FS
Forest Simmons
Sat, Nov 5, 2016 10:56 PM
Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
Approval, and for Bucklin:
Approval:
If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved by
that ballot.
I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval mark.
>
> Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
> Approval, and for Bucklin:
>
> Approval:
>
> If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
> to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
> unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved by
> that ballot.
>
>
I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval mark.
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Sun, Nov 6, 2016 1:40 AM
Hi Forest--
By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate who's
being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin passes FBC.
I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's meets
FBC.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu wrote:
Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
Approval, and for Bucklin:
Approval:
If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved
by
that ballot.
I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval
mark.
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
Hi Forest--
By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate who's
being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin passes FBC.
I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's meets
FBC.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu> wrote:
>
>
>> Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
>> Approval, and for Bucklin:
>>
>> Approval:
>>
>> If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
>> to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
>> unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved
>> by
>> that ballot.
>>
>>
> I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
> that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
> candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
>
>
> It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
>
> Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
>
> In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
> rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
> better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
> candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
> candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
>
> In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval
> mark.
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
C
C.Benham
Sun, Nov 6, 2016 3:27 PM
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
On 11/6/2016 12:10 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
Hi Forest--
By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate
who's being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin
passes FBC.
I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's
meets FBC.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu
mailto:fsimmons@pcc.edu> wrote:
Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
Approval, and for Bucklin:
Approval:
If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives
an approval
to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
unconditional approvals than does any candidate
unconditionally approved by
that ballot.
I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It
seems to me that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals
than some other candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their
Top rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated
candidate has a better chance of winning (according to the first
round totals) than any candidate that is Top rated by that ballot,
then that ballot promotes that candidate to Top status for the
purposes of the final count.
In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional
approval mark.
----
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for
list info
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com http://www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13354 - Release Date: 11/05/16
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
On 11/6/2016 12:10 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
> Hi Forest--
>
> By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate
> who's being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
>
> Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
>
> Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
>
> Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin
> passes FBC.
>
> I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's
> meets FBC.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
> On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu
> <mailto:fsimmons@pcc.edu>> wrote:
>
>
>
> Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
> Approval, and for Bucklin:
>
> Approval:
>
> If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives
> an approval
> to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
> unconditional approvals than does any candidate
> unconditionally approved by
> that ballot.
>
>
> I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It
> seems to me that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals
> than some other candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
>
>
> It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
>
> Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
>
> In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their
> Top rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated
> candidate has a better chance of winning (according to the first
> round totals) than any candidate that is Top rated by that ballot,
> then that ballot promotes that candidate to Top status for the
> purposes of the final count.
>
> In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional
> approval mark.
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for
> list info
>
>
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
> No virus found in this message.
> Checked by AVG - www.avg.com <http://www.avg.com>
> Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13354 - Release Date: 11/05/16
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Sun, Nov 6, 2016 7:37 PM
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to reluctantly
give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, thereby
spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you voted for
X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect
would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like to to explain why X lost when I raised hir
in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more favorable to X
is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
On 11/6/2016 12:10 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
Hi Forest--
By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate who's
being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin passes
FBC.
I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's meets
FBC.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons fsimmons@pcc.edu wrote:
Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
Approval, and for Bucklin:
Approval:
If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved
by
that ballot.
I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval
mark.
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
info
Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
No virus found in this message.
Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13354 - Release Date: 11/05/16
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to reluctantly
give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot, thereby
spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you voted for
X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the effect
would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like to to explain why X lost when I raised hir
in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more favorable to X
is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>
> 20: F=C >>B
> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
> 25: B
> 48: W
>
> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
> their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
> then the winner changes to B.
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
>
> On 11/6/2016 12:10 PM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
> Hi Forest--
>
> By "vote-receiving", I just wanted that to refer to the candidate who's
> being considered for receiving the conditional vote.
>
> Jameson has just demonstrated that my Conditional Approval fails FBC.
>
> Most likely, that means that my Conditional(u) Bucklin fails FBC too.
>
> Now, hopefully your proposal, &/or Chris's Unconditional Bucklin passes
> FBC.
