDDA.
But, if used with MDDTR, it would spoil CD.
You wrote:
I agree with Chris Benham that mono-add-plump failure
would be fatal in a public proposal.
What if you're going to rank X last in your ranking. With all
the ballots, including yours, X will win. But then you move X
to 1st place in your ranking, and that makes X lose.
Would that be ok?
Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 2:12 PM, Michael Ossipoff
<email9648742@gmail.com <mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>>
wrote:
I meant to ask: Did you say that MTRI doesn't pass
FBC? How does FBC failure happen? In return for FBC,
it should beat MDDTR at vulnerability to burial, and
not be vulnerable to truncation.
Anyway, anything you can tell me about the properties
comparison between MTRI & MDDTR would be helpful.
MIchael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 5:05 PM, Michael Ossipoff
<email9648742@gmail.com
<mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote:
For this method, MTRI, the procedural definition
is more understandable than the recursive
definition (though the recursive definition's
brevity could be useful).
So this is what I understand MTRI's procedural
definition to be:
1. Order the candidates by their top-count score,
with higher scores at top.
2. Switch the lowest pair of adjacent candidates
whose lower candidate pair-beats the higher one.
Repeat till there are no more pairs to switch.
The highest candidate in the order at that time wins.
-----------------------------------------------
As a CD rank method, this method is a competitor
of MDDTR. What are the property differences
between MTRI & MDDTR?
In particular, how does MTRI compare with MDDTR
in regards to protection of a CWs against
truncation & burial?
Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 2:55 PM, Forest Simmons
<fsimmons@pcc.edu <mailto:fsimmons@pcc.edu>> wrote:
On Thu, Nov 17, 2016 at 10:54 AM, Michael
Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com
<mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote:
But wouldn't Smith//Approval, with
approval cutoffs in the rankings, share
MDDTR's burial-vullnerability?
...with, additionally, vulnerability to
truncation, which MDDTR _doesn't_ have?
And Smith//Approval trades MDDTR's FBC
for Smith, which I consider an
unfavorable trade.
Perhaps make truncation the default approval
cutoff, but let voters move it higher as an
option:
45 C
30 A>B or A>>B
25 B
Voting A>>B would be the chicken defense
(where sincere is 25 B>A).
Voting A>B would be the truncation defense
(where sincere is 45 C>B).
With this option, MDDA would be an FBC
compliant method that is truncation and
burial resistant as well as quasi CD compliant.
Is there a way to modify MDDA to make it
satisfy mono-add-plump?
How about incorporating some form of power
truncation. When you plump X and reduce the
majority victory of Y over Z to a
sub-majority, it would revert to a majority
if you counted the common truncation of Y and
Z against each other as even half a point.
Btw, in case you didn't see it, one of my new
favorite non-FBC methods is Most Approved
Immune(MAI): Elect the most approved immune
candidate.
This means elect the most approved candidate
X that is unbeaten pairwise by the candidate
that would win (recursively) if the method
were applied to the same ballot set with X
disqualified or withdrawn.
It is the simplest approval based rank method
that confers immunity from second place
complaints on its winners.
It is quasi CD compliant if voters can
specify their approval cutoffs above the
truncation level when they want to.
A top rank version of this method is fully CD
compliant:
Elect the Most Top Ranked Immune candidate.
(MTRI)
In other words elect the most top ranked
candidate X that is unbeaten pairwise by the
candidate that would win (recursively) if the
method were applied to the same ballot set
with X disqualified or withdrawn.
Forest
No virus found in this message.
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Hi Chris,
De : C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au>
À : Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
Cc : EM election-methods@lists.electorama.com; Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu
Envoyé le : Mardi 22 novembre 2016 10h51
Objet : Re: [EM] Trying to have CD, protect strong top-set, and protect middle candidates too
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new ballot plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for X, not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to 1st place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it is the reason why X lost. >
That "distinction" is meaningless and completely useless. The idea that adding a ballot is "something you did" that rates a mention is ridiculous.
I'm not sure about this specific example but I think this kind of distinction could be a useful defense. For IRV I might argue that a mono-raise failure happens not just from raising the winner but also lowering some other, incidental candidate. The reason mono-raise failures are offensive is that supposedly the voter has done nothing but aid the preexisting winner. But at least in IRV it is not so clear as that.
