FS
Forest Simmons
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 12:52 AM
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number of
votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D (not
too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
Forest
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number of
votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D (not
too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
Forest
JQ
Jameson Quinn
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 11:35 AM
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
- If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
- If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
- If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as good
as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account is
n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
beats approval.
2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu:
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
(not too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
1. If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
2. If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
3. If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as good
as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account is
n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
beats approval.
2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu>:
> How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
> style counting:
>
> Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
> blank counts as an E, between D and F.
>
> Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
> of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
> (not too bad)
>
> It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
> elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
> (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
> marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
> collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
> corresponding to only six levels.
>
> It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
> their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
>
> For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
> or minus (-) attached.
>
> And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
> asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
>
> Forest
>
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
JQ
Jameson Quinn
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 3:17 PM
Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA still
further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
up with a negative score. That's OK.
This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better on
center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will have
at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the Condorcet-losing
plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the subfactions of the
majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin, though.
It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of only
systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
total.
A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
initial election.
So if the first round was:
Total votes: 100
A: +30 -60; net -30
B: +26 -55; net -29
C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B and
C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60 max
explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both support a
new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
- If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
- If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
- If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
beats approval.
2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu:
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
(not too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
Carroll).
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
info
Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA still
further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
up with a negative score. That's OK.
This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better on
center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will have
at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the Condorcet-losing
plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the subfactions of the
majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin, though.
It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of only
systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
----
If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
total.
A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
initial election.
So if the first round was:
Total votes: 100
A: +30 -60; net -30
B: +26 -55; net -29
C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B and
C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60 max
explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both support a
new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
> I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
> soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
> 1. If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
> Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
> 2. If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
> thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
> means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
> 3. If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
> threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
>
> Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
> options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
> acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
> the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
>
> Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
> choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
>
> I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
> good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
>
> I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
>
> Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
> is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
> machines.
>
> All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
> beats approval.
>
>
> 2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu>:
>
>> How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
>> style counting:
>>
>> Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
>> blank counts as an E, between D and F.
>>
>> Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
>> of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
>> (not too bad)
>>
>> It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
>> elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
>> (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
>> marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
>> collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
>> corresponding to only six levels.
>>
>> It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
>> their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
>>
>> For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
>> or minus (-) attached.
>>
>> And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
>> winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
>> Carroll).
>>
>> Forest
>>
>>
>>
>> ----
>> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
>> info
>>
>>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 3:23 PM
Heaving only 2 rating-levels means that, ordinarily, strategy can't
importantly improve on sincerity.
But, if chicken dilemma becomes a problem, 3-Slot ICT's middle rating
avoids the problem.
Michael Ossipoff
On Oct 4, 2016 5:53 PM, "Forest Simmons" fsimmons@pcc.edu wrote:
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
(not too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
Heaving only 2 rating-levels means that, ordinarily, strategy can't
importantly improve on sincerity.
But, if chicken dilemma becomes a problem, 3-Slot ICT's middle rating
avoids the problem.
Michael Ossipoff
On Oct 4, 2016 5:53 PM, "Forest Simmons" <fsimmons@pcc.edu> wrote:
> How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
> style counting:
>
> Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
> blank counts as an E, between D and F.
>
> Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
> of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
> (not too bad)
>
> It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
> elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
> (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
> marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
> collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
> corresponding to only six levels.
>
> It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
> their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
>
> For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus (+)
> or minus (-) attached.
>
> And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single winner
> asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis Carroll).
>
> Forest
>
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
JQ
Jameson Quinn
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 5:53 PM
I'm renaming NUMA to MAS, Majority Acceptable Score. (In Spanish, Mayoría
Aceptable Sopeso.) Here's the new, equivalent, definition:
You should explicitly give 0, 1, or 2 points to each candidate; call these
actions "downvoting", "midvoting", and "upvoting". Eliminate all candidates
who were downvoted by a majority. Then, take the highest remaining point
score, or if no candidates remain, the highest score overall.
Default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, blank votes for them
count as midvotes (1 point); if they get upvoted by less, blank votes for
them count as downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates in a
race blank is not counted as having voted in that race at all.
Obviously, this could in principle be simplified yet further, with
essentially no strategic consequences in the abstract, by simply having
blank votes always count as downvotes. However, I think that would be bad
in a chicken dilemma situation, where most voters will tend to do what they
thing most other voters will tend to do. Thus, it should be clear that the
default in a chicken dilemma is to midvote, while the default for a dark
horse candidate is to downvote.