>
> I've just now found your posting. I hope that your method or Chris's meets
> FBC.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
> On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 6:56 PM, Forest Simmons <fsimmons@pcc.edu> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>>> Because it's so brief, let me state the conditional(u) option, for
>>> Approval, and for Bucklin:
>>>
>>> Approval:
>>>
>>> If a ballot conditionally approves a candidate, then it gives an approval
>>> to that candidate only if that vote-receiving candidate has more
>>> unconditional approvals than does any candidate unconditionally approved
>>> by
>>> that ballot.
>>>
>>>
>> I don't see the purpose of the qualifier "vote-receiving;" It seems to me
>> that if a candidate has more (unconditional) approvals than some other
>> candidate, then it is ipso facto "vote-receiving."
>>
>>
>> It could also be called TopMiddleBottom.
>>
>> Voters mark candidates Top, Middle, or Bottom., with default Bottom.
>>
>> In the first round count, ballots contribute support only to their Top
>> rated candidates. Then if (on some ballot) a Middle rated candidate has a
>> better chance of winning (according to the first round totals) than any
>> candidate that is Top rated by that ballot, then that ballot promotes that
>> candidate to Top status for the purposes of the final count.
>>
>> In other words, the Middle mark is a fall-back or conditional approval
>> mark.
>>
>>
>> ----
>> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list
>> info
>>
>>
>
>
> ----
> Election-Methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info
>
>
>
> No virus found in this message.
> Checked by AVG - www.avg.com
> Version: 2016.0.7859 / Virus Database: 4664/13354 - Release Date: 11/05/16
>
>
>
C
C.Benham
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 4:24 AM
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that
you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates,
and the effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as
IRV and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise. You were unlucky to be stung by that failure."
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites, and IRV
meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true that
after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed
and of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example,
neither should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.
I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that
you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates,
and the effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection
device" failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that
> you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates,
> and the effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could /say/ that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as
IRV and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise. You were unlucky to be stung by that failure."
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites, and IRV
meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true that
after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed
and of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example,
neither should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
Chris Benham
> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>
> But it would have been strategically great!
>
> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>
> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.
> I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>
>
> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
> lose?
>
> If so, why?
>
> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>
> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>
> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
> X, that made X lose??!"
>
> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that
> you voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates,
> and the effect would have been exacsly the same."
>
> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>
> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
>
> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au
> <mailto:cbenham@adam.com.au>> wrote:
>
> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection
> device" failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>
> 20: F=C >>B
> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F
> >> C=B)
> 25: B
> 48: W
>
> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
> then the winner changes to B.
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 7:48 AM
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method provides,
the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment criteria",
"could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is disadvantages
for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who the CWs is,
and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) lose
anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin failure
that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I just
described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big enough
that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know something
about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the other way
when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure
doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X supporters
as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and coordinated we
could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and elected
X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them higher?
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>
>
> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
>
But how so?
>
> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>
>
> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
> and Benham), I would say:
>
> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
> incompatible), and this method economises
> by not meeting mono-raise.
>
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method provides,
the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment criteria",
"could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is disadvantages
for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who the CWs is,
and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too) lose
anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin failure
that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I just
described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big enough
that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know something
about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the other way
when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise failure
doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
>
> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
>
True.
> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
> that after the election
> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
> of course isn't
> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X supporters
> as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and coordinated we
> could have
> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and elected
> X."
>
> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
>
...as with MDDTR.
>
> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
> should it be
> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
>
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them higher?
>
> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
>
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>
> But it would have been strategically great!
>
> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>
> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>
>
> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
> lose?
>
> If so, why?
>
> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>
> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>
> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
> that made X lose??!"
>
> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>
> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>
> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
>
> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>
>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>>
>> 20: F=C >>B
>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
>> 25: B
>> 48: W
>>
>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
>> their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
>> then the winner changes to B.
>>
>> Chris Benham
>>
>>
>>
>>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 9:32 PM
Chris--
You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure
because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise
failure is simpler.
