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FBC, center squeeze, and CD

MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 5:28 AM

I emphasize that I'm not saying that IRV is bad. I'm just saying that
MDDTR's faults certainly aren't worse than those of IRV.

And MDDTR offers a unique combination of valuable properties.

(...unique among methods that don't have a prohibitive problem and are
known to be implementable in large elections.)

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 5:59 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

In my IRV Mono-Raise failure example:

When I said:

33: A
29: B
30: C

II meant:

33: A
29: B>C
30: C>A

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:47 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR,
by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump
failure?

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed
it for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

Equal rankings allowed.

  1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
    everyone has one.

  2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
    voters.

[end of definition]

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.

The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed
what that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be
popular in spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then
MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness
exaggerated.

IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com

wrote:

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

  1. Caring about favorites:

a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:

IRV:

31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A

1st round totals:

A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30

C is eliminated & transferss to A

Now A has a 61 majority and wins.

But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:

33: A
29: B
30: C

B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.

Now C has a 59 majority and wins.

b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.

Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.

So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer
IRV with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.

  1. Simplicity:

What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:

Sincere:

40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B

A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.

Strategic:

40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)

Now B wins.

That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.

Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.

Michael Ossipoff

By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <
email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.

But how so?

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing.  If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:

"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.

Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".

So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.

Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

...the same advantages that MMPO has.

...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.

If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.

So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.

And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.

But generally speaking people care most about their favourites

True.

, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
true that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters.  So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."

But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.

...as with MDDTR.

Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.

...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?

What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)  are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

But it would have been strategically great!

Now, here's a question on a related topic:

Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.
I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.

...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X
to lose?

If so, why?

It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.

If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating
Mono-Add-Plump.

Michael Ossipoff

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au
wrote:

The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".

20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B  (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
C=B)
25: B
48: W

All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.

Chris Benham

I emphasize that I'm not saying that IRV is bad. I'm just saying that MDDTR's faults certainly aren't worse than those of IRV. And MDDTR offers a unique combination of valuable properties. (...unique among methods that don't have a prohibitive problem and are known to be implementable in large elections.) Michael Ossipoff On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 5:59 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote: > In my IRV Mono-Raise failure example: > > When I said: > > 33: A > 29: B > 30: C > > II meant: > > 33: A > 29: B>C > 30: C>A > > Michael Ossipoff > > On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:47 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> > wrote: > >> Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR, >> by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump >> failure? >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> >> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> >>> I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed >>> it for a while. >>> >>> Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? >>> >>> MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings. >>> >>> MDDTR: >>> >>> Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. >>> >>> Equal rankings allowed. >>> >>> 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless >>> everyone has one. >>> >>> 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most >>> voters. >>> >>> [end of definition] >>> >>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy. >>> >>> The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed >>> what that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be >>> popular in spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then >>> MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness >>> exaggerated. >>> >>> IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or >>> shouldn't be at least as popular. >>> >>> Michael Ossipoff >>> >>> >>> >>> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com >>> > wrote: >>> >>>> >>>> Chris-- >>>> >>>> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise >>>> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because >>>> Mono-Raise failure is simpler. >>>> >>>> 1. Caring about favorites: >>>> >>>> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone >>>> sincerely moves their favorite to top?: >>>> >>>> IRV: >>>> >>>> 31: A >>>> 2: B>A (sincere is A) >>>> 29: B>C >>>> 30: C>A >>>> >>>> 1st round totals: >>>> >>>> A = 31 >>>> B = 29 + 2 = 31 >>>> C = 30 >>>> >>>> C is eliminated & transferss to A >>>> >>>> Now A has a 61 majority and wins. >>>> >>>> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top: >>>> >>>> 33: A >>>> 29: B >>>> 30: C >>>> >>>> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C. >>>> >>>> Now C has a 59 majority and wins. >>>> >>>> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise >>>> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In >>>> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to >>>> favorite-bury elected their last choice. >>>> >>>> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about >>>> Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's >>>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for >>>> Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington. >>>> >>>> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer >>>> IRV with its Mono-Raise failure >>>> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure. >>>> >>>> 2. Simplicity: >>>> >>>> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to >>>> help Compromise beat Worst: >>>> >>>> Sincere: >>>> >>>> 40: C >>>> 25: B>C >>>> 35: A>B >>>> >>>> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to >>>> C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury. >>>> >>>> Strategic: >>>> >>>> 40: C >>>> 25: B>C >>>> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B) >>>> >>>> Now B wins. >>>> >>>> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad >>>> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need. >>>> >>>> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But >>>> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse >>>> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to >>>> favorite-bury. >>>> >>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>> >>>> >>>> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose. >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff < >>>> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote: >>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense. >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> But how so? >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the >>>>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV >>>>>> and Benham), I would say: >>>>>> >>>>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every >>>>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually >>>>>> incompatible), and this method economises >>>>>> by not meeting mono-raise. >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method >>>>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment >>>>> criteria", "could-look-bad". >>>>> >>>>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the >>>>> "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a >>>>> practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad >>>>> news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad". >>>>> >>>>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a >>>>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good >>>>> thins about those methods. >>>>> >>>>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump. >>>>> >>>>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. >>>>> >>>>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has. >>>>> >>>>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. >>>>> >>>>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't >>>>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC, >>>>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir >>>>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods >>>>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent, >>>>> nonstrategic truncation. >>>>> >>>>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is >>>>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who >>>>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) >>>>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin >>>>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I >>>>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are >>>>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. >>>>> >>>>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big >>>>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know >>>>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the >>>>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to >>>>> elect hir. >>>>> >>>>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. >>>>> >>>>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise >>>>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its >>>>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that. >>>>> >>>>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's >>>>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> True. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's >>>>>> true that after the election >>>>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't >>>>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and >>>>>> of course isn't >>>>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X >>>>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and >>>>>> coordinated we could have >>>>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and >>>>>> elected X." >>>>>> >>>>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that >>>>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy. >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> ...as with MDDTR. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be >>>>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither >>>>>> should it be >>>>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them >>>>> higher? >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are >>>>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? >>>>>> >>>>> >>>>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing >>>>> Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. >>>>> >>>>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. >>>>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure >>>>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite). >>>>> >>>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Chris Benham >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to >>>>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >>>>>> >>>>>> But it would have been strategically great! >>>>>> >>>>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >>>>>> >>>>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. >>>>>> I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose. >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X >>>>>> to lose? >>>>>> >>>>>> If so, why? >>>>>> >>>>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >>>>>> >>>>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a >>>>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X. >>>>>> >>>>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for >>>>>> X, that made X lose??!" >>>>>> >>>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>>>> >>>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>>>> >>>>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating >>>>>> Mono-Add-Plump. >>>>>> >>>>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> >>>>>> wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device" >>>>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested >>>>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom". >>>>>>> >>>>>>> 20: F=C >>B >>>>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> >>>>>>> C=B) >>>>>>> 25: B >>>>>>> 48: W >>>>>>> >>>>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters >>>>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom >>>>>>> then the winner changes to B. >>>>>>> >>>>>>> Chris Benham >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>> >>>> >>> >> >
TP
Toby Pereira
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 1:35 PM