By redefining it to scores of 0/1/2 instead of -1/0/1, I remove the
possibility of negative scores, which simplifies things for those not
comfortable with math.
2016-10-05 11:17 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA still
further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
up with a negative score. That's OK.
This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better
on center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will
have at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the
Condorcet-losing plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the
subfactions of the majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin, though.
It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of only
systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
total.
A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
initial election.
So if the first round was:
Total votes: 100
A: +30 -60; net -30
B: +26 -55; net -29
C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B and
C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60 max
explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both support a
new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
- If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
- If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
- If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of
those options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in
MUMA, choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most
upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
beats approval.
2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu:
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
(not too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
(NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus
(+) or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
Carroll).
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
info
I'm renaming NUMA to MAS, Majority Acceptable Score. (In Spanish, Mayoría
Aceptable Sopeso.) Here's the new, equivalent, definition:
You should explicitly give 0, 1, or 2 points to each candidate; call these
actions "downvoting", "midvoting", and "upvoting". Eliminate all candidates
who were downvoted by a majority. Then, take the highest remaining point
score, or if no candidates remain, the highest score overall.
Default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, blank votes for them
count as midvotes (1 point); if they get upvoted by less, blank votes for
them count as downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates in a
race blank is not counted as having voted in that race at all.
Obviously, this could in principle be simplified yet further, with
essentially no strategic consequences in the abstract, by simply having
blank votes always count as downvotes. However, I think that would be bad
in a chicken dilemma situation, where most voters will tend to do what they
thing most other voters will tend to do. Thus, it should be clear that the
default in a chicken dilemma is to midvote, while the default for a dark
horse candidate is to downvote.
By redefining it to scores of 0/1/2 instead of -1/0/1, I remove the
possibility of negative scores, which simplifies things for those not
comfortable with math.
2016-10-05 11:17 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
> Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA still
> further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
>
> Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
> Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
> otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
> candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
> the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
>
> In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
> reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
> imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
> temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
> up with a negative score. That's OK.
>
> This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better
> on center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will
> have at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the
> Condorcet-losing plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the
> subfactions of the majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
>
> It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin, though.
> It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of only
> systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
>
> I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
>
>
> ----
>
>
> If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
> if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
> upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
> majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
> the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
> two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
> two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
> total.
>
> A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
> first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
> would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
> support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
> withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
> must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
> initial election.
>
> So if the first round was:
>
> Total votes: 100
> A: +30 -60; net -30
> B: +26 -55; net -29
> C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
> D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
> E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
>
> Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B and
> C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60 max
> explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both support a
> new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
>
> 2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
>
>> I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
>> soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
>> 1. If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
>> Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
>> 2. If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
>> thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
>> means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
>> 3. If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
>> threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
>>
>> Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of
>> those options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
>> acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
>> the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
>>
>> Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in
>> MUMA, choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most
>> upvotes).
>>
>> I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
>> good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
>>
>> I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
>>
>> Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
>> is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
>> machines.
>>
>> All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
>> beats approval.
>>
>>
>> 2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu>:
>>
>>> How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
>>> style counting:
>>>
>>> Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates. A
>>> blank counts as an E, between D and F.
>>>
>>> Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest number
>>> of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes above D
>>> (not too bad)
>>>
>>> It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ to
>>> elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too bad
>>> (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
>>> marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
>>> collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
>>> corresponding to only six levels.
>>>
>>> It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
>>> their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
>>>
>>> For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus
>>> (+) or minus (-) attached.
>>>
>>> And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
>>> winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
>>> Carroll).
>>>
>>> Forest
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> ----
>>> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
>>> info
>>>
>>>
>>
>
FS
Forest Simmons
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 8:35 PM
Jameson,
All of your comments are accurate and relevant, and the chicken problem is
the greatest; my proposal is no better than plain Approval in that regard.
Still as a public proposal it might be relatively easy to sell, especially
if we call it ...
:"Fewest Grades Below Average versus Most Grades Above Average"
(abbreviated FGBAvsMGAA),
and bill it as an instant runoff between the candidate given the fewest
number of below average grades and the candidate given the greatest number
of above average grades by the voters.
[A grade of C is considered average.]