- Caring about favorites:
a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
IRV:
31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A
1st round totals:
A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30
C is eliminated & transferss to A
Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
33: A
29: B
30: C
B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise over
favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.
Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about Favorite
as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump
failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for Favorite. ...the reason
why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
- Simplicity:
What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to help
Compromise beat Worst:
Sincere:
40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B
A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to C.
C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
Strategic:
40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
Now B wins.
That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But its
at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse because
it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to favorite-bury.
Michael Ossipoff
By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method provides,
the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment criteria",
"could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
Chris--
You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure
because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise
failure is simpler.
1. Caring about favorites:
a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
IRV:
31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A
1st round totals:
A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30
C is eliminated & transferss to A
Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
33: A
29: B
30: C
B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise over
favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.
Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about Favorite
as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump
failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for Favorite. ...the reason
why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
2. Simplicity:
What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to help
Compromise beat Worst:
Sincere:
40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B
A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to C.
C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
Strategic:
40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
Now B wins.
That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But its
at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse because
it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to favorite-bury.
Michael Ossipoff
By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
>
> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>
>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>
>>
>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
>>
>
> But how so?
>
>
>>
>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>
>>
>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
>> and Benham), I would say:
>>
>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
>> incompatible), and this method economises
>> by not meeting mono-raise.
>>
>
> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method provides,
> the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment criteria",
> "could-look-bad".
>
> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
> and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
> suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
> suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
>
> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
> thins about those methods.
>
> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
>
> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
>
> ...the same advantages that MMPO has.
>
> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
>
> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
> nonstrategic truncation.
>
> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
>
> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
> elect hir.
>
> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
>
> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
>
> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
> Mono-Add-Plump failure.
>
>
>
>>
>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
>>
>
> True.
>
>
>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
>> that after the election
>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
>> of course isn't
>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
>> coordinated we could have
>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
>> elected X."
>>
>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
>>
>
> ...as with MDDTR.
>
>
>>
>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
>> should it be
>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
>>
>
> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
> higher?
>
>
>>
>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
>>
>
> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
> or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
>
> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>>
>> Chris Benham
>>
>>
>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>>
>> But it would have been strategically great!
>>
>> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>>
>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
>> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>>
>>
>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
>> lose?
>>
>> If so, why?
>>
>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>>
>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>>
>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
>> that made X lose??!"
>>
>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>
>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>
>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
>>
>> Michael Ossipoff
>>
>>
>>
>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>
>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>>>
>>> 20: F=C >>B
>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
>>> 25: B
>>> 48: W
>>>
>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters change
>>> their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
>>> then the winner changes to B.
>>>
>>> Chris Benham
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 9:44 PM
I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.
Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
MDDTR:
Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
Equal rankings allowed.
-
Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
everyone has one.
-
The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
voters.
[end of definition]
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or shouldn't
be at least as popular.
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Chris--
You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure
because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise
failure is simpler.
- Caring about favorites:
a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
IRV:
31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A
1st round totals:
A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30
C is eliminated & transferss to A
Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
33: A
29: B
30: C
B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.
Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about Favorite
as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump
failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for Favorite. ...the reason
why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
- Simplicity:
What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:
Sincere:
40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B
A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to C.
C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
Strategic:
40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
Now B wins.
That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.
Michael Ossipoff
By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.
Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
MDDTR:
Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
Equal rankings allowed.
1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
everyone has one.
2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
voters.
[end of definition]
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or shouldn't
be at least as popular.
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
> Chris--
>
> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise failure
> because people care more about their favorites, and because Mono-Raise
> failure is simpler.
>
> 1. Caring about favorites:
>
> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
> sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
>
> IRV:
>
> 31: A
> 2: B>A (sincere is A)
> 29: B>C
> 30: C>A
>
> 1st round totals:
>
> A = 31
> B = 29 + 2 = 31
> C = 30
>
> C is eliminated & transferss to A
>
> Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
>
> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
>
> 33: A
> 29: B
> 30: C
>
> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
>
> Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
>
> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
> favorite-bury elected their last choice.
