MG
Michael Garman
Wed, Apr 10, 2024 11:38 PM
Oh, I guess it’s about anthropogenic global-warming.
So close! I was talking about her vaccine skepticism.
I hadn’t heard about that. But I can accept a policy that I disagree with
if it’s part of a platform that I otherwise like.
Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the
ballot in all states.
She didn’t qualify for the ballot here in Rhode Island.
What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein
Her promotion of questionable — to pick a charitable word — scientific
claims.
Oh, I guess it’s about anthropogenic global-warming.
As an example, I'd much prefer a situation where Biden had a
Democratic opponent listed separately on the ballot that I could rate
higher.
Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the
ballot in all states.
…& should also be, with whatever voting-system.
Right now, I'm not happy with any of the candidates in the race
What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein, Marianne Williamson
(candidate for the Democrat-nomination), or the Greens’ platform, or
Williamson’s platform?
on a simple left-right scale I'm close to Biden, but I'm not exactly
enthusiastic about an 82-year old president.
But you’re enthusiastic about what Biden has been doing during recent
months?
Though I'm sure as hell not supporting any other candidate in the
You sure as hell aren’t supporting a Progressive !!!
) With STAR, every voter has at least two candidates they consider
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote
for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves
with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary &
(somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the
consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions
might insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
count-fraud security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
(automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
according to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad.
It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a
serious issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and
RCV only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which
requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which
is as powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass
the Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler
Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant
Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy
the Equal Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague
and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose
Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
favourite). If the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader
and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The
Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has
said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more
vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In
that case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure
your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying
on you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then
you might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on
their favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their
votes supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
(more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with
STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in
the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I
refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are
of Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
Fair enough.
On Thu, Apr 11, 2024 at 1:35 AM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 16:33 Michael Garman <
> michael.garman@rankthevote.us> wrote:
>
>> >> Oh, I guess it’s about anthropogenic global-warming.
>>
>> So close! I was talking about her vaccine skepticism.
>>
>
> I hadn’t heard about that. But I can accept a policy that I disagree with
> if it’s part of a platform that I otherwise like.
>
>>
>> Michael J. Garman | he/him
>>
>> Digital & Campus Organizer | Rank the Vote
>>
>> Book a meeting with me! <https://calendly.com/michael-j-garman>
>>
>> (401) 644-4108 | michael.garman@rankthevote.us
>>
>>
>> On Thu, Apr 11, 2024 at 1:13 AM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 15:10 Michael Garman <
>>> michael.garman@rankthevote.us> wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>> >> Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the
>>>> ballot in all states.
>>>>
>>>> She didn’t qualify for the ballot here in Rhode Island.
>>>>
>>>> >> What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein
>>>>
>>>> Her stance on Ukraine.
>>>>
>>>> >> Marianne Williamson
>>>>
>>>> Her promotion of questionable — to pick a charitable word — scientific
>>>> claims.
>>>>
>>>
>>> Oh, I guess it’s about anthropogenic global-warming.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Thu, Apr 11, 2024 at 12:05 AM Michael Ossipoff <
>>>> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 13:55 Closed Limelike Curves <
>>>>> closed.limelike.curves@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>> As an example, I'd much prefer a situation where Biden had a
>>>>>> Democratic opponent listed separately on the ballot that I could rate
>>>>>> higher.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the
>>>>> ballot in all states.
>>>>>
>>>>> …& should also be, with whatever voting-system.
>>>>>
>>>>> Right now, I'm not happy with any of the candidates in the race
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein, Marianne Williamson
>>>>> (candidate for the Democrat-nomination), or the Greens’ platform, or
>>>>> Williamson’s platform?
>>>>>
>>>>> on a simple left-right scale I'm close to Biden, but I'm not exactly
>>>>>> enthusiastic about an 82-year old president.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But you’re enthusiastic about what Biden has been doing during recent
>>>>> months?
>>>>>
>>>>> Though I'm sure as hell not supporting any other candidate in the
>>>>>> race...
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> You sure as hell aren’t supporting a Progressive !!!
>>>>>
>>>>> ) With STAR, every voter has at least two candidates they consider
>>>>>> tolerable.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 12:36 PM Michael Ossipoff <
>>>>>> email9648742@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> [quote]
>>>>>>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote
>>>>>>> for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>>>>>>> [/quote]
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> The right use of Score:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
>>>>>>> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
>>>>>>> intermediate point-rating.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>>>>>>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>>>>>>> unarbitrariness.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves
>>>>>>> with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary &
>>>>>>> (somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the
>>>>>>> consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>>>>>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> More complicated, yes.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions
>>>>>>> might insist on one.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> …likewise Score.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>>>>>>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>>>>>>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
>>>>>>> count-fraud security.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
>>>>>>>> Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>>>>>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>>>>>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>>>>>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
>>>>>>>> (automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>>>>>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>>>>>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>>>>>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
>>>>>>>> according to CLC here).