Regarding MDDA, symmetrically completing the ballots only at the bottom and having a moveable approval cutoff fixes its failures of Mono-add-Plump
and Plurality and Irrelevant Ballots Independence and in my opinion makes it a good/acceptable method.
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
For whatever interest it may be, I calculated the "DNA" for the method you describe and got the exact same 343-digit code as for ICA(explicit). That's the first time I've hit a method I already had...
Chris Benham
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
Yes.
Something Toby Pereira wrote (9 Nov. 2016) regarding "Irrelevant
Ballots" got me thinking. The criterion I defined just talks about ballots
that plump for nobody, but there can also be a problem with ballots that
only vote nobodies below, say, equal-top.
Under MDDA with symmetric completion only at the bottom, adding ballots
like that can wash away "majority-defeat"
disqualifications and make the result less Condorcet-consistent.
This has led me to think of a modification to fix this problem that
looks to be too good to be true, but so far I can't see how.
*Voters submit rankings with an explicit approval cutoff. (I prefer
default placement to be just below candidates ranked below no-one).
On the ballots that have been symmetrically completed at the bottom,
find the smallest set S of candidate/s that majority-strength pairwise
beat all the outside-S candidates.
Disqualify the outside-S candidate/s and delete all the ballots that
make no distinction among the inside-S candidates.
Repeat as many times as possible. If at the end of this process more
than one candidate hasn't been disqualified, elect the
one of those by normal MDDA (SC).*
I am fearful that this might fail FBC and/or mono-raise, but I can't
(yet) see how it does.
45: A>B>>C
10: A=B
40: B
05: C
100 ballots. After symmetrically completing at the bottom we get A>B
47.5 - 42.5, A>C 75-25, B>C 95-5.
Normal MDDA(SC) disqualifies only C and then elects the most approved
candidate, B.
My suggested version first disqualifies C and then deletes the 5 C and
10 A=B ballots and then disqualifies B leaving A (the CW)
as the winner.
What do you think?
Chris Benham
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hi Chris,
De : C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au
À : Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
Cc : EM election-methods@lists.electorama.com; Forest Simmons
fsimmons@pcc.edu
Envoyé le : Mardi 22 novembre 2016 10h51
Objet : Re: [EM] Trying to have CD, protect strong top-set, and
protect middle candidates too
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added a
ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new
ballot plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for
X, not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to
1st place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it
is the reason why X lost.
That "distinction" is meaningless and completely useless. The idea that
adding a ballot is "something you did" that rates a mention is ridiculous.
I'm not sure about this specific example but I think this kind of
distinction could be a useful defense. For IRV I might argue that a
mono-raise failure happens not just from raising the winner but also
/lowering/ some other, incidental candidate. The reason mono-raise
failures are offensive is that supposedly the voter has done nothing
but aid the preexisting winner. But at least in IRV it is not so clear
as that.
Regarding MDDA, symmetrically completing the ballots only at the
bottom and having a moveable approval cutoff fixes its failures of
Mono-add-Plump
and Plurality and Irrelevant Ballots Independence and in my opinion
makes it a good/acceptable method.
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
For whatever interest it may be, I calculated the "DNA" for the method
you describe and got the exact same 343-digit code as for
ICA(explicit). That's the first time I've hit a method I already had...
Chris Benham
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Kevin suggested IC,MMPO, as a method that meets FBC, avoids
chicken-dilemma, and has MMPO's (uncertain) kind of protection of a
middle-ranked CWs.
MMPOsc achieves that too,and the symmetrical completion avoids the
Hitler-with-2-votes bad-example. But the symmetrical completion that it
needs spoils its truncation-proofness.
So an advantage of IC,MMPO over MMPOsc is truncation proofness, because the
IC avoids MMPO's bad-example, and so the symmetrical completion isn't
needed.
Forest's MDDAsc could be used with IC too. IC,MDDAsc would add a sort of
Condorcet-Criterion compliance. I guess the symmetrical completion would
still be needed, to keep Mono-Add-Plump,but, it doesn't do any harm to
MDDA's solid, positive protection of a middle-ranked CWs to whom approval
isn't denied..