Simplify it by sticking with the traditional A, B, C, D, and F grade
options, with D as the default grade.
This method shares with ordinary Instant Runoff the perception that it is
completely safe to vote your favorite strictly above your compromise
candidate, only in this case it's much, much closer to the truth.
There's room to distinguish Favorite (Green), Compromise (Libertarian),
Blah(Gerald Ford), LesserEvil(Stalin), and Greater Evil(Hitler).
The biggest complaint against Approval by IRV supporters is that Approval
requires you to vote your compromise equal with your favorite (or not
approve your compromise at all).
So I propose it as a good method that could compete successfully against
IRV.
We could call it the "Lake Wobegon" method because (according to Garrison
Keillor) that's where all of the women are strong, all of the men are good
looking, and all of the children are above average.
Forest
On Wed, Oct 5, 2016 at 4:35 AM, Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com
wrote:
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
- If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
- If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
- If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
beats approval.
Jameson,
All of your comments are accurate and relevant, and the chicken problem is
the greatest; my proposal is no better than plain Approval in that regard.
Still as a public proposal it might be relatively easy to sell, especially
if we call it ...
:"Fewest Grades Below Average versus Most Grades Above Average"
(abbreviated FGBAvsMGAA),
and bill it as an instant runoff between the candidate given the fewest
number of below average grades and the candidate given the greatest number
of above average grades by the voters.
[A grade of C is considered average.]
Simplify it by sticking with the traditional A, B, C, D, and F grade
options, with D as the default grade.
This method shares with ordinary Instant Runoff the perception that it is
completely safe to vote your favorite strictly above your compromise
candidate, only in this case it's much, much closer to the truth.
There's room to distinguish Favorite (Green), Compromise (Libertarian),
Blah(Gerald Ford), LesserEvil(Stalin), and Greater Evil(Hitler).
The biggest complaint against Approval by IRV supporters is that Approval
requires you to vote your compromise equal with your favorite (or not
approve your compromise at all).
So I propose it as a good method that could compete successfully against
IRV.
We could call it the "Lake Wobegon" method because (according to Garrison
Keillor) that's where all of the women are strong, all of the men are good
looking, and all of the children are above average.
Forest
On Wed, Oct 5, 2016 at 4:35 AM, Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>
wrote:
> I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
> soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
> 1. If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
> Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
> 2. If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different ballot
> thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make it; this
> means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
> 3. If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
> threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
>
> Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of those
> options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
> acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
> the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
>
> Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in MUMA,
> choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most upvotes).
>
> I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
> good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
>
> I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
>
> Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
> is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
> machines.
>
> All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system that
> beats approval.
>
>
>
JQ
Jameson Quinn
Wed, Oct 5, 2016 11:56 PM
One final adjustment to MAS.
Problem: in a center squeeze scenario, the squeezed center could plausibly
get less than 25% upvotes, but should still get a default of midvotes,
because they will probably get a number of explicit midvotes.
Solution:
New default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, or explicitly
midvoted by 50%, or any combination which yields the same score as these
two possibilities, blank votes for them count as midvotes (1 point); if
they get a lower score from explicit votes, blank votes for them count as
downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates in a race blank is
not counted as having voted in that race at all.
2016-10-05 13:53 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
I'm renaming NUMA to MAS, Majority Acceptable Score. (In Spanish, Mayoría
Aceptable Sopeso.) Here's the new, equivalent, definition:
You should explicitly give 0, 1, or 2 points to each candidate; call these
actions "downvoting", "midvoting", and "upvoting". Eliminate all candidates
who were downvoted by a majority. Then, take the highest remaining point
score, or if no candidates remain, the highest score overall.
Default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, blank votes for
them count as midvotes (1 point); if they get upvoted by less, blank votes
for them count as downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates
in a race blank is not counted as having voted in that race at all.
Obviously, this could in principle be simplified yet further, with
essentially no strategic consequences in the abstract, by simply having
blank votes always count as downvotes. However, I think that would be bad
in a chicken dilemma situation, where most voters will tend to do what they
thing most other voters will tend to do. Thus, it should be clear that the
default in a chicken dilemma is to midvote, while the default for a dark
horse candidate is to downvote.
By redefining it to scores of 0/1/2 instead of -1/0/1, I remove the
possibility of negative scores, which simplifies things for those not
comfortable with math.
2016-10-05 11:17 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA
still further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
up with a negative score. That's OK.