>
> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about Favorite
> as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump
> failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for Favorite. ...the reason
> why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
>
> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
> with its Mono-Raise failure
> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
>
> 2. Simplicity:
>
> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
> help Compromise beat Worst:
>
> Sincere:
>
> 40: C
> 25: B>C
> 35: A>B
>
> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to C.
> C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
>
> Strategic:
>
> 40: C
> 25: B>C
> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
>
> Now B wins.
>
> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
>
> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
> favorite-bury.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>
>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>
>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>
>>>
>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
>>>
>>
>> But how so?
>>
>>
>>>
>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>
>>>
>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
>>> and Benham), I would say:
>>>
>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
>>> incompatible), and this method economises
>>> by not meeting mono-raise.
>>>
>>
>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
>> criteria", "could-look-bad".
>>
>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the "could-look-bad",
>> and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a practical way. As you
>> suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad news, and, as you
>> suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
>>
>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
>> thins about those methods.
>>
>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
>>
>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
>>
>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has.
>>
>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
>>
>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
>> nonstrategic truncation.
>>
>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
>>
>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
>> elect hir.
>>
>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
>>
>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
>>
>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
>> Mono-Add-Plump failure.
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
>>>
>>
>> True.
>>
>>
>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's true
>>> that after the election
>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
>>> of course isn't
>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
>>> coordinated we could have
>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
>>> elected X."
>>>
>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
>>>
>>
>> ...as with MDDTR.
>>
>>
>>>
>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
>>> should it be
>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
>>>
>>
>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
>> higher?
>>
>>
>>>
>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
>>>
>>
>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing Mono-Add-Plump,
>> or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
>>
>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
>>
>> Michael Ossipoff
>>
>>>
>>> Chris Benham
>>>
>>>
>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>>>
>>> But it would have been strategically great!
>>>
>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>>>
>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
>>> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>>>
>>>
>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
>>> lose?
>>>
>>> If so, why?
>>>
>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>>>
>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>>>
>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for X,
>>> that made X lose??!"
>>>
>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>
>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>
>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>
>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>>
>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>>>>
>>>> 20: F=C >>B
>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >> C=B)
>>>> 25: B
>>>> 48: W
>>>>
>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
>>>> then the winner changes to B.
>>>>
>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 9:47 PM
Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR,
by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump
failure?
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
for a while.
Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
MDDTR:
Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
Equal rankings allowed.
-
Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
everyone has one.
-
The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
voters.
[end of definition]
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Chris--
You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.
- Caring about favorites:
a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
IRV:
31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A
1st round totals:
A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30
C is eliminated & transferss to A
Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
33: A
29: B
30: C
B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.
Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
- Simplicity:
What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:
Sincere:
40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B
A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
Strategic:
40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
Now B wins.
That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.
Michael Ossipoff
By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
true that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR,
by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump
failure?
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
> I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed it
> for a while.
>
> Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
>
> MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
>
> MDDTR:
>
> Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
>
> Equal rankings allowed.
>
> 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
> everyone has one.
>
> 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
> voters.
>
> [end of definition]
>
> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
>
> The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
> that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
> spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
> Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
>
> IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
> shouldn't be at least as popular.
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
>
>
> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>>
>> Chris--
>>
>> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
>> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
>> Mono-Raise failure is simpler.
>>
>> 1. Caring about favorites:
>>
>> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
>> sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
>>
>> IRV:
>>
>> 31: A
>> 2: B>A (sincere is A)
>> 29: B>C
>> 30: C>A
>>
>> 1st round totals:
>>
>> A = 31
>> B = 29 + 2 = 31
>> C = 30
>>
>> C is eliminated & transferss to A
>>
>> Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
>>
>> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
>>
>> 33: A
>> 29: B
>> 30: C
>>
>> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
>>
>> Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
>>
>> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
>> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
>> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
>> favorite-bury elected their last choice.