So that's four related methods:
MDDAsc
MMPOsc
IC,MDDAsc
IC,MMPO
Some advantages among them:
MDDAsc:
Protection of a middle-ranked CWs is positive & solid, if approval isn't
denied that candidate.
MMPOsc:
Chicken-dilemma deterrence is automatic. All middle-ranked candidates would
receive some (uncertain) protection if they're CWs. But the protection of
any middle-ranked CWs is uncertain, and might or might not be there.
The necessary symmetrical completion spoils the truncation-proofness that
MMPO would otherwise have..
Deterrence of burial and truncation depends on the would-be buriers knowing
if the strength of pairwise oppositions favors them, or will result in
penalty. It depends largely on whether the candidate under whom they bury
the CWs has strong pairwise opposition other than by the CWs. Maybe that
threat would depend on the voters of the defending wing, between the median
and any possible burying-candidate, purposely leaving hir only weakly
pairwise-opposed (other than by the CWs). If there are a number of
candidates under whom the CWs could be buried, and who could receive strong
pairwise opposition, then it might be necessary to give low opposition
(other than by the CWs) to a number of them.
Anyway, the protection of a middle-ranked CWs is always uncertain.
IC,MDDAsc:
Compiance with Improved Condorcet Criterion is added to MDDAsc's properties.
IC,MMPO.
Same as above. Also, because symmetrical completion isn't needed, due to
IC, this method has, as an advantage over MMPOsc, that it's
truncation-proof.
MDDAsc & IC,MDDAsc seem to win the comparison because the voter can give
full, sold, positive protection to a candidate to whom s/he doesn't deny
approval. Chicken dilemma will be relatively uncommon, and so approval
won't usually be denied.
Michael Ossipoff
On Wed, Nov 23, 2016 at 8:09 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
Yes.
Something Toby Pereira wrote (9 Nov. 2016) regarding "Irrelevant Ballots"
got me thinking. The criterion I defined just talks about ballots
that plump for nobody, but there can also be a problem with ballots that
only vote nobodies below, say, equal-top.
Under MDDA with symmetric completion only at the bottom, adding ballots
like that can wash away "majority-defeat"
disqualifications and make the result less Condorcet-consistent.
This has led me to think of a modification to fix this problem that looks
to be too good to be true, but so far I can't see how.
*Voters submit rankings with an explicit approval cutoff. (I prefer
default placement to be just below candidates ranked below no-one).
On the ballots that have been symmetrically completed at the bottom, find
the smallest set S of candidate/s that majority-strength pairwise
beat all the outside-S candidates.
Disqualify the outside-S candidate/s and delete all the ballots that make
no distinction among the inside-S candidates.
Repeat as many times as possible. If at the end of this process more than
one candidate hasn't been disqualified, elect the
one of those by normal MDDA (SC).*
I am fearful that this might fail FBC and/or mono-raise, but I can't
(yet) see how it does.
45: A>B>>C
10: A=B
40: B
05: C
100 ballots. After symmetrically completing at the bottom we get A>B
47.5 - 42.5, A>C 75-25, B>C 95-5.
Normal MDDA(SC) disqualifies only C and then elects the most approved
candidate, B.
My suggested version first disqualifies C and then deletes the 5 C and
10 A=B ballots and then disqualifies B leaving A (the CW)
as the winner.
What do you think?
Chris Benham
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hi Chris,
De : C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au cbenham@adam.com.au
À : Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com email9648742@gmail.com
Cc : EM election-methods@lists.electorama.com
election-methods@lists.electorama.com; Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu
fsimmons@pcc.edu
Envoyé le : Mardi 22 novembre 2016 10h51
Objet : Re: [EM] Trying to have CD, protect strong top-set, and protect
middle candidates too
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added
a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new ballot
plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for X,
not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to 1st
place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it is the
reason why X lost.
That "distinction" is meaningless and completely useless. The idea that
adding a ballot is "something you did" that rates a mention is ridiculous.
