Right!
More accurately MaxMin ... maximize the minimum pairwise support. Unlike
minimizing the max pairwise opposition it passes Plurality (if I remember
correctly).
Of course, they are the same in the complete rankings context, or under
symmetric completion, or under margins.
I think a simple description that totally avoids traditional nomenclature
may have a psychologically better chance of winning-over adherents of other
RCV factions.
For example:
Call a candidate that outranks any other candidate on more than half of the
ballots a "Majority Matchup Winner" (MMW), or some other descriptive name
with good fairness vibes.
Remark that any ballot set beta can be converted into a ballot set that has
an MMW by adding sufficiently many [perhaps zero] bullet ballots. [it is
easy to see that this can be done without tripling the size of the ballot
set]
Elect the MMW of the smallest superset of beta that has an MMW.
[End of proposed method description]
Remarks for EM scientists only:
Since MaxMinPairwiseSupport does not satisfy the Condorcet Criterion, when
the ballot CW and the MaxMinPairwise Support candidates differ, it will
take more bullet ballots to convert a ballot CW into a Majority Condorcet
Winner than it will take to convert the MaxMinPairwiseSupport winner into a
Majority Conndorcet Winner.
Since lay voters don't care a fig about Condorcet, but hold sacred Majority
Rule, it seems to me that we should stick with our majority heuristic for a
public proposal.
In light of Ted Stern's talk of top two runoff versions, here's one of
great interest to me, but NOT for public proposal:
In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that is not a ballot Majority
CW, have a sincere runoff between the ballot CW and the ballot
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate.
"Sincere," of course, implies a separate ballot set reserved for exclusive
use, or else a separate trip to the polls.
It seems to me that the probability of such a rare event would be entirely
negligible.
How would a policy of preferring the ballot CW over the MaxMinPS winner
affect Burial and Compromising incentives?
-Forest
P.S. Kevin ... very valid concerns in your previous reply! But imho,
outweighed by proposal simplicity and other above mentioned considerations
in the present context.
El sáb., 28 de may. de 2022 1:50 p. m., Kristofer Munsterhjelm <
km_elmet@t-online.de> escribió:
On 28.05.2022 20:59, Forest Simmons wrote:
I am both a mathematician and a citizen. My main interest in the realm
of election methods is to understand the theoretical limitations of
practical election methods. Theory is supposed to be the servant of
practice ... not the other way around.
Election methods are tools of democracy. As such they have a
psycho/politico aspect that we neglect at our own peril.
What can we realistically expect from the voters? How do they want to
express their preferences? How do they expect their preferences to be
incorporated into a decision?
For starters, most voters believe in some form of "majority rule."
If there is a candidate A that is preferred by more than half of the
voters over any other candidate A', then (all else being equal) A rather
than A' should be elected.
The problem is that sometimes there is no such ideal majority pairwise
candidate IMPC. Who should be elected in that case?
Answer: How about the candidate closest to being such an IMPC?
How do you determine "closeness"?
Why not by how few additional ballots would suffice to convert a
candidate into an IMPC?
Is this too hard for citizens of a democracy to accept?
What objections might there be?
How to overcome reservations and persuade the electorate?
That's minmax, right?
-km
Minor Correction ...
"In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that is not a ballot Majority
CW, have a sincere runoff between the ballot CW and the ballot
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate."
... should read ...
In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that differs from the
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate, have a sincere runoff between the ballot
CW and the ballot MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate.
Also, since I have your attention, I would like to point out that this
formulation of MaxMinPairwiseSupport is simpler than the related
MinMax(margins) Condorcet method that has frequently been proposed in the
past by Juho and many others.
Thanks, guys, for persistent reminders of the potential possibilities of
simplicity! The other inspiration, of course, was Kevin's
MinMaxPairwiseOpposition, which satisfies the FBC but not the CC, and even
more importantly, his MajorityDefeatDisqualification versions.
In fact, you could reformulate MaxMinPairwiseSupport as what to do if all
candidates are Majority Defeated or if there are several candidates that
are not majority defeated ... just add the minimum number of bullet ballots
that leaves precisely one candidate that is not majority defeated.
-Forest
El dom., 29 de may. de 2022 4:29 p. m., Forest Simmons <
forest.simmons21@gmail.com> escribió:
Right!