>>
>> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
>> Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
>> Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
>>
>> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
>> with its Mono-Raise failure
>> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
>>
>> 2. Simplicity:
>>
>> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
>> help Compromise beat Worst:
>>
>> Sincere:
>>
>> 40: C
>> 25: B>C
>> 35: A>B
>>
>> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
>> C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
>>
>> Strategic:
>>
>> 40: C
>> 25: B>C
>> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
>>
>> Now B wins.
>>
>> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
>> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
>>
>> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
>> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
>> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
>> favorite-bury.
>>
>> Michael Ossipoff
>>
>>
>> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>>
>>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>>
>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
>>>>
>>>
>>> But how so?
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
>>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
>>>> and Benham), I would say:
>>>>
>>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
>>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
>>>> incompatible), and this method economises
>>>> by not meeting mono-raise.
>>>>
>>>
>>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
>>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
>>> criteria", "could-look-bad".
>>>
>>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
>>> "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
>>> practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
>>> news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
>>>
>>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
>>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
>>> thins about those methods.
>>>
>>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>
>>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
>>>
>>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has.
>>>
>>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>
>>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
>>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
>>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
>>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
>>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
>>> nonstrategic truncation.
>>>
>>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
>>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
>>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
>>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
>>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
>>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
>>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
>>>
>>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
>>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
>>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
>>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
>>> elect hir.
>>>
>>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
>>>
>>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
>>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
>>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
>>>
>>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
>>> Mono-Add-Plump failure.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
>>>>
>>>
>>> True.
>>>
>>>
>>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
>>>> true that after the election
>>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
>>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
>>>> of course isn't
>>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
>>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
>>>> coordinated we could have
>>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
>>>> elected X."
>>>>
>>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
>>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
>>>>
>>>
>>> ...as with MDDTR.
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
>>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
>>>> should it be
>>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
>>>>
>>>
>>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
>>> higher?
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
>>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
>>>>
>>>
>>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
>>> Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
>>>
>>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
>>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
>>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
>>>
>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>
>>>>
>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
>>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>>>>
>>>> But it would have been strategically great!
>>>>
>>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>>>>
>>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning. I
>>>> show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
>>>> lose?
>>>>
>>>> If so, why?
>>>>
>>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>>>>
>>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
>>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>>>>
>>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
>>>> X, that made X lose??!"
>>>>
>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>>
>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>>
>>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>>
>>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
>>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
>>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>>>>>
>>>>> 20: F=C >>B
>>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
>>>>> C=B)
>>>>> 25: B
>>>>> 48: W
>>>>>
>>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
>>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
>>>>> then the winner changes to B.
>>>>>
>>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Mon, Nov 7, 2016 10:59 PM
In my IRV Mono-Raise failure example:
When I said:
33: A
29: B
30: C
II meant:
33: A
29: B>C
30: C>A
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:47 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR,
by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump
failure?
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed
it for a while.
Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
MDDTR:
Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
Equal rankings allowed.
-
Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
everyone has one.
-
The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
voters.
[end of definition]
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
shouldn't be at least as popular.
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Chris--
You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
Mono-Raise failure is simpler.
- Caring about favorites:
a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
IRV:
31: A
2: B>A (sincere is A)
29: B>C
30: C>A
1st round totals:
A = 31
B = 29 + 2 = 31
C = 30
C is eliminated & transferss to A
Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
33: A
29: B
30: C
B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
favorite-bury elected their last choice.
Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
with its Mono-Raise failure
& its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
- Simplicity:
What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
help Compromise beat Worst:
Sincere:
40: C
25: B>C
35: A>B
A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
Strategic:
40: C
25: B>C
35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
Now B wins.
That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
favorite-bury.
Michael Ossipoff
By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com
On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
"Someone" could say that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
and Benham), I would say:
"Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
incompatible), and this method economises
by not meeting mono-raise.
Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
criteria", "could-look-bad".
So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
"could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
thins about those methods.
Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
...the same advantages that MMPO has.
...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
nonstrategic truncation.
If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
elect hir.
So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
Mono-Add-Plump failure.
But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
, and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
true that after the election
some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
of course isn't
true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
coordinated we could have
used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
elected X."
But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
"complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
should it be
confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
higher?