I'm not sure about this specific example but I think this kind of
distinction could be a useful defense. For IRV I might argue that a
mono-raise failure happens not just from raising the winner but also
lowering some other, incidental candidate. The reason mono-raise
failures are offensive is that supposedly the voter has done nothing but
aid the preexisting winner. But at least in IRV it is not so clear as
that.
Regarding MDDA, symmetrically completing the ballots only at the bottom
and having a moveable approval cutoff fixes its failures of Mono-add-Plump
and Plurality and Irrelevant Ballots Independence and in my opinion makes
it a good/acceptable method.
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
For whatever interest it may be, I calculated the "DNA" for the method you
describe and got the exact same 343-digit code as for ICA(explicit). That's
the first time I've hit a method I already had...
Chris Benham
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Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7924 / Virus Database: 4664/13460 - Release Date: 11/22/16
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
Sorry to bother you yet again about this comparison, but I just want to say
one more thing about it:
It occurs to me that I was needlessly worried about a conflict, in MDDAsc,
between protecting against chicken-dilemma defection by B's voters, vs
protecting B from truncation & burial if s/he is CWs.
II realize that, in the standard chicken-dilemma example, C is
majority-disqualified, and is the only majority-disqualified candidate.
In that 3-candidate example, if B were the larger of {A,B}, and were CWs,
then, with the B voters not ranking or approving C, then, if the C voters
buried B under A, they'd thereby elect A as the only non-disqualified
candidate. (as several people have already pointed out).
So, in the chicken-dilemma situation, even if B were the CWs, s/he wouldn't
need an approval from A, for deterrence against truncation or burial. The
chicken-dilemma exists when people feel pretty sure that it exists. If it
looks & feels like a chicken-dilemma situaton, i probably is. It's
disconcertingly obvious. And, then, there's no need to worry "What if it
might, instead, be a situation in which B needs approval from the A
voters?"
So my concern about that was needless.
It's clear when it's a chicken-dilemma situation, and MDDAsc works fine in
that situation. The voter has the option of dealing with the
chicken-dilemma situation when it's clear that there is one, and also
fully, solidly, positively protecting, from truncation & burial,
middle-ranked candidates who need that protection.
Michael Ossipoff
On Thu, Nov 24, 2016 at 10:27 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Kevin suggested IC,MMPO, as a method that meets FBC, avoids
chicken-dilemma, and has MMPO's (uncertain) kind of protection of a
middle-ranked CWs.
MMPOsc achieves that too,and the symmetrical completion avoids the
Hitler-with-2-votes bad-example. But the symmetrical completion that it
needs spoils its truncation-proofness.
So an advantage of IC,MMPO over MMPOsc is truncation proofness, because
the IC avoids MMPO's bad-example, and so the symmetrical completion isn't
needed.
Forest's MDDAsc could be used with IC too. IC,MDDAsc would add a sort of
Condorcet-Criterion compliance. I guess the symmetrical completion would
still be needed, to keep Mono-Add-Plump,but, it doesn't do any harm to
MDDA's solid, positive protection of a middle-ranked CWs to whom approval
isn't denied..
So that's four related methods:
MDDAsc
MMPOsc
IC,MDDAsc
IC,MMPO
Some advantages among them:
MDDAsc:
Protection of a middle-ranked CWs is positive & solid, if approval isn't
denied that candidate.
MMPOsc:
Chicken-dilemma deterrence is automatic. All middle-ranked candidates
would receive some (uncertain) protection if they're CWs. But the
protection of any middle-ranked CWs is uncertain, and might or might not
be there.
The necessary symmetrical completion spoils the truncation-proofness that
MMPO would otherwise have..
Deterrence of burial and truncation depends on the would-be buriers
knowing if the strength of pairwise oppositions favors them, or will result
in penalty. It depends largely on whether the candidate under whom they
bury the CWs has strong pairwise opposition other than by the CWs. Maybe
that threat would depend on the voters of the defending wing, between the
median and any possible burying-candidate, purposely leaving hir only
weakly pairwise-opposed (other than by the CWs). If there are a number of
candidates under whom the CWs could be buried, and who could receive strong
pairwise opposition, then it might be necessary to give low opposition
(other than by the CWs) to a number of them.
