Forest,
Sorry you're right, I somehow miscounted.
However the method certainly fails "Pairwise Plurality", and I can't see
what the justification (in terms of criterion compliances) is for
the bad failure of Condorcet Loser.
Chris Benham
On 6/6/2015 4:06 AM, Forest Simmons wrote:
Chris,
in the second example the symmetrically completed ballots are
27 A
11 A>C
11 C>A
02 C
11 C>B
11 B>C
27 B
Candidate C, the IA-MPO winner, is ranked on 46 ballots. Neither A nor
B is top ranked on more than 38 ballots. So it seems to me that
Plurality is not violated.
In summary, IA-MPO does not violate the strong version of Plurality on
the symmetrically completed ballots, and does not violate the
(original) weaker version of Plurality (what I called Plurality') when
applied to the original ballots. I think it is too early to throw it out.
Forest
Forest
On Fri, Jun 5, 2015 at 9:46 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
Forest,
"Symmetrical completion normally would replace 16 A=C with 8 A>C
and 8 C>A . I understand why you didn't do it that way: you
didn't want to go outside the category of two slot ballots. But
just because the voters have to vote two slot ballots doesn't
mean that we are prohibited from using a counting method that
creates auxiliary data structures like matrices or three slot
rankings."
Your presumption about my motive is wrong. I did it that way
because (perhaps because of lack of sleep) that was the only way
that occurred to me.
I don't like 2-slot ballots and if they are used I can't take
seriously the idea that anything other than Approval should be
used to determine the winner.
Also I wasn't suggesting or contemplating using the symmetric
completion at the top to modify IA-MPO, rather I was just
suggesting using it to test
whether or not the result is in compliance with the Plurality
criterion.
Unfortunately your second example shows that even the newly
modified version of IA-MPO (that works on the ballots
symmetrically completed at
the top) miserably fails Plurality.
Chris Benham
On 6/5/2015 8:15 AM, Forest Simmons wrote:
On Wed, Jun 3, 2015 at 7:43 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
<mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote:
...
Forest, I'm not sure that this isn't the same as the normal
Plurality criterion. The reference to "first preference" in
the Plurality criterion definition I think refers to
exclusive first preference.
(I gather that Woodall's criteria are only about strict
rankings from the top, which may or may not be truncated,) I
suppose it could and should be extended to applying to ballots
that are symmetrically "completed" only at the top. Doing
that to your example gives:
41 A
18 C
41 B
Electing C on these ballots is insane and I don't see how
electing C on the original ballots (where some of the votes
are given half to one candidate and half to another) is
really any more justified.
Yes, this convinces me that the Plurality criterion should
definitely be applied to to the ballots symmetrically
completed at the top and that we can without regret
kiss IA-MPO goodbye.
Symmetrical completion normally would replace 16 A=C with 8 A>C
and 8 C>A . I understand why you didn't do it that way: you
didn't want to go outside the category of two slot ballots. But
just because the voters have to vote two slot ballots doesn't
mean that we are prohibited from using a counting method that
creates auxiliary data structures like matrices or three slot
rankings.
If we did this (I think more appropriate) kind of symmetric
completion, the working ballots would become
33 A
08 A>C
08 C>A
02 C
08 C>B
08 B>C
33 B
The resulting respective IA-MPO scores for A, B, and C would
become 49-49, 49-49, and 34-41, so this version of IA-MPO with a
front end of symmetric completion at the top would give a tie to
A and B, the only candidates with a non-negative score.
Let's try it on
27 A
22 A=C
02 C
22 B=C
27 B
Candidates A and B are tied for Approval Winner with 49 approvals
each against 46 for C, making C the ballot Condorcet Loser.
Let's do the natural symmetric completion to see the likely
sincere ballots that would be voted if equal ranking at top were
not allowed (nor practically required,as in Approval):
27 A
11 A>C
11 C>A
02 C
11 C>B
11 B>C
27 B
The respective IA-MPO scores for A, B, and C are 49-49, 49-49,
and 46-38, the only positive difference. So C wins. Note that C
is still the ballot Condorcet Loser.
Whether or not we like this result probably reflects how much we
prefer a centrist over an extremist, all else being equal.
Another version of the criterion is "Pairwise Plurality"
(suggested a while ago by Kevin or me): If candidate X's
lowest pairwise score is higher than candidate Y's highest
pairwise score, then Y must not be elected".
I like this. Both IA-MPO and SMD,TR fail it, as in the two
examples.
Nice idea!
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