What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
(though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
Michael Ossipoff
Chris Benham
Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
But it would have been strategically great!
Now, here's a question on a related topic:
Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.
I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
lose?
If so, why?
It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
X, that made X lose??!"
...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
effect would have been exacsly the same."
But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
favorable to X is the only thing that I'm doing.
So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating
Mono-Add-Plump.
Michael Ossipoff
On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham cbenham@adam.com.au wrote:
The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
"Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
20: F=C >>B
07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
C=B)
25: B
48: W
All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
then the winner changes to B.
Chris Benham
In my IRV Mono-Raise failure example:
When I said:
33: A
29: B
30: C
II meant:
33: A
29: B>C
30: C>A
Michael Ossipoff
On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:47 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
> Chris, would your IBIFA interpretation of majority further improve MDDTR,
> by keeping its FBC & CD, while avoiding the (unimportant) Mono-Add-Plump
> failure?
>
> Michael Ossipoff
>
> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:44 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> I should re-state the definition of MDDTR, because we haven't discussed
>> it for a while.
>>
>> Ii don't know who introuced MDDTR. Who introduced it?
>>
>> MDDTR stands for Majority Defeat Disqualification, Top Ratings.
>>
>> MDDTR:
>>
>> Voters can rank as many or as few candidates as they want to.
>>
>> Equal rankings allowed.
>>
>> 1. Disqualify any candidate who has a majority pairwise defeat, unless
>> everyone has one.
>>
>> 2. The winner is the un-disqualified candidate top-ranked by the most
>> voters.
>>
>> [end of definition]
>>
>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, an has wv-like stratgy.
>>
>> The cost for that is that MDDTR fails Mono-Add-Plump. I've discussed what
>> that is no worse than IRV's failure of Mono-Raise. If IRV can be popular in
>> spite of Mono-Raise failure, and its favorite-burial need, then MDDTR's
>> Mono-Add-Plump failure shouldn't have its importance & badness exaggerated.
>>
>> IRV is popular here. Then there's no reason why MDDTR couldn't or
>> shouldn't be at least as popular.
>>
>> Michael Ossipoff
>>
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 4:32 PM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> Chris--
>>>
>>> You suggested that Mono-Add-Plump failure is worse than Mono-Raise
>>> failure because people care more about their favorites, and because
>>> Mono-Raise failure is simpler.
>>>
>>> 1. Caring about favorites:
>>>
>>> a) So you're saying that Mono-Raise failure can't happen when someone
>>> sincerely moves their favorite to top?:
>>>
>>> IRV:
>>>
>>> 31: A
>>> 2: B>A (sincere is A)
>>> 29: B>C
>>> 30: C>A
>>>
>>> 1st round totals:
>>>
>>> A = 31
>>> B = 29 + 2 = 31
>>> C = 30
>>>
>>> C is eliminated & transferss to A
>>>
>>> Now A has a 61 majority and wins.
>>>
>>> But then the 2 B>A voters decide to sincerely raise A to top:
>>>
>>> 33: A
>>> 29: B
>>> 30: C
>>>
>>> B gets eliminated, and transfers to C.
>>>
>>> Now C has a 59 majority and wins.
>>>
>>> b) You care about favorite? What about when you need to rank Comprmise
>>> over favorite to keep worst from winning? We're all familiar with that. In
>>> Burlington, the Republicans didn't do that, and their failure to
>>> favorite-bury elected their last choice.
>>>
>>> Yes, this isn't a monotonicity failure, but you used caring about
>>> Favorite as an advantage of IRV's Mono-Raise failure over MDDTR's
>>> Mono-Add-Plump failure. But obviously IRV has a bigger problem for
>>> Favorite. ...the reason why IRV was repealed in Burlington.
>>>
>>> So please, let's not use caring about Favorite as a reason to prefer IRV
>>> with its Mono-Raise failure
>>> & its favorite-burial need, to MDDTR's Mono-Add Plump failure.