On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a monotonicity failure.
Changing an existing ballot = monotonicityAdding a new ballot = participation

  From: Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>

To: C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au; EM election-methods@lists.electorama.com
Sent: Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32
Subject: Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a monotonicity failure. Changing an existing ballot = monotonicityAdding a new ballot = participation From: Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> To: C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au>; EM <election-methods@lists.electorama.com> Sent: Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32 Subject: Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD Chris-- You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise failure is simpler.
C
C.Benham
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 4:22 PM

On 11/7/2016 6:18 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:

 On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
 ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a
 ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with
 the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of
 various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same."
 "Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense.

But how so?

C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent" device
can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest possible
excuse.

The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives some
more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and simple
message:
"You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre malfunction
"I've changed my mind, Y should win" and offers the nonsensical excuse
"Hey those
extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased the
total number of ballots!".

C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)
are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.

C: There are methods that meet  FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So your
proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up compliance with
mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy".

That argument is impossible to make. And it isn't clear to me that
"wv-like strategy" is even something we should take if it was free.

Chris Benham

 But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost
 when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the
 ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
 Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing.  If
 the method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like
 (such as IRV and Benham), I would say:

 "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
 desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
 incompatible), and this method economises
 by not meeting mono-raise.

Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".

So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be
bad news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying
good things about those methods.

Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

...the same advantages that MMPO has.

...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of
FBC, and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to
protects hir from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are
pairwise-count methods very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive
strategy, and innocent, nonstrategic truncation.

If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be
known who the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so
s/he (& you too) lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know
that the Bucklin failure that I just described will be rarer than the
IRV failure that I just described. And IRV brings some big advantages
for people who are majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer
the other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd
prefer to elect hir.

So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.

And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.

 But generally speaking people care most about their favourites

True.

 , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top.
 It's true that after the election
 some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we
 hadn't top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely
 to be noticed and of course isn't
 true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
 supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed
 and coordinated we could have
 used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
 elected X."

 But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
 "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.

...as with MDDTR.

 Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
 confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example,
 neither should it be
 confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.

...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?

 What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) 
 are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a
favorite).

Michael Ossipoff

 Chris Benham
 Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
 reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

 But it would have been strategically great!

 Now, here's a question on a related topic:

 Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is
 winning. I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.


 ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes
 X to lose?

 If so, why?

 It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

 I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm
 adding a ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly
 should favor X.

 If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped
 for X, that made X lose??!"

 ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a
 ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with
 the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of
 various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same."

 But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost
 when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the
 ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.

 So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating
 Mono-Add-Plump.

 Michael Ossipoff



 On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
 <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote:

     The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an anti-defection
     device"  failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's
     suggested
     "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".

     20: F=C >>B
     07: F > C=B   (or, for the sake of Forest's method
     suggestion, F >> C=B)
     25: B
     48: W

     All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B
     voters change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
     then the winner changes to B.

     Chris Benham

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com http://www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13360 - Release Date: 11/06/16

On 11/7/2016 6:18 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > > > On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au > <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote: > > On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a >> ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with >> the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of >> various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same." > > "Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense. > > > But how so? > C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent" device can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest possible excuse. The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives some more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and simple message: "You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre malfunction "I've changed my mind, Y should win" and offers the nonsensical excuse "Hey those extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased the total number of ballots!". > C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) > are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? > > Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing > Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. > > With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. C: There are methods that meet FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So your proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up compliance with mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy". That argument is impossible to make. And it isn't clear to me that "wv-like strategy" is even something we should take if it was free. Chris Benham > > >> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost >> when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the >> ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. > > Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If > the method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like > (such as IRV and Benham), I would say: > > "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every > desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually > incompatible), and this method economises > by not meeting mono-raise. > > > Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method > provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment > criteria", "could-look-bad". > > So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the > "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a > practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be > bad news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad". > > But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a > could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying > good things about those methods. > > Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump. > > MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. > > ...the same advantages that MMPO has. > > ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. > > You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't > reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of > FBC, and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to > protects hir from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are > pairwise-count methods very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive > strategy, and innocent, nonstrategic truncation. > > If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is > disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be > known who the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so > s/he (& you too) lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know > that the Bucklin failure that I just described will be rarer than the > IRV failure that I just described. And IRV brings some big advantages > for people who are majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. > > If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big > enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know > something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer > the other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd > prefer to elect hir. > > So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. > > Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise > failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its > Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that. > > And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's > Mono-Add-Plump failure. > > > > But generally speaking people care most about their favourites > > > True. > > , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. > It's true that after the election > some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we > hadn't top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely > to be noticed and of course isn't > true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X > supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed > and coordinated we could have > used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and > elected X." > > But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that > "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy. > > > ...as with MDDTR. > > > Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be > confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, > neither should it be > confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. > > > ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them > higher? > > > What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) > are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? > > > FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing > Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. > > With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. > That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure > (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a > favorite). > > Michael Ossipoff > > > Chris Benham > > >> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to >> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >> >> But it would have been strategically great! >> >> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >> >> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is >> winning. I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose. >> >> >> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes >> X to lose? >> >> If so, why? >> >> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >> >> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm >> adding a ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly >> should favor X. >> >> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped >> for X, that made X lose??!" >> >> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a >> ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with >> the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of >> various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same." >> >> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost >> when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the >> ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >> >> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating >> Mono-Add-Plump. >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> >> >> >> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au >> <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote: >> >> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection >> device" failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's >> suggested >> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom". >> >> 20: F=C >>B >> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method >> suggestion, F >> C=B) >> 25: B >> 48: W >> >> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B >> voters change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom >> then the winner changes to B. >> >> Chris Benham >> >> >> > > > No virus found in this message. > Checked by AVG - www.avg.com <http://www.avg.com> > Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13360 - Release Date: 11/06/16 >
C
C.Benham
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 4:46 PM

On 11/8/2016 8:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't
discussed it for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots.

The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive.

Chris Benham

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't
discussed it for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

Equal rankings allowed.

  1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
    everyone has one.

  2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
    voters.

[end of definition]

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.

The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed
what that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be
popular in spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need,
then MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance &
badness exaggerated.

IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff
<email9648742@gmail.com mailto:email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:

 Chris--

 You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
 failure because people care more about their favorites, and
 because Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

 1. Caring about favorites:

 a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when
 someone sincerely moves their favorite to top?:

 IRV:

 31: A
 2: B>A (sincere is A)
 29: B>C
 30: C>A

 1st round totals:

 A = 31
 B = 29 + 2 = 31
 C = 30

 C is eliminated & transferss to A

 Now A has a 61 majority and wins.

 But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:

 33: A
 29: B
 30: C

 B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.

 Now C has a 59 majority and wins.

 b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank
 Comprmise over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all
 familiar with that. In Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that,
 and their failure to favorite-bury elected their last choice.

 Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
 Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
 Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
 Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.

 So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to
 prefer IRV with its Mono-Raise failure
 & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.

 2. Simplicity:

 What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your
 favorite to help Compromise beat Worst:

 Sincere:

 40: C
 25: B>C
 35: A>B

 A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated &
 transfers to C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.

 Strategic:

 40: C
 25: B>C
 35: B>A (sincere is A>B)

 Now B wins.

 That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
 criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.

 Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity
 problem. But its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump
 problem, and is worse because it's a practical strategy problem
 that makes people need to favorite-bury.

 Michael Ossipoff


 By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.








 On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff
 <email9648742@gmail.com <mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote:



     On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
     <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote:

         On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
         ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added
         a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to
         do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have
         plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect
         would have been exacsly the same."
         "Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense.


     But how so?
         But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X
         lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance,
         making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_
         thing that I'm doing.
         Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good
         thing.  If the method used was one of the mono-raise
         failing methods I like (such as IRV and Benham), I would say:

         "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to
         have every desirable property (because some of those
         properties are mutually incompatible), and this method
         economises
         by not meeting mono-raise.


     Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a
     method provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of
     "embarrassment criteria", "could-look-bad".

     So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
     "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad
     in a practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's
     "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
     suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

     But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
     could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me
     from saying good thins about those methods.

     Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails
     Mono-Add-Plump.

     MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

     ...the same advantages that MMPO has.

     ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

     You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV.
     I don't reject those methods, though they aren't my main
     proposals, because of FBC, and the fact that there's nothing
     the CWs's voters can do to protects hir from losing, and the
     fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods very
     vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
     nonstrategic truncation.

     If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
     disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not
     be known who the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy
     plump, and so s/he (& you too) lose anyway, even though it
     isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin failure that I just
     described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I just
     described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who
     are majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

     If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then
     s/he's big enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's
     voters would know something about hir, and would be unlikely
     to reject hir & transfer the other way when s/he's close
     enough to what you want that you'd prefer to elect hir.

     So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

     Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its
     Mono-Raise failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You
     like IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from
     it. I agree with you on that.

     And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by
     MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure.



         But generally speaking people care most about their favourites


     True.

         , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also
         mono-add-top. It's true that after the election
         some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If
         we hadn't top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is
         unlikely to be noticed and of course isn't
         true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters.  So
         the X supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been
         well informed and coordinated we could have
         used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same
         way) and elected X."

         But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate
         then that "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much
         sympathy.


     ...as with MDDTR.


         Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid"
         as to be confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO
         failure example, neither should it be
         confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.


     ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by
     ranking them higher?


         What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion
         compliances)  are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?


     FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
     Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

     With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is
     Mono-Add-Plump. That's a very small price, arguably less than
     IRV's Mono-Raise failure (though I note that you mentioned
     that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).

     Michael Ossipoff


         Chris Benham
         Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we
         have to reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

         But it would have been strategically great!

         Now, here's a question on a related topic:

         Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X
         is winning. I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to
         lose.


         ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and
         that causes X to lose?

         If so, why?

         It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

         I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things:
         I'm adding a ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way
         that clearly should favor X.

         If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and
         plumped for X, that made X lose??!"

         ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added
         a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to
         do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have
         plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect
         would have been exacsly the same."

         But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X
         lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance,
         making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_
         thing that I'm doing.

         So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating
         Mono-Add-Plump.

         Michael Ossipoff



         On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham
         <cbenham@adam.com.au <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote:

             The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an
             anti-defection device"  failing FBC I'm afraid also
             works for both Mike's suggested
             "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested
             "TopMiddleBottom".

             20: F=C >>B
             07: F > C=B   (or, for the sake of Forest's method
             suggestion, F >> C=B)
             25: B
             48: W

             All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C

B voters change their rating of F from Top to

             Middle or Bottom
             then the winner changes to B.

             Chris Benham

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com http://www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16