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad.
>>>>>>>> It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>>>>>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>>>>>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>>>>>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>>>>>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>>>>>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a
>>>>>>>> serious issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and
>>>>>>>> RCV only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
>>>>>>>> election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>>>>>>>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
>>>>>>>> individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
>>>>>>>> show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
>>>>>>>> which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>>>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>>>>>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>>>>>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>>>>>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>>>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which
>>>>>>>> requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which
>>>>>>>> is as powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass
>>>>>>>> the Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>>>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler
>>>>>>>> Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>>>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant
>>>>>>>> Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy
>>>>>>>> the Equal Vote Criterion.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague
>>>>>>>> and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
>>>>>>>> Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> 49 Bush
>>>>>>>> 24 Gore
>>>>>>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose
>>>>>>>> Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>>>>>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
>>>>>>>> favourite). If the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader
>>>>>>>> and
>>>>>>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>>>>>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The
>>>>>>>> Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has
>>>>>>>> said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more
>>>>>>>> vulnerable
>>>>>>>> to Push-over.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In
>>>>>>>> that case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure
>>>>>>>> your
>>>>>>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying
>>>>>>>> on you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then
>>>>>>>> you might
>>>>>>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on
>>>>>>>> their favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their
>>>>>>>> votes supporting
>>>>>>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
>>>>>>>> (more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with
>>>>>>>> STAR.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>>>>>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>>>>>>> fails FBC.
>>>>>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>>>>>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> -
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
>>>>>>>> incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>>>>>> -
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
>>>>>>>> worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>>>>>> -
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in
>>>>>>>> the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I
>>>>>>>> refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are
>>>>>>>> of Hare.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>>>>>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Chris
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> ----
>>>>>>> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for
>>>>>>> list info
>>>>>>>
>>>>>> ----
>>>>> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for
>>>>> list info
>>>>>
>>>>
CL
Closed Limelike Curves
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 12:05 AM
Michael—my point was less about the actual candidates on the ballot and
more about the goal of ensuring each party has two candidates on the
ballot. This ensures no candidate can be shoved into office by a party
machine, despite being clearly unfit for the job. (If nothing else, what if
a candidate dies or has to drop out?)
You can motivate running candidates in pairs even further by naming the
second-place finisher (runoff loser) as the designated successor (who
completes the first-place finisher's term if they leave office).
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 3:02 PM Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
As an example, I'd much prefer a situation where Biden had a Democratic
opponent listed separately on the ballot that I could rate higher.
Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the ballot
in all states.
…& should also be, with whatever voting-system.
Right now, I'm not happy with any of the candidates in the race
What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein, Marianne Williamson
(candidate for the Democrat-nomination), or the Greens’ platform, or
Williamson’s platform?
on a simple left-right scale I'm close to Biden, but I'm not exactly
enthusiastic about an 82-year old president.
But you’re enthusiastic about what Biden has been doing during recent
months?
Though I'm sure as hell not supporting any other candidate in the race...
You sure as hell aren’t supporting a Progressive !!!
) With STAR, every voter has at least two candidates they consider
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV
only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
(and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
Michael—my point was less about the actual candidates on the ballot and
more about the goal of ensuring each party has two candidates on the
ballot. This ensures no candidate can be shoved into office by a party
machine, despite being clearly unfit for the job. (If nothing else, what if
a candidate dies or has to drop out?)
You can motivate running candidates in pairs even further by naming the
second-place finisher (runoff loser) as the designated successor (who
completes the first-place finisher's term if they leave office).
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 3:02 PM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 13:55 Closed Limelike Curves <
> closed.limelike.curves@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
> As an example, I'd much prefer a situation where Biden had a Democratic
>> opponent listed separately on the ballot that I could rate higher.
>>
>
> Marianne Williamson is a genuine Progressive, & (I hope) in on the ballot
> in all states.
>
> …& should also be, with whatever voting-system.
>
> Right now, I'm not happy with any of the candidates in the race
>>
>
> What are you unhappy about, regarding Jill Stein, Marianne Williamson
> (candidate for the Democrat-nomination), or the Greens’ platform, or
> Williamson’s platform?
>
> on a simple left-right scale I'm close to Biden, but I'm not exactly
>> enthusiastic about an 82-year old president.