Anyway, the protection of a middle-ranked CWs is always uncertain.
IC,MDDAsc:
Compiance with Improved Condorcet Criterion is added to MDDAsc's
properties.
IC,MMPO.
Same as above. Also, because symmetrical completion isn't needed, due to
IC, this method has, as an advantage over MMPOsc, that it's
truncation-proof.
MDDAsc & IC,MDDAsc seem to win the comparison because the voter can give
full, sold, positive protection to a candidate to whom s/he doesn't deny
approval. Chicken dilemma will be relatively uncommon, and so approval
won't usually be denied.
Michael Ossipoff
On Wed, Nov 23, 2016 at 8:09 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
Yes.
Something Toby Pereira wrote (9 Nov. 2016) regarding "Irrelevant
Ballots" got me thinking. The criterion I defined just talks about ballots
that plump for nobody, but there can also be a problem with ballots that
only vote nobodies below, say, equal-top.
Under MDDA with symmetric completion only at the bottom, adding ballots
like that can wash away "majority-defeat"
disqualifications and make the result less Condorcet-consistent.
This has led me to think of a modification to fix this problem that looks
to be too good to be true, but so far I can't see how.
*Voters submit rankings with an explicit approval cutoff. (I prefer
default placement to be just below candidates ranked below no-one).
On the ballots that have been symmetrically completed at the bottom, find
the smallest set S of candidate/s that majority-strength pairwise
beat all the outside-S candidates.
Disqualify the outside-S candidate/s and delete all the ballots that make
no distinction among the inside-S candidates.
Repeat as many times as possible. If at the end of this process more
than one candidate hasn't been disqualified, elect the
one of those by normal MDDA (SC).*
I am fearful that this might fail FBC and/or mono-raise, but I can't
(yet) see how it does.
45: A>B>>C
10: A=B
40: B
05: C
100 ballots. After symmetrically completing at the bottom we get A>B
47.5 - 42.5, A>C 75-25, B>C 95-5.
Normal MDDA(SC) disqualifies only C and then elects the most approved
candidate, B.
My suggested version first disqualifies C and then deletes the 5 C and
10 A=B ballots and then disqualifies B leaving A (the CW)
as the winner.
What do you think?
Chris Benham
On 11/23/2016 10:59 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote:
Hi Chris,
De : C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au cbenham@adam.com.au
À : Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com email9648742@gmail.com
Cc : EM election-methods@lists.electorama.com
election-methods@lists.electorama.com; Forest Simmons
fsimmons@pcc.edu fsimmons@pcc.edu
Envoyé le : Mardi 22 novembre 2016 10h51
Objet : Re: [EM] Trying to have CD, protect strong top-set, and
protect middle candidates too
On 11/22/2016 9:25 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
With MDDTR, if your plump for X makes hir lose, it's because you added
a ballot. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that the new ballot
plumped for X.
Your ballot made X lose in spite of the fact that it was a plump for X,
not because it was a plump for X.
But in IRV, when you make X lose by raising hir from last place to 1st
place, that raising of X was the only thing that you did, and it is the
reason why X lost.
That "distinction" is meaningless and completely useless. The idea that
adding a ballot is "something you did" that rates a mention is ridiculous.
I'm not sure about this specific example but I think this kind of
distinction could be a useful defense. For IRV I might argue that a
mono-raise failure happens not just from raising the winner but also
lowering some other, incidental candidate. The reason mono-raise
failures are offensive is that supposedly the voter has done nothing but
aid the preexisting winner. But at least in IRV it is not so clear as
that.
Regarding MDDA, symmetrically completing the ballots only at the bottom
and having a moveable approval cutoff fixes its failures of Mono-add-Plump
and Plurality and Irrelevant Ballots Independence and in my opinion
makes it a good/acceptable method.
Hmm, with a movable cutoff MDDA already violates Plurality with three
candidates. Do you think symmetric-completion of the bottom can save it?
For whatever interest it may be, I calculated the "DNA" for the method
you describe and got the exact same 343-digit code as for ICA(explicit).
That's the first time I've hit a method I already had...
Chris Benham
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7924 / Virus Database: 4664/13460 - Release Date: 11/22/16
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info