On 11/8/2016 8:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't > discussed it for a while. > > Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? I think you did. There was a 3-slot MDDA: http://wiki.electorama.com/wiki/Majority_Defeat_Disqualification_Approval > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots. The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive. Chris Benham > I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't > discussed it for a while. > > Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? > > MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings. > > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. > > Equal rankings allowed. > > 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless > everyone has one. > > 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most > voters. > > [end of definition] > > MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy. > > The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed > what that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be > popular in spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, > then MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & > badness exaggerated. > > IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or > shouldn't be at least as popular. > > Michael Ossipoff > > > > On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff > <email9648742@gmail.com <mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote: > > > Chris-- > > You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise > failure because people care more about their favorites, and > because Mono-Raise failure is simpler. > > 1. Caring about favorites: > > a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when > someone sincerely moves their favorite to top?: > > IRV: > > 31: A > 2: B>A (sincere is A) > 29: B>C > 30: C>A > > 1st round totals: > > A = 31 > B = 29 + 2 = 31 > C = 30 > > C is eliminated & transferss to A > > Now A has a 61 majority and wins. > > But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top: > > 33: A > 29: B > 30: C > > B gets eliminated, and transfers to C. > > Now C has a 59 majority and wins. > > b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank > Comprmise over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all > familiar with that. In Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, > and their failure to favorite-bury elected their last choice. > > Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about > Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's > Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for > Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington. > > So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to > prefer IRV with its Mono-Raise failure > & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure. > > 2. Simplicity: > > What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your > favorite to help Compromise beat Worst: > > Sincere: > > 40: C > 25: B>C > 35: A>B > > A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & > transfers to C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury. > > Strategic: > > 40: C > 25: B>C > 35: B>A (sincere is A>B) > > Now B wins. > > That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad > criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need. > > Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity > problem. But its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump > problem, and is worse because it's a practical strategy problem > that makes people need to favorite-bury. > > Michael Ossipoff > > > By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose. > > > > > > > > > On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff > <email9648742@gmail.com <mailto:email9648742@gmail.com>> wrote: > > > > On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au > <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote: > > On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added >> a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to >> do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have >> plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect >> would have been exacsly the same." > > "Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense. > > > But how so? > > >> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X >> lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, >> making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ >> thing that I'm doing. > > Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good > thing. If the method used was one of the mono-raise > failing methods I like (such as IRV and Benham), I would say: > > "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to > have every desirable property (because some of those > properties are mutually incompatible), and this method > economises > by not meeting mono-raise. > > > Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a > method provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of > "embarrassment criteria", "could-look-bad". > > So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the > "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad > in a practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's > "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you > suggested, is more than a "look-bad". > > But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a > could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me > from saying good thins about those methods. > > Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails > Mono-Add-Plump. > > MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. > > ...the same advantages that MMPO has. > > ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. > > You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. > I don't reject those methods, though they aren't my main > proposals, because of FBC, and the fact that there's nothing > the CWs's voters can do to protects hir from losing, and the > fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods very > vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent, > nonstrategic truncation. > > If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is > disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not > be known who the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy > plump, and so s/he (& you too) lose anyway, even though it > isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin failure that I just > described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I just > described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who > are majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. > > If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then > s/he's big enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's > voters would know something about hir, and would be unlikely > to reject hir & transfer the other way when s/he's close > enough to what you want that you'd prefer to elect hir. > > So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. > > Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its > Mono-Raise failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You > like IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from > it. I agree with you on that. > > And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by > MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure. > > > > But generally speaking people care most about their favourites > > > True. > > , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also > mono-add-top. It's true that after the election > some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If > we hadn't top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is > unlikely to be noticed and of course isn't > true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So > the X supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been > well informed and coordinated we could have > used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same > way) and elected X." > > But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate > then that "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much > sympathy. > > > ...as with MDDTR. > > > Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" > as to be confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO > failure example, neither should it be > confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. > > > ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by > ranking them higher? > > > What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion > compliances) are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? > > > FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing > Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. > > With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is > Mono-Add-Plump. That's a very small price, arguably less than > IRV's Mono-Raise failure (though I note that you mentioned > that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite). > > Michael Ossipoff > > > Chris Benham > > >> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we >> have to reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >> >> But it would have been strategically great! >> >> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >> >> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X >> is winning. I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to >> lose. >> >> >> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and >> that causes X to lose? >> >> If so, why? >> >> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >> >> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: >> I'm adding a ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way >> that clearly should favor X. >> >> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and >> plumped for X, that made X lose??!" >> >> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added >> a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to >> do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have >> plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect >> would have been exacsly the same." >> >> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X >> lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, >> making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ >> thing that I'm doing. >> >> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating >> Mono-Add-Plump. >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> >> >> >> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham >> <cbenham@adam.com.au <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote: >> >> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an >> anti-defection device" failing FBC I'm afraid also >> works for both Mike's suggested >> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested >> "TopMiddleBottom". >> >> 20: F=C >>B >> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method >> suggestion, F >> C=B) >> 25: B >> 48: W >> >> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> >> B voters change their rating of F from Top to >> Middle or Bottom >> then the winner changes to B. >> >> Chris Benham >> >> >> > > > > > No virus found in this message. > Checked by AVG - www.avg.com <http://www.avg.com> > Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16 >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 6:39 PM

Participation belongs to the broad general class of monotonicity criteria,
in which your ballot causes a result opposite to what it says.

You show up & cast a ballot that votes X over Y, and that changes the
winner from X to Y. That's an instance of nonmonotonicity.

Mono-Add-Raise was first named "Monotonicity", but Woodall named a more
generfal large class of monotonicity criteria.

A useful distinction among monotonicity criteria is, it seems to me:

Some monotonicity criteria say:

  1. "My ballot made X lose even though it votes X over whoever else won, and
    is a change in the ballot-set that should make X more likely to win. (but
    it made X lose because of something else that the ballot does)."

Others say:

  1. "My ballot made X lose for no other reason than because of a change that
    should make X more likely to win.

Failure of a #2 monotonicity criterion seems more ridiculous, more without
an explanation or justification.

Mono-Raise is a #2, and Mono-Add-Plump is a #1. That's why I say that
Mono-Add-Plump failure isn't as bad as Mono-Raise failure.

When MDDTR makes the candidate you plump lose, s/he loses because of the
addition of a ballot, which spoils a majority, not specifically because
your ballot favors that candidate.

Mono-Raise makes the candidate you raised lose for no other reason than
because you changed your ballot in a way that should be favorable to hir.

Maybe Mono-Raise is the only #2--I don't know.

Michael Ossipoff

On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 8:35 AM, Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:

On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as
participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a
monotonicity failure.

Changing an existing ballot = monotonicity
Adding a new ballot = participation


From: Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
To: C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au; EM <election-methods@lists.
electorama.com>
Sent: Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32
Subject: Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure
because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise
failure is simpler.

Participation belongs to the broad general class of monotonicity criteria, in which your ballot causes a result opposite to what it says. You show up & cast a ballot that votes X over Y, and that changes the winner from X to Y. That's an instance of nonmonotonicity. Mono-Add-Raise was first named "Monotonicity", but Woodall named a more generfal large class of monotonicity criteria. A useful distinction among monotonicity criteria is, it seems to me: Some monotonicity criteria say: 1. "My ballot made X lose even though it votes X over whoever else won, and is a change in the ballot-set that should make X more likely to win. (but it made X lose because of something else that the ballot does)." Others say: 2. "My ballot made X lose for no other reason than because of a change that should make X more likely to win. Failure of a #2 monotonicity criterion seems more ridiculous, more without an explanation or justification. Mono-Raise is a #2, and Mono-Add-Plump is a #1. That's why I say that Mono-Add-Plump failure isn't as bad as Mono-Raise failure. When MDDTR makes the candidate you plump lose, s/he loses because of the addition of a ballot, which spoils a majority, not specifically because your ballot favors that candidate. Mono-Raise makes the candidate you raised lose for no other reason than because you changed your ballot in a way that should be favorable to hir. Maybe Mono-Raise is the only #2--I don't know. Michael Ossipoff On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 8:35 AM, Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote: > On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as > participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a > monotonicity failure. > > Changing an existing ballot = monotonicity > Adding a new ballot = participation > > ------------------------------ > *From:* Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> > *To:* C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au>; EM <election-methods@lists. > electorama.com> > *Sent:* Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32 > *Subject:* Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD > > > Chris-- > > You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure > because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise > failure is simpler. > > >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 6:50 PM

And, as I said, in a Mono-Add-Plump failure, you would have made X lose if
your added ballot plumped for any of various other candidates too. It has
nothing to do with the fact that your ballot favored X.

A Mono-Raise failure happens for no other reason than that you changed your
ballot favorably for X. All you did was raise X.

Michael Ossipoff

On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 1:39 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

Participation belongs to the broad general class of monotonicity criteria,
in which your ballot causes a result opposite to what it says.