This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better
on center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will
have at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the
Condorcet-losing plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the
subfactions of the majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin,
though. It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of
only systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
total.
A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
initial election.
So if the first round was:
Total votes: 100
A: +30 -60; net -30
B: +26 -55; net -29
C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B
and C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60
max explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both
support a new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn jameson.quinn@gmail.com:
I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
- If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
- If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different
ballot thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make
it; this means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
- If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of
those options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in
MUMA, choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most
upvotes).
I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
machines.
All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system
that beats approval.
2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu:
How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
style counting:
Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates.
A blank counts as an E, between D and F.
Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest
number of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes
above D (not too bad)
It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ
to elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too
bad (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
corresponding to only six levels.
It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus
(+) or minus (-) attached.
And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
Carroll).
Forest
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
info
One final adjustment to MAS.
Problem: in a center squeeze scenario, the squeezed center could plausibly
get less than 25% upvotes, but should still get a default of midvotes,
because they will probably get a number of explicit midvotes.
Solution:
New default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, *or explicitly
midvoted by 50%, or any combination which yields the same score as these
two possibilities*, blank votes for them count as midvotes (1 point); if
they get *a lower score from explicit votes*, blank votes for them count as
downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates in a race blank is
not counted as having voted in that race at all.
2016-10-05 13:53 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
> I'm renaming NUMA to MAS, Majority Acceptable Score. (In Spanish, Mayoría
> Aceptable Sopeso.) Here's the new, equivalent, definition:
>
> You should explicitly give 0, 1, or 2 points to each candidate; call these
> actions "downvoting", "midvoting", and "upvoting". Eliminate all candidates
> who were downvoted by a majority. Then, take the highest remaining point
> score, or if no candidates remain, the highest score overall.
>
> Default rule: If a candidate gets upvoted by over 25%, blank votes for
> them count as midvotes (1 point); if they get upvoted by less, blank votes
> for them count as downvotes (0 points). A voter who leaves all candidates
> in a race blank is not counted as having voted in that race at all.
>
> Obviously, this could in principle be simplified yet further, with
> essentially no strategic consequences in the abstract, by simply having
> blank votes always count as downvotes. However, I think that would be bad
> in a chicken dilemma situation, where most voters will tend to do what they
> thing most other voters will tend to do. Thus, it should be clear that the
> default in a chicken dilemma is to midvote, while the default for a dark
> horse candidate is to downvote.
>
> By redefining it to scores of 0/1/2 instead of -1/0/1, I remove the
> possibility of negative scores, which simplifies things for those not
> comfortable with math.
>
> 2016-10-05 11:17 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
>
>> Inspired by Forest's proposal, I did think of a way to simplify MUMA
>> still further. I call it NUMA, Net Upvotes Majority Approval.
>>
>> Ballot has 3 levels: upvote/preferred, neutral, or downvote/unacceptable.
>> Default is neutral for candidates with over 25% upvotes, and downvote
>> otherwise. Anyone with majority downvotes is eliminated. Of the remaining
>> candidates (or, if none remain, of all of them), the winner is the one with
>> the highest "net score" (upvotes minus downvotes).
>>
>> In practice, the winning score could easily be negative, even for a
>> reasonably good candidate, in a chicken dilemma scenario. For example,
>> imagine Clinton/Obama/McCain; Obama had a historically high median
>> temperature in polls, but if he lost upvotes to Clinton, he could still end
>> up with a negative score. That's OK.
>>
>> This is slightly worse than MUMA on chicken dilemma, but slightly better
>> on center squeeze. I think most real-world chicken dilemma scenarios will
>> have at least a dash of center-squeeze dynamics; that is, the
>> Condorcet-losing plurality will have a weak net preference for one of the
>> subfactions of the majority. If that's true, then NUMA is better than MUMA.
>>
>> It's more of a stretch to claim that NUMA is a variant of Bucklin,
>> though. It's more like a Bucklin/Score hybrid; or, if you want to speak of
>> only systems with a longer pedigree, a Bucklin/Borda hybrid.
>>
>> I think that NUMA is easier to explain than MUMA.