>>
>
> But you’re enthusiastic about what Biden has been doing during recent
> months?
>
> Though I'm sure as hell not supporting any other candidate in the race...
>>
>
> You sure as hell aren’t supporting a Progressive !!!
>
> ) With STAR, every voter has at least two candidates they consider
>> tolerable.
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 12:36 PM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> [quote]
>>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
>>> the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>>> [/quote]
>>>
>>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>>
>>> The right use of Score:
>>>
>>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>>
>>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
>>> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
>>> intermediate point-rating.
>>>
>>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>>
>>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>>> unarbitrariness.
>>>
>>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
>>> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
>>> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
>>> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>>
>>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>>
>>> More complicated, yes.
>>>
>>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
>>> insist on one.
>>>
>>> …likewise Score.
>>>
>>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>>
>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>
>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>
>>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
>>> security.
>>>
>>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>>
>>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
>>>> Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>>
>>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
>>>> in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
>>>> to CLC here).
>>>>
>>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>>>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>>
>>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>>
>>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>>
>>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>>
>>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>>
>>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
>>>> issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV
>>>> only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
>>>> election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>>
>>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>>>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
>>>> individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
>>>> show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
>>>> which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>>
>>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>>>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>>>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>>>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>>>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>>
>>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>>>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>>>> Vote Criterion.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>>>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>>
>>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
>>>> (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>>
>>>> 49 Bush
>>>> 24 Gore
>>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>>
>>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>>
>>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>>>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
>>>> the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>>
>>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>>>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>>
>>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
>>>> be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>>>> to Push-over.
>>>>
>>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>>>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
>>>> you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>>>> might
>>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>>
>>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>>>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>>>> supporting
>>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
>>>> likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>>>
>>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>>> fails FBC.
>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>>
>>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>>
>>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>>
>>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
>>>> case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>>>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>>>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>>>> Hare.
>>>>
>>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>>
>>>> Chris
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> ----
>>> Election-Methods mailing list - see https://electorama.com/em for list
>>> info
>>>
>>
CB
Chris Benham
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 1:04 AM
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves
with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary &
(somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the
consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication,
including the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
count-fraud security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
(automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
according to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very
bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where
the third candidate is actually competitive,vote-splitting
remains a serious issue
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and RCV only
offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each
candidate individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when
voters are able to show equal preference, vote-splitting can be
eliminated. All voting methods which do this pass theEqual Vote
Criterion <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
<https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method criterion
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a
vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by any other voter.
Voting methods which pass the Equal Vote Criterion do not
exhibitvote-splitting
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the "Spoiler
Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast anequally weighted
vote <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant
Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not
satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague
and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose
Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
favourite). If the method was Approval they could have approved
both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The
Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has
said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is
much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In
that case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you
are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying
on you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4
stars then you might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on
their favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e.
with their votes supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
(more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the
case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because
STAR badly fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential
to empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care
about.
*
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
*
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
*
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in
the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I
refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than
they are of Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
Michael wrote:
> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>
> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
*Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible*.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
> [quote]
> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
> the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
> [/quote]
>
> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>
> The right use of Score:
>
> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>
> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
> intermediate point-rating.
>
> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>
> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
>
> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves
> with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary &
> (somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the
> consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
>
> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
> complicated and less fair.
>
> More complicated, yes.
>
> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
> insist on one.
>
> …likewise Score.
>
> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication,
> including the loss of FBC compliance.
>
> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>
> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>
> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
> count-fraud security.
>
> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>
> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>
>
>
> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
> Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>
> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
> (automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
> according to CLC here).
>
> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very
> bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
> motivated by three priorities:
>
> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>
> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>
> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>
> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>
>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where
>> the third candidate is actually competitive,vote-splitting
>> remains a serious issue
>> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and RCV only
>> offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
>> election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>
>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each
>> candidate individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when
>> voters are able to show equal preference, vote-splitting can be
>> eliminated. All voting methods which do this pass theEqual Vote
>> Criterion <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
>> including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>
> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>> The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method criterion
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
>> requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a
>> vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by any other voter.
>> Voting methods which pass the Equal Vote Criterion do not
>> exhibitvote-splitting
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the "Spoiler
>> Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast anequally weighted
>> vote <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant
>> Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not
>> satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
>
> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague
> and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>
> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
> Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>
> 49 Bush
> 24 Gore
> 27 Nader>Gore
>
> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>
> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose
> Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
> favourite). If the method was Approval they could have approved
> both Nader and
> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>
> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The
> Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>
> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has
> said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is
> much more vulnerable
> to Push-over.