More accurately MaxMin ... maximize the minimum pairwise support. Unlike
minimizing the max pairwise opposition it passes Plurality (if I remember
correctly).
Of course, they are the same in the complete rankings context, or under
symmetric completion, or under margins.
I think a simple description that totally avoids traditional nomenclature
may have a psychologically better chance of winning-over adherents of other
RCV factions.
For example:
Call a candidate that outranks any other candidate on more than half of
the ballots a "Majority Matchup Winner" (MMW), or some other descriptive
name with good fairness vibes.
Remark that any ballot set beta can be converted into a ballot set that
has an MMW by adding sufficiently many [perhaps zero] bullet ballots. [it
is easy to see that this can be done without tripling the size of the
ballot set]
Elect the MMW of the smallest superset of beta that has an MMW.
[End of proposed method description]
Remarks for EM scientists only:
Since MaxMinPairwiseSupport does not satisfy the Condorcet Criterion, when
the ballot CW and the MaxMinPairwise Support candidates differ, it will
take more bullet ballots to convert a ballot CW into a Majority Condorcet
Winner than it will take to convert the MaxMinPairwiseSupport winner into a
Majority Conndorcet Winner.
Since lay voters don't care a fig about Condorcet, but hold sacred
Majority Rule, it seems to me that we should stick with our majority
heuristic for a public proposal.
In light of Ted Stern's talk of top two runoff versions, here's one of
great interest to me, but NOT for public proposal:
In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that is not a ballot Majority
CW, have a sincere runoff between the ballot CW and the ballot
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate.
"Sincere," of course, implies a separate ballot set reserved for exclusive
use, or else a separate trip to the polls.
It seems to me that the probability of such a rare event would be
entirely negligible.
How would a policy of preferring the ballot CW over the MaxMinPS winner
affect Burial and Compromising incentives?
-Forest
P.S. Kevin ... very valid concerns in your previous reply! But imho,
outweighed by proposal simplicity and other above mentioned considerations
in the present context.
El sáb., 28 de may. de 2022 1:50 p. m., Kristofer Munsterhjelm <
km_elmet@t-online.de> escribió:
On 28.05.2022 20:59, Forest Simmons wrote:
I am both a mathematician and a citizen. My main interest in the realm
of election methods is to understand the theoretical limitations of
practical election methods. Theory is supposed to be the servant of
practice ... not the other way around.
Election methods are tools of democracy. As such they have a
psycho/politico aspect that we neglect at our own peril.
What can we realistically expect from the voters? How do they want to
express their preferences? How do they expect their preferences to be
incorporated into a decision?
For starters, most voters believe in some form of "majority rule."
If there is a candidate A that is preferred by more than half of the
voters over any other candidate A', then (all else being equal) A rather
than A' should be elected.
The problem is that sometimes there is no such ideal majority pairwise
candidate IMPC. Who should be elected in that case?
Answer: How about the candidate closest to being such an IMPC?
How do you determine "closeness"?
Why not by how few additional ballots would suffice to convert a
candidate into an IMPC?
Is this too hard for citizens of a democracy to accept?
What objections might there be?
How to overcome reservations and persuade the electorate?
That's minmax, right?
-km
In their March 2004 Scientific American articule "The Fairest Vote ..." P
Gupta and E Maskin designate as "True Majority Winner" the candidato that
outranks any other candidate on more ballots than not ... in other words
the candidate most commonly referred to as the Condorcet Candidate.
So they took the liberty of using "majorty" to mean "more than not" rather
than "more than half."
Maskin has since become a Nobel Laureate. Does that give the rest of us
license to refer to the Condorcet Candidate as the "True Majority Winner"
(TMW)?
If so, then we can reformulate MinMax (for public proposal) in the form ....
Given a set beta of ranked ballots, elect the TMW of the smallest superset
of beta that has a True Majority Winner, i.e. a candidate that outranks any
competing candidate on more ballots than not.
[A superset of a set is a set containing the set.]
Do you think Maskin's "cred" would carry the day? Would the OED or even
Webster back up this usage? Would the voters buy it?
It made it past the editors of Scientific American, and I haven't seen any
objection to it, despite various other disagreements with the article.
Another possibility would be to use the more modest phrase Relative
Majority Winner instead of True Majority Winner.
What do you think?
-Forest
El dom., 29 de may. de 2022 5:09 p. m., Forest Simmons <
forest.simmons21@gmail.com> escribió:
Minor Correction ...