You show up & cast a ballot that votes X over Y, and that changes the
winner from X to Y. That's an instance of nonmonotonicity.

Mono-Add-Raise was first named "Monotonicity", but Woodall named a more
generfal large class of monotonicity criteria.

A useful distinction among monotonicity criteria is, it seems to me:

Some monotonicity criteria say:

  1. "My ballot made X lose even though it votes X over whoever else won,
    and is a change in the ballot-set that should make X more likely to win.
    (but it made X lose because of something else that the ballot does)."

Others say:

  1. "My ballot made X lose for no other reason than because of a change
    that should make X more likely to win.

Failure of a #2 monotonicity criterion seems more ridiculous, more without
an explanation or justification.

Mono-Raise is a #2, and Mono-Add-Plump is a #1. That's why I say that
Mono-Add-Plump failure isn't as bad as Mono-Raise failure.

When MDDTR makes the candidate you plump lose, s/he loses because of the
addition of a ballot, which spoils a majority, not specifically because
your ballot favors that candidate.

Mono-Raise makes the candidate you raised lose for no other reason than
because you changed your ballot in a way that should be favorable to hir.

Maybe Mono-Raise is the only #2--I don't know.

Michael Ossipoff

On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 8:35 AM, Toby Pereira tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk wrote:

On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as
participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a
monotonicity failure.

Changing an existing ballot = monotonicity
Adding a new ballot = participation


From: Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
To: C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au; EM <election-methods@lists.electo
rama.com>
Sent: Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32
Subject: Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

And, as I said, in a Mono-Add-Plump failure, you would have made X lose if your added ballot plumped for any of various other candidates too. It has nothing to do with the fact that your ballot favored X. A Mono-Raise failure happens for no other reason than that you changed your ballot favorably for X. All you did was raise X. Michael Ossipoff On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 1:39 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> wrote: > Participation belongs to the broad general class of monotonicity criteria, > in which your ballot causes a result opposite to what it says. > > You show up & cast a ballot that votes X over Y, and that changes the > winner from X to Y. That's an instance of nonmonotonicity. > > Mono-Add-Raise was first named "Monotonicity", but Woodall named a more > generfal large class of monotonicity criteria. > > A useful distinction among monotonicity criteria is, it seems to me: > > > Some monotonicity criteria say: > > 1. "My ballot made X lose even though it votes X over whoever else won, > and is a change in the ballot-set that should make X more likely to win. > (but it made X lose because of something else that the ballot does)." > > Others say: > > 2. "My ballot made X lose for no other reason than because of a change > that should make X more likely to win. > > Failure of a #2 monotonicity criterion seems more ridiculous, more without > an explanation or justification. > > Mono-Raise is a #2, and Mono-Add-Plump is a #1. That's why I say that > Mono-Add-Plump failure isn't as bad as Mono-Raise failure. > > When MDDTR makes the candidate you plump lose, s/he loses because of the > addition of a ballot, which spoils a majority, not specifically because > your ballot favors that candidate. > > Mono-Raise makes the candidate you raised lose for no other reason than > because you changed your ballot in a way that should be favorable to hir. > > Maybe Mono-Raise is the only #2--I don't know. > > Michael Ossipoff > > > > On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 8:35 AM, Toby Pereira <tdp201b@yahoo.co.uk> wrote: > >> On this subject, wouldn't mono-add-plump be better described as >> participation-add-plump? It's more akin to a participation failure than a >> monotonicity failure. >> >> Changing an existing ballot = monotonicity >> Adding a new ballot = participation >> >> ------------------------------ >> *From:* Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> >> *To:* C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au>; EM <election-methods@lists.electo >> rama.com> >> *Sent:* Monday, 7 November 2016, 21:32 >> *Subject:* Re: [EM] FBC, center squeeze, and CD >> >> >> Chris-- >> >> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise >> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because >> Mono-Raise failure is simpler. >> >> >> >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 7:18 PM

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots.

The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive.

Yes, but as voting problems go, that doesn't seem like one of the worst.

You'd want to top-vote your top-set, and you'd want to bottom-vote your
bottom-set. But there might be an inbetween set of voters, who are a lot
better than your bottom-set, but you don't really like maybe letting their
defection-prone voters take the win from your strong top-set. They give you
a dilemma.

In MDDTR, you can, with compete safety, rank those inbetween candidatates
in order of preference, below top and above bottom. Doing so can't possibly
hurt your strong top-set.

...because of MDDTR's LNHa compliance.

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

Equal rankings allowed.

  1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
    everyone has one.

  2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
    voters.

[end of definition]

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.

The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.

IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

  1. Caring about favorites:

a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:

IRV:

31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A

1st round totals:

A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30

C is eliminated & transferss to A

Now A has a 61 majority and wins.

But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:

33: A
29: B
30: C

B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.

Now C has a 59 majority and wins.

b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.

Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.

So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.

  1. Simplicity:

What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:

Sincere:

40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B

A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.

Strategic:

40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)

Now B wins.

That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.

Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.

Michael Ossipoff

By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.

But how so?

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing.  If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:

"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.

Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".

So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.

Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

...the same advantages that MMPO has.

...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.

If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.

So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.

And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.

But generally speaking people care most about their favourites

True.

, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
true that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters.  So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."

But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.

...as with MDDTR.

Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.

...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?

What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)  are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

But it would have been strategically great!

Now, here's a question on a related topic:

Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.

...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?

If so, why?

It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.

If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.

Michael Ossipoff

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".

20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B  (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
C=B)
25: B
48: W

All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.