>>>
>>> 2. Simplicity:
>>>
>>> What could be simpler than your need, in IRV, to bury your favorite to
>>> help Compromise beat Worst:
>>>
>>> Sincere:
>>>
>>> 40: C
>>> 25: B>C
>>> 35: A>B
>>>
>>> A voters vote sincerely, and B, the CWv, gets eliminated & transfers to
>>> C. C wins because the A voters didn't favorite-bury.
>>>
>>> Strategic:
>>>
>>> 40: C
>>> 25: B>C
>>> 35: B>A (sincere is A>B)
>>>
>>> Now B wins.
>>>
>>> That's as simple as it gets. Let's not say that MDDTR's look-bad
>>> criterion-failurle is simpler than IRV's serious favorite-burial need.
>>>
>>> Yes, I'm talking about a problem that isn't a monotonicity problem. But
>>> its at least as simple as MDDTR's Mono-Add-Plump problem, and is worse
>>> because it's a practical strategy problem that makes people need to
>>> favorite-bury.
>>>
>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>
>>>
>>> By sincerely raising A to top, you made A lose.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Mon, Nov 7, 2016 at 2:48 AM, Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com
>>> > wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> On 11/7/2016 6:07 AM, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> "Someone" could *say* that, but it wouldn't make any sense.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> But how so?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Increasing the turnout is generally regarded as a good thing. If the
>>>>> method used was one of the mono-raise failing methods I like (such as IRV
>>>>> and Benham), I would say:
>>>>>
>>>>> "Unfortunately it isn't possible for voting methods to have every
>>>>> desirable property (because some of those properties are mutually
>>>>> incompatible), and this method economises
>>>>> by not meeting mono-raise.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Exactly. The more properties, important desirable ones, a method
>>>> provides, the more of a cost there is, in terms of "embarrassment
>>>> criteria", "could-look-bad".
>>>>
>>>> So it's a matter of what you're getting in terms of the
>>>> "could-look-bad", and whether that could-look-bad could be bad in a
>>>> practical way. As you suggested, MMPO's "Hitler-with-2-votes" would be bad
>>>> news, and, as you suggested, is more than a "look-bad".
>>>>
>>>> But the Mono-Raise failure of Benham, Woodall & IRV is only a
>>>> could-look-bad. It never bothered me, and never stopped me from saying good
>>>> thins about those methods.
>>>>
>>>> Likewise the lesser look-bad of MDDTR, when it fails Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>>
>>>> MDDTR meets FBC & CD, and it has wv-like strategy.
>>>>
>>>> ...the same advantages that MMPO has.
>>>>
>>>> ...at the cost of Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>>
>>>> You like IRV, Benham & Woodall. Lots of people here love IRV. I don't
>>>> reject those methods, though they aren't my main proposals, because of FBC,
>>>> and the fact that there's nothing the CWs's voters can do to protects hir
>>>> from losing, and the fact that Benham & Woodall are pairwise-count methods
>>>> very vulnerable to pairwise-count offensive strategy, and innocent,
>>>> nonstrategic truncation.
>>>>
>>>> If you aren't majority-favored, the elimination of the CWs is
>>>> disadvantages for you. But, in Bucklin, sometimes it might not be known who
>>>> the CWs is, and s/he might not defenseiveliy plump, and so s/he (& you too)
>>>> lose anyway, even though it isn't IRV. I don't know that the Bucklin
>>>> failure that I just described will be rarer than the IRV failure that I
>>>> just described. And IRV brings some big advantages for people who are
>>>> majority-favored...MMC, CD, LNHa, LNHe.
>>>>
>>>> If your candidate is big enough to eliminate the CW, then s/he's big
>>>> enough that s/he's fairly well-known, and that CW's voters would know
>>>> something about hir, and would be unlikely to reject hir & transfer the
>>>> other way when s/he's close enough to what you want that you'd prefer to
>>>> elect hir.
>>>>
>>>> So I don't reject IRV--I just don't emphasize it as a proposal.
>>>>
>>>> Anyway, as I said, lots of people here love IRV, and its Mono-Raise
>>>> failure doesn't seem to hurt its popularity. You like IRV, and its
>>>> Mono-Raise failure doesn't put you off from it. I agree with you on that.