"In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that is not a ballot
Majority CW, have a sincere runoff between the ballot CW and the ballot
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate."
... should read ...
In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that differs from the
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate, have a sincere runoff between the ballot
CW and the ballot MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate.
Also, since I have your attention, I would like to point out that this
formulation of MaxMinPairwiseSupport is simpler than the related
MinMax(margins) Condorcet method that has frequently been proposed in the
past by Juho and many others.
Thanks, guys, for persistent reminders of the potential possibilities of
simplicity! The other inspiration, of course, was Kevin's
MinMaxPairwiseOpposition, which satisfies the FBC but not the CC, and even
more importantly, his MajorityDefeatDisqualification versions.
In fact, you could reformulate MaxMinPairwiseSupport as what to do if all
candidates are Majority Defeated or if there are several candidates that
are not majority defeated ... just add the minimum number of bullet ballots
that leaves precisely one candidate that is not majority defeated.
-Forest
El dom., 29 de may. de 2022 4:29 p. m., Forest Simmons <
forest.simmons21@gmail.com> escribió:
Right!
More accurately MaxMin ... maximize the minimum pairwise support. Unlike
minimizing the max pairwise opposition it passes Plurality (if I remember
correctly).
Of course, they are the same in the complete rankings context, or under
symmetric completion, or under margins.
I think a simple description that totally avoids traditional nomenclature
may have a psychologically better chance of winning-over adherents of other
RCV factions.
For example:
Call a candidate that outranks any other candidate on more than half of
the ballots a "Majority Matchup Winner" (MMW), or some other descriptive
name with good fairness vibes.
Remark that any ballot set beta can be converted into a ballot set that
has an MMW by adding sufficiently many [perhaps zero] bullet ballots. [it
is easy to see that this can be done without tripling the size of the
ballot set]
Elect the MMW of the smallest superset of beta that has an MMW.
[End of proposed method description]
Remarks for EM scientists only:
Since MaxMinPairwiseSupport does not satisfy the Condorcet Criterion,
when the ballot CW and the MaxMinPairwise Support candidates differ, it
will take more bullet ballots to convert a ballot CW into a Majority
Condorcet Winner than it will take to convert the MaxMinPairwiseSupport
winner into a Majority Conndorcet Winner.
Since lay voters don't care a fig about Condorcet, but hold sacred
Majority Rule, it seems to me that we should stick with our majority
heuristic for a public proposal.
In light of Ted Stern's talk of top two runoff versions, here's one of
great interest to me, but NOT for public proposal:
In the rare event that there is a ballot CW that is not a ballot Majority
CW, have a sincere runoff between the ballot CW and the ballot
MaxMinPairwiseSupport candidate.
"Sincere," of course, implies a separate ballot set reserved for
exclusive use, or else a separate trip to the polls.
It seems to me that the probability of such a rare event would be
entirely negligible.
How would a policy of preferring the ballot CW over the MaxMinPS winner
affect Burial and Compromising incentives?
-Forest
P.S. Kevin ... very valid concerns in your previous reply! But imho,
outweighed by proposal simplicity and other above mentioned considerations
in the present context.
El sáb., 28 de may. de 2022 1:50 p. m., Kristofer Munsterhjelm <
km_elmet@t-online.de> escribió:
On 28.05.2022 20:59, Forest Simmons wrote:
I am both a mathematician and a citizen. My main interest in the realm
of election methods is to understand the theoretical limitations of
practical election methods. Theory is supposed to be the servant of
practice ... not the other way around.
Election methods are tools of democracy. As such they have a
psycho/politico aspect that we neglect at our own peril.
What can we realistically expect from the voters? How do they want to
express their preferences? How do they expect their preferences to be
incorporated into a decision?
For starters, most voters believe in some form of "majority rule."
If there is a candidate A that is preferred by more than half of the
voters over any other candidate A', then (all else being equal) A
rather
than A' should be elected.
The problem is that sometimes there is no such ideal majority pairwise
candidate IMPC. Who should be elected in that case?
Answer: How about the candidate closest to being such an IMPC?
How do you determine "closeness"?
Why not by how few additional ballots would suffice to convert a
candidate into an IMPC?
Is this too hard for citizens of a democracy to accept?
What objections might there be?
How to overcome reservations and persuade the electorate?
That's minmax, right?
-km