>>
>>
>> ----
>>
>>
>> If you want a runoff version: If any candidate has a majority upvotes, or
>> if only one candidate has a majority non-downvotes and at least 25%
>> upvotes, then they win in the first round. If more than one candidate has a
>> majority non-downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, then the two of those with
>> the highest net score go to a runoff. Otherwise, the runoff includes the
>> two candidates with the fewest downvotes and at least 25% upvotes, and the
>> two candidates with the highest net scores; this could be 2-4 candidates in
>> total.
>>
>> A new candidate may be added to the runoff if they have support from
>> first-round candidates whose pooled upvotes and max explicit downvotes
>> would have given them a net score high enough to be in the runoff. Such
>> support may only be given once and any candidate giving such support must
>> withdraw from the runoff if they themselves would be eligible. Such support
>> must be announced within a reasonably short time frame (say, 1 week) of the
>> initial election.
>>
>> So if the first round was:
>>
>> Total votes: 100
>> A: +30 -60; net -30
>> B: +26 -55; net -29
>> C: +20 -40 (-5); net -25
>> D: +20 -60 (-20); net -60
>> E: +15 -15 (-70); net -70
>>
>> Type II runoff. A and B qualify by fewest downvotes and 25% upvotes; B
>> and C qualify by highest net; and D and E combined have 35 upvotes and 60
>> max explicit downvotes, or enough for an net of -25, so if they both
>> support a new candidate F, the runoff would be between A, B, C, and F.
>>
>> 2016-10-05 7:35 GMT-04:00 Jameson Quinn <jameson.quinn@gmail.com>:
>>
>>> I think Forest's proposed method is quite a good one in practice. But as
>>> soon as you bring pairwise into the picture, you fall into a trilemma:
>>> 1. If you do pairwise between more than two candidates, you need a
>>> Condorcet tiebreaker, and so complexity explodes.
>>> 2. If you do pairwise between two candidates selected by different
>>> ballot thresholds, then only one of the chicken-dilemma allies will make
>>> it; this means that the chicken problem will be as bad as in approval.
>>> 3. If you do pairwise between the top two candidates at one ballot
>>> threshold (ie, above-bottom), then you encourage cloning.
>>>
>>> Forest's proposal falls into 2. Personally, I think 3 is the best of
>>> those options. For instance, I'd like a 3-slot "pairwise winner of the most
>>> acceptable" (PWMA) method: 3-slot ballots, elects pairwise winner between
>>> the two with fewest explicit bottom-ranks.
>>>
>>> Or, for a system that falls into 1, "pairwise MUMA": eliminate as in
>>> MUMA, choose the CW if one exists, otherwise fall back to MUMA (most
>>> upvotes).
>>>
>>> I think any system falling into 1 or 3 will in practice get results as
>>> good as MUMA. In fact, slightly better: it helps deal with center squeeze.
>>>
>>> I have my doubts about 2; it could spoil over chicken strategy.
>>>
>>> Also, a minor point: any method that brings a pairwise race into account
>>> is n²-summable, not n-summable. This has implications for ballot-counting
>>> machines.
>>>
>>> All in all, though, I still favor MUMA as the simplest robust system
>>> that beats approval.
>>>
>>>
>>> 2016-10-04 20:52 GMT-04:00 Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu>:
>>>
>>>> How about Grade style ballots as in Majority Judgment, but simple MUMA
>>>> style counting:
>>>>
>>>> Each voter assigns grades A, B, C, D, or F to each of the candidates.
>>>> A blank counts as an E, between D and F.
>>>>
>>>> Elect the pairwise winner between the candidate with the greatest
>>>> number of votes above C (pretty good), and the greatest number of votes
>>>> above D (not too bad)
>>>>
>>>> It seems to me that this simple method would be even more apt than MJ
>>>> to elicit sincere ballots. In fact, if the pretty good (PG) and not too
>>>> bad (NTB) marks were not strictly required to be consistent with the grade
>>>> marks, then there would be no incentive to vote insincere grades or to
>>>> collapse preferences beyond the built in resolution constraint
>>>> corresponding to only six levels.
>>>>
>>>> It would be fun to see if voters did vote their grades consistent with
>>>> their PG and NTB marks when not required to.
>>>>
>>>> For more resolution in the pairwise comparison allow grades with plus
>>>> (+) or minus (-) attached.
>>>>
>>>> And while we're proposing simple methods, don't forget basic single
>>>> winner asset voting as first advocated by Charles Dodgson (aka Lewis
>>>> Carroll).
>>>>
>>>> Forest
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
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>>>> info
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
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