>>>>
>>>> And, for the same reason, we needn't & shouldn't be put off by MDDTR's
>>>> Mono-Add-Plump failure.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But generally speaking people care most about their favourites
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> True.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> , and IRV meets not only mono-add-plump but also mono-add-top. It's
>>>>> true that after the election
>>>>> some of losing candidate X's supporters could complain "If we hadn't
>>>>> top-ranked X, then X would have won" but that is unlikely to be noticed and
>>>>> of course isn't
>>>>> true of all (or anything like all) of X's supporters. So the X
>>>>> supporters as a whole could complain "If we had been well informed and
>>>>> coordinated we could have
>>>>> used a mixed strategy (with not all of us voting the same way) and
>>>>> elected X."
>>>>>
>>>>> But if voters accept the method as fair and legitimate then that
>>>>> "complaint" won't be taken seriously or get much sympathy.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ...as with MDDTR.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Just as no quasi-intelligent device should be so "stupid" as to be
>>>>> confused by the very simple and spectacular MMPO failure example, neither
>>>>> should it be
>>>>> confused by the very very simple mono-add-plump scenario.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ...or the fact that in IRV you can make someone lose by ranking them
>>>> higher?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> What (arguably) desirable properties (or criterion compliances) are
>>>>> incompatible with meeting Mono-add-Plump?
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> FBC, CD, & wv-like strategy are evidently require failing
>>>> Mono-Add-Plump, or having MMPO's Hitler-with-2-votes problem.
>>>>
>>>> With MDDTR, the price of FBC, CD & wv-like strategy is Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>> That's a very small price, arguably less than IRV's Mono-Raise failure
>>>> (though I note that you mentioned that Mono-Add-Plump is about a favorite).
>>>>
>>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Ok, thanks, Chris, for settling that matter. I guess we have to
>>>>> reluctantly give up Conditional Bucklin.
>>>>>
>>>>> But it would have been strategically great!
>>>>>
>>>>> Now, here's a question on a related topic:
>>>>>
>>>>> Say I arrive at the polling-place late. Before I arrive X is winning.
>>>>> I show up & plump for X, and that causes X to lose.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> ...is that worse than if I raise X in my ranking, and that causes X to
>>>>> lose?
>>>>>
>>>>> If so, why?
>>>>>
>>>>> It seems to me that the latter is worse than the former.
>>>>>
>>>>> I if show up late and plump for X, I'm doing two things: I'm adding a
>>>>> ballot, and I'm voting that ballot in a way that clearly should favor X.
>>>>>
>>>>> If i angrily complain, "Hey, how come, when I arrived and plumped for
>>>>> X, that made X lose??!"
>>>>>
>>>>> ...someone could say. "You didn't just favor X. You added a ballot,
>>>>> thereby spoiling a majority. It has nothing to do with the fact that you
>>>>> voted for X. You could have plumped for any of various candidates, and the
>>>>> effect would have been exacsly the same."
>>>>>
>>>>> But you can't say anything like that to to explain why X lost when I
>>>>> raised hir in my ranking. In that instance, making the ballot-set more
>>>>> favorable to X is the _only_ thing that I'm doing.
>>>>>
>>>>> So plainly violating Mono-Raise is worse than violating
>>>>> Mono-Add-Plump.
>>>>>
>>>>> Michael Ossipoff
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Sun, Nov 6, 2016 at 10:27 AM, C.Benham <cbenham@adam.com.au> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> The example I just posted of "IBIFA with an anti-defection device"
>>>>>> failing FBC I'm afraid also works for both Mike's suggested
>>>>>> "Conditional Bucklin" and Forest's suggested "TopMiddleBottom".
>>>>>>
>>>>>> 20: F=C >>B
>>>>>> 07: F > C=B (or, for the sake of Forest's method suggestion, F >>
>>>>>> C=B)
>>>>>> 25: B
>>>>>> 48: W
>>>>>>
>>>>>> All three of these methods elect W, but if the 20 F=C >> B voters
>>>>>> change their rating of F from Top to Middle or Bottom
>>>>>> then the winner changes to B.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>
>