Chris Benham

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16

> > > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. > > > I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots. > > The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive. > Yes, but as voting problems go, that doesn't seem like one of the worst. You'd want to top-vote your top-set, and you'd want to bottom-vote your bottom-set. But there might be an inbetween set of voters, who are a lot better than your bottom-set, but you don't really like maybe letting their defection-prone voters take the win from your strong top-set. They give you a dilemma. In MDDTR, you can, with compete safety, rank those inbetween candidatates in order of preference, below top and above bottom. Doing so can't possibly hurt your strong top-set. ...because of MDDTR's LNHa compliance. Michael Ossipoff > > Chris Benham > > > > I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it > for a while. > > Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? > > MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings. > > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. > > Equal rankings allowed. > > 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless > everyone has one. > > 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most > voters. > > [end of definition] > > MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy. > > The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what > that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in > spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's > Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated. > > IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or > shouldn't be at least as popular. > > Michael Ossipoff > > > > On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> > wrote: > >> >> Chris-- >> >> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise >> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because >> Mono-Raise failure is simpler. >> >> 1. Caring about favorites: >> >> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone >> sincerely moves their favorite to top?: >> >> IRV: >> >> 31: A >> 2: B>A (sincere is A) >> 29: B>C >> 30: C>A >> >> 1st round totals: >> >> A = 31 >> B = 29 + 2 = 31 >> C = 30 >> >> C is eliminated & transferss to A >> >> Now A has a 61 majority and wins. >> >> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top: >> >> 33: A >> 29: B >> 30: C >> >> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C. >> >> Now C has a 59 majority and wins. >> >> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise >> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In >> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to >> favorite-bury elected their last choice. >> >> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about >> Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's >> Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for >> Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington. >> >> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV >> with its Mono-Raise failure >> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure. >> >> 2. Simplicity: >> >> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to >> help Compromise beat Worst: >> >> Sincere: >> >> 40: C >> 25: B>C >> 35: A>B >> >> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to >> C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury. >> >> Strategic: >> >> 40: C >> 25: B>C >> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B) >> >> Now B wins. >> >> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad >> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need. >> >> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But >> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse >> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to >> favorite-bury. >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> >> >> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose. >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> >>> >>> >>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>> >>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>> >>>> >>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense. >>>> >>> >>> But how so? >>> >>> >>>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>> >>>> >>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the >>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV >>>> and Benham), I would say: >>>> >>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every >>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually >>>> incompatible), and this method economises >>>> by not meeting mono-raise. >>>> >>> >>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method >>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment >>> criteria", "could-look-bad". >>> >>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the >>> "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a >>> practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad >>> news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad". >>> >>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a >>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good >>> thins about those methods. >>> >>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump. >>> >>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. >>> >>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has. >>> >>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. >>> >>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't >>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC, >>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir >>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods >>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent, >>> nonstrategic truncation. >>> >>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is >>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who >>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) >>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin >>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I >>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are >>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. >>> >>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big >>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know >>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the >>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to >>> elect hir. >>> >>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. >>> >>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise >>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its >>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that. >>> >>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's >>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. >>> >>> >>> >>>> >>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites >>>> >>> >>> True. >>> >>> >>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's >>>> true that after the election >>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't >>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and >>>> of course isn't >>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X >>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and >>>> coordinated we could have >>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and >>>> elected X." >>>> >>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that >>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy. >>>> >>> >>> ...as with MDDTR. >>> >>> >>>> >>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be >>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither >>>> should it be >>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. >>>> >>> >>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them >>> higher? >>> >>> >>>> >>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are >>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? >>>> >>> >>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing >>> Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. >>> >>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. >>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure >>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite). >>> >>> Michael Ossipoff >>> >>>> >>>> Chris Benham >>>> >>>> >>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to >>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >>>> >>>> But it would have been strategically great! >>>> >>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >>>> >>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I >>>> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose. >>>> >>>> >>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to >>>> lose? >>>> >>>> If so, why? >>>> >>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >>>> >>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a >>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X. >>>> >>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for >>>> X, that made X lose??!" >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>> >>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump. >>>> >>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>>> >>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device" >>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested >>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom". >>>>> >>>>> 20: F=C >>B >>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> >>>>> C=B) >>>>> 25: B >>>>> 48: W >>>>> >>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters >>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom >>>>> then the winner changes to B. >>>>> >>>>> Chris Benham >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>> >>> >> > No virus found in this message. > Checked by AVG - www.avg.com > Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16 > > >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Tue, Nov 8, 2016 10:05 PM

(Replying farther down)

On Nov 8, 2016 8:22 AM, "C.Benham" cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/7/2016 6:18 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,

thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.

But how so?

C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent" device

can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest possible
excuse.

The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives some

more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and simple
message:

"You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre malfunction

"I've changed my mind, Y should win"

(endquote)

...& you're saying when you raise X to top in your ballot, you aren't
saying that X should win?

(You continued) :

and offers the nonsensical excuse "Hey those

extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased the

total number of ballots!".

...which would have spoiled X's win if you'd plumped for any if various
other candidates. The fact that you favored X had nothing to do with how or
why your ballot made X lose.

(Replying farther down)

C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)  are

incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing

Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.

C: There are methods that meet  FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So your

proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up compliance with

mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy".

That argument is impossible to make.

(endquote)

But how so?

(You wrote) :

And it isn't clear to me that "wv-like strategy" is even something we
should take if it was free.

(endquote)

In Benham, Woodall, ICT, & probably many or most pairwise-count methods,
the CWs has no protection from burial, or even from innocent, non-strategic
truncation.

With wv-like strategy, truncation from one side can't take victory from the
CWs & give it to the truncators' candidate.

...and plumping by the CWs's voters makes it impossible for burial to
succeed. In fact, the mere threat of that plumping can deter burial.

Wv-like strategy improves, too, on the situation in Bucklin, where plumping
by the CWs's voters is just plain needed. (compared to wv-like strategy,
where the mere threat of plumping can be enough).

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I

raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing.  If the

method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:

"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every

desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises

by not meeting mono-raise.

Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method

provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".

So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the

"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a

could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
things about those methods.

Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

...the same advantages that MMPO has.

...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't

reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.

If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is

disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big

enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.

So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise

failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.

And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's

Mono-Add-Plump failure.

But generally speaking people care most about their favourites

True.

, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's

true that after the election

some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't

top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't

true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters.  So the X

supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have

used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and

elected X."

But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that

"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.

...as with MDDTR.

Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be

confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be

confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.

...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them

higher?

What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)  are

incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing

Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.

That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to

reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

But it would have been strategically great!

Now, here's a question on a related topic:

Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.

I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.

...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to

lose?

If so, why?

It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a

ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.

If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for

X, that made X lose??!"

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,

thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I

raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating

Mono-Add-Plump.

Michael Ossipoff

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"

failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested

"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".

20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B  (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>

C=B)

25: B
48: W

All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters

change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom

then the winner changes to B.

Chris Benham

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13360 - Release Date:

11/06/16

(Replying farther down) On Nov 8, 2016 8:22 AM, "C.Benham" <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: > > On 11/7/2016 6:18 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >> >> >> >> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>> >>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same." >>> >>> >>> "Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense. >> >> >> But how so? >> > > > > C: Failing mono-add-plump is as stupid as a quasi-"intelligent" device can be, in a pure and starkly obvious way, and with the lamest possible excuse. > > The algorithm/device decides that X should win, and then receives some more ballots that contain nothing whatsoever but the pure and simple message: > "You are right! X should win" and responds with the bizarre malfunction "I've changed my mind, Y should win" (endquote) ...& you're saying when you raise X to top in your ballot, you aren't saying that X should win? (You continued) : and offers the nonsensical excuse "Hey those > extra ballots didn't just say that X should win. They also increased the total number of ballots!". ...which would have spoiled X's win if you'd plumped for any if various other candidates. The fact that you favored X had nothing to do with how or why your ballot made X lose. (Replying farther down) > > >> C: What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? >> >> Mike: FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. >> >> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. > > > C: There are methods that meet FBC and CD and mono-add-plump. So your proposition boils down to saying that it's worth giving up compliance with > mono-add-plump just to gain "wv-like strategy". > > That argument is impossible to make. (endquote) But how so? (You wrote) : And it isn't clear to me that "wv-like strategy" is even something we should take if it was free. (endquote) In Benham, Woodall, ICT, & probably many or most pairwise-count methods, the CWs has no protection from burial, or even from innocent, non-strategic truncation. With wv-like strategy, truncation from one side can't take victory from the CWs & give it to the truncators' candidate. ...and plumping by the CWs's voters makes it impossible for burial to succeed. In fact, the mere threat of that plumping can deter burial. Wv-like strategy improves, too, on the situation in Bucklin, where plumping by the CWs's voters is just plain needed. (compared to wv-like strategy, where the mere threat of plumping can be enough). Michael Ossipoff > > Chris Benham > > > > >> >>> >>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>> >>> >>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV and Benham), I would say: >>> >>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually incompatible), and this method economises >>> by not meeting mono-raise. >> >> >> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment criteria", "could-look-bad". >> >> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad". >> >> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good things about those methods. >> >> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump. >> >> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. >> >> ...the same advantages that MMPO has. >> >> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. >> >> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC, and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent, nonstrategic truncation. >> >> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. >> >> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to elect hir. >> >> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. >> >> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that. >> >> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump failure. >> >> >>> >>> >>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites >> >> >> True. >> >>> >>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true that after the election >>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and of course isn't >>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and coordinated we could have >>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and elected X." >>> >>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy. >> >> >> ...as with MDDTR. >> >>> >>> >>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither should it be >>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. >> >> >> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them higher? >> >>> >>> >>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? >> >> >> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. >> >> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite). >> >> Michael Ossipoff >>> >>> >>> Chris Benham >>> >>> >>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >>>> >>>> But it would have been strategically great! >>>> >>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >>>> >>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose. >>>> >>>> >>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to lose? >>>> >>>> If so, why? >>>> >>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >>>> >>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X. >>>> >>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X, that made X lose??!" >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>> >>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump. >>>> >>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>>>> >>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device" failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested >>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom". >>>>> >>>>> 20: F=C >>B >>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B) >>>>> 25: B >>>>> 48: W >>>>> >>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom >>>>> then the winner changes to B. >>>>> >>>>> Chris Benham >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>> >> >> No virus found in this message. >> Checked by AVG - www.avg.com >> Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13360 - Release Date: 11/06/16 > >
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Wed, Nov 9, 2016 1:02 AM

Though I'd prefer being able to rank all of the inbetweens  with respect to
eachother, to protect the better ones from the worse ones, all across their
range of merit..

Sure, 3-slot MDDTR would be fine.

I'd rate all the inbetweens at middle. I'd be giving them full protection
from my bottom-rated candidates. And their voters could fully protect them
from burial by plumping.

Of course everyone's protection from truncation would still be automatic.

The only difference is that I wouldn't be able to distinguish among the
inbetweens, but that wouldn't be so bad.

So 3-slot MDDTR would be fine with me.

The difference from 3-Slot ICT? wv-protection for everyone.

Michael Ossipoff

On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 11:46 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/8/2016 8:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

I think you did.  There was a  3-slot MDDA:

http://wiki.electorama.com/wiki/Majority_Defeat_Disqualification_Approval

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots.

The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive.

Chris Benham

I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.

Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?

MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.

MDDTR:

Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.

Equal rankings allowed.

  1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
    everyone has one.

  2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
    voters.

[end of definition]

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.

The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.

IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.

Michael Ossipoff

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

Chris--

You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.

  1. Caring about favorites:

a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:

IRV:

31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A

1st round totals:

A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30

C is eliminated & transferss to A

Now A has a 61 majority and wins.

But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:

33: A
29: B
30: C

B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.

Now C has a 59 majority and wins.

b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.

Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.

So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.

  1. Simplicity:

What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:

Sincere:

40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B

A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.

Strategic:

40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)

Now B wins.

That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.

Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.

Michael Ossipoff

By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.

On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.

But how so?

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing.  If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:

"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.

Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".

So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".

But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.

Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.

MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.

...the same advantages that MMPO has.

...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.

You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.

If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.

If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.

So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.

Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.

And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.

But generally speaking people care most about their favourites

True.

, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
true that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters.  So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."

But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.

...as with MDDTR.

Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.

...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?

What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances)  are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?

FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.

With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).

Michael Ossipoff

Chris Benham

Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.

But it would have been strategically great!

Now, here's a question on a related topic:

Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.

...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?

If so, why?

It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.

I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.

If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"

...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."

But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.

So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.

Michael Ossipoff

On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:

The example I just posted of  "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".

20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B  (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
C=B)
25: B
48: W

All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.

Chris Benham

No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16

Though I'd prefer being able to rank all of the inbetweens with respect to eachother, to protect the better ones from the worse ones, all across their range of merit.. Sure, 3-slot MDDTR would be fine. I'd rate all the inbetweens at middle. I'd be giving them full protection from my bottom-rated candidates. And their voters could fully protect them from burial by plumping. Of course everyone's protection from truncation would still be automatic. The only difference is that I wouldn't be able to distinguish among the inbetweens, but that wouldn't be so bad. So 3-slot MDDTR would be fine with me. The difference from 3-Slot ICT? wv-protection for everyone. Michael Ossipoff On Tue, Nov 8, 2016 at 11:46 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: > On 11/8/2016 8:14 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > > I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it > for a while. > > Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? > > > I think you did. There was a 3-slot MDDA: > > http://wiki.electorama.com/wiki/Majority_Defeat_Disqualification_Approval > > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. > > > I surprised you aren't proposing that it use 3-slot rating ballots. > > The method obviously has a horrible strong random-fill incentive. > > Chris Benham > > > > I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it > for a while. > > Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it? > > MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings. > > MDDTR: > > Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to. > > Equal rankings allowed. > > 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless > everyone has one. > > 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most > voters. > > [end of definition] > > MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy. > > The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what > that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in > spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's > Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated. > > IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or > shouldn't be at least as popular. > > Michael Ossipoff > > > > On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> > wrote: > >> >> Chris-- >> >> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise >> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because >> Mono-Raise failure is simpler. >> >> 1. Caring about favorites: >> >> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone >> sincerely moves their favorite to top?: >> >> IRV: >> >> 31: A >> 2: B>A (sincere is A) >> 29: B>C >> 30: C>A >> >> 1st round totals: >> >> A = 31 >> B = 29 + 2 = 31 >> C = 30 >> >> C is eliminated & transferss to A >> >> Now A has a 61 majority and wins. >> >> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top: >> >> 33: A >> 29: B >> 30: C >> >> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C. >> >> Now C has a 59 majority and wins. >> >> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise >> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In >> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to >> favorite-bury elected their last choice. >> >> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about >> Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's >> Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for >> Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington. >> >> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV >> with its Mono-Raise failure >> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure. >> >> 2. Simplicity: >> >> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to >> help Compromise beat Worst: >> >> Sincere: >> >> 40: C >> 25: B>C >> 35: A>B >> >> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to >> C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury. >> >> Strategic: >> >> 40: C >> 25: B>C >> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B) >> >> Now B wins. >> >> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad >> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need. >> >> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But >> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse >> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to >> favorite-bury. >> >> Michael Ossipoff >> >> >> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose. >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >> >> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com> >> wrote: >> >>> >>> >>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>> >>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>> >>>> >>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense. >>>> >>> >>> But how so? >>> >>> >>>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>> >>>> >>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the >>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV >>>> and Benham), I would say: >>>> >>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every >>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually >>>> incompatible), and this method economises >>>> by not meeting mono-raise. >>>> >>> >>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method >>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment >>> criteria", "could-look-bad". >>> >>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the >>> "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a >>> practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad >>> news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad". >>> >>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a >>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good >>> thins about those methods. >>> >>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump. >>> >>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy. >>> >>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has. >>> >>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump. >>> >>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't >>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC, >>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir >>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods >>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent, >>> nonstrategic truncation. >>> >>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is >>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who >>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) >>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin >>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I >>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are >>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe. >>> >>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big >>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know >>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the >>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to >>> elect hir. >>> >>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal. >>> >>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise >>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its >>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that. >>> >>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's >>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. >>> >>> >>> >>>> >>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites >>>> >>> >>> True. >>> >>> >>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's >>>> true that after the election >>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't >>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and >>>> of course isn't >>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X >>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and >>>> coordinated we could have >>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and >>>> elected X." >>>> >>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that >>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy. >>>> >>> >>> ...as with MDDTR. >>> >>> >>>> >>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be >>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither >>>> should it be >>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario. >>>> >>> >>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them >>> higher? >>> >>> >>>> >>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are >>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump? >>>> >>> >>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing >>> Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem. >>> >>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump. >>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure >>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite). >>> >>> Michael Ossipoff >>> >>>> >>>> Chris Benham >>>> >>>> >>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to >>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin. >>>> >>>> But it would have been strategically great! >>>> >>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic: >>>> >>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I >>>> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose. >>>> >>>> >>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to >>>> lose? >>>> >>>> If so, why? >>>> >>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former. >>>> >>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a >>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X. >>>> >>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for >>>> X, that made X lose??!" >>>> >>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, >>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you >>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the >>>> effect would have been exacsly the same." >>>> >>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I >>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more >>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing. >>>> >>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump. >>>> >>>> Michael Ossipoff >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote: >>>> >>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device" >>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested >>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom". >>>>> >>>>> 20: F=C >>B >>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> >>>>> C=B) >>>>> 25: B >>>>> 48: W >>>>> >>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters >>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom >>>>> then the winner changes to B. >>>>> >>>>> Chris Benham >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> >>>> >>> >> > No virus found in this message. > Checked by AVG - www.avg.com > Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13366 - Release Date: 11/07/16 > > >
C
C.Benham
Wed, Nov 9, 2016 4:25 AM

On 11/9/2016 8:35 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:

(You wrote) :

And it isn't clear to me that "wv-like strategy" is even something we
should take if it was free.

(endquote)

In Benham, Woodall, ICT, & probably many or most pairwise-count
methods, the CWs has no protection from burial, or even from innocent,
non-strategic truncation.

With wv-like strategy, truncation from one side can't take victory
from the CWs & give it to the truncators' candidate.

...and plumping by the CWs's voters makes it impossible for burial to
succeed. In fact, the mere threat of that plumping can deter burial.

So to "protect"  some candidate  that some voters imagine is the sincere
CW (when perhaps there is no sincere CW or some other candidate
is the sincere CW) you want to have a "defensive truncation" strategy
available/inside/ a method with a very strong random-fill incentive?

And you should add (and stress) that it needs plumping by /all /of the
"CWs voters to make it impossible for burial to succeed", and not ,say,
merely 93% of them (with the other 7% sincerely fully ranking):

43: A
03: A>B
44: B>C  (sincere may be B or B>A)
10: C

100 ballots.  C>A 54-46,  A>B 46-44,  B>C 47-10.  Top Ratings A46 >
B44 > C10.  Approvals: C54 > A46 > B44.

Here MDDTR  (like MDDTA and WV and Margins and MMPO and Jameson's latest
"holy grail")  all elect the possibly burying voters' favourite, B.

Viewing the ballots from the top, A is the strongest candidate (and
possibly the sincere CW) and viewing the ballots from the bottom C is the
strongest candidate.  And electing B is simply a very bad (and flagrant)
failure of  Later-no-Help. And B is both pairwise beaten and positionally
dominated by A.

So I can't accept any method that in this scenario elects B.

Chris Benham

On 11/9/2016 8:35 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote: > (You wrote) : > > And it isn't clear to me that "wv-like strategy" is even something we > should take if it was free. > > (endquote) > > In Benham, Woodall, ICT, & probably many or most pairwise-count > methods, the CWs has no protection from burial, or even from innocent, > non-strategic truncation. > > With wv-like strategy, truncation from one side can't take victory > from the CWs & give it to the truncators' candidate. > > ...and plumping by the CWs's voters makes it impossible for burial to > succeed. In fact, the mere threat of that plumping can deter burial. > So to "protect" some candidate that some voters imagine is the sincere CW (when perhaps there is no sincere CW or some other candidate is the sincere CW) you want to have a "defensive truncation" strategy available/inside/ a method with a very strong random-fill incentive? And you should add (and stress) that it needs plumping by /all /of the "CWs voters to make it impossible for burial to succeed", and not ,say, merely 93% of them (with the other 7% sincerely fully ranking): 43: A 03: A>B 44: B>C (sincere may be B or B>A) 10: C 100 ballots. C>A 54-46, A>B 46-44, B>C 47-10. Top Ratings A46 > B44 > C10. Approvals: C54 > A46 > B44. Here MDDTR (like MDDTA and WV and Margins and MMPO and Jameson's latest "holy grail") all elect the possibly burying voters' favourite, B. Viewing the ballots from the top, A is the strongest candidate (and possibly the sincere CW) and viewing the ballots from the bottom C is the strongest candidate. And electing B is simply a very bad (and flagrant) failure of Later-no-Help. And B is both pairwise beaten and positionally dominated by A. So I can't accept any method that in this scenario elects B. Chris Benham