>
> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In
> that case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you
> are sure your
> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying
> on you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4
> stars then you might
> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>
> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on
> their favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e.
> with their votes supporting
> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
> (more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the
> case with STAR.
>
> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because
> STAR badly fails FBC.
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>
> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>
>>
>> Why STAR Voting?
>>
>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential
>> to empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care
>> about.
>>
>> *
>>
>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
>> incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>
>> *
>>
>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
>> worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>
>> *
>>
>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in
>> the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>
>
> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I
> refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than
> they are of Hare.
>
> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
> Condorcet methods.
>
> Chris
>
>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 1:26 AM
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's ok
not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest that
complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more complicated
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep thinkers,
the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of preference
has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third candidate
is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious issue
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV only offers
a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election with
Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR Voting
https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
(and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
> Michael wrote:
>
> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>
> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>
>
> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
> trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>
> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
> STAR.
>
> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>
> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
> favourite as low as possible*.
>
Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>
> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
> common sense because STAR is obviously
> so silly and arbitrary.
>
See above.
>
>
> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
> the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
> Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>
> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's ok
> not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest that
> complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>
>
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
>
> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
> [quote]
> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
> sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
> [/quote]
>
> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>
> The right use of Score:
>
> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>
> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
> deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
> point-rating.
>
> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>
> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
>
> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>
> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more complicated
>> and less fair.
>>
> More complicated, yes.
>
> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
> insist on one.
>
> …likewise Score.
>
> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
> the loss of FBC compliance.
>
> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>
> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>
> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
> security.
>
> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>
> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>
>
>>
>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
>> Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>
>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
>> the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
>> to CLC here).
>>
>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>> motivated by three priorities:
>>
>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>
>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>
>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep thinkers,
>> the method be as bad as possible.
>>
>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>
>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of preference
>> has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third candidate
>> is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious issue
>> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV only offers
>> a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election with
>> Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>
>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
>> As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
>> when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
>> preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
>> this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR Voting
>> <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>
>>
>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>
>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>
>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>> Vote Criterion.
>>
>>
>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>
>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
>> (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>
>> 49 Bush
>> 24 Gore
>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>
>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>
>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
>> the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>
>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>
>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
>> be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>> to Push-over.
>>
>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
>> favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>> might
>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>
>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>> supporting
>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
>> likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>
>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>> fails FBC.
>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>
>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>
>> Why STAR Voting?
>>
>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>
>> -
>>
>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>> -
>>
>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
>> case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>> -
>>
>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>
>>
>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>> Hare.
>>
>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>> Condorcet methods.
>>
>> Chris
>>
>>
>>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 1:42 AM
Or is the problem of that an acceptable runoff-loser knocking the
acceptable runoff-winner out of the runoff there in STAR too? That hadn’t
occurred to me. If it’s so, it’s another pitfall of STAR’s runoff.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:26 Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV only
offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election
with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
(and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
Or is the problem of that an acceptable runoff-loser knocking the
acceptable runoff-winner out of the runoff there in STAR too? That hadn’t
occurred to me. If it’s so, it’s another pitfall of STAR’s runoff.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:26 Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
>> Michael wrote:
>>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>>
>> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
>> trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>>
>
> I said “some”, not “all”.
>
> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>
> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
> to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
> acceptables.
>
> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>
>
>
>>
>> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
>> STAR.
>>
>> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>>
>> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
>> favourite as low as possible*.
>>
>
> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
> like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
> Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>
> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>
>>
>> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
>> common sense because STAR is obviously
>> so silly and arbitrary.
>>
>
> See above.
>
>>
>>
>> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
>> the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
>> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
>> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
>> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
>> Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>>
>> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
>> ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
>> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
>> that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>>
>>
>>
>> Chris Benham
>>
>>
>> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>>
>> [quote]
>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
>> sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>> [/quote]
>>
>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>
>> The right use of Score:
>>
>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>
>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
>> deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
>> point-rating.
>>
>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>
>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
>>
>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
>> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
>> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
>> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>
>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>
>> More complicated, yes.
>>
>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
>> insist on one.
>>
>> …likewise Score.
>>
>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
>> security.
>>
>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>
>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>
>>
>>>
>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
>>> Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>
>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
>>> the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
>>> to CLC here).
>>>
>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>
>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>
>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>
>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>
>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>
>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
>>> issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV only
>>> offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election
>>> with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>
>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
>>> As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
>>> when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
>>> preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
>>> this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>
>>>
>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>
>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>
>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>>> Vote Criterion.
>>>
>>>
>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>
>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
>>> (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>
>>> 49 Bush
>>> 24 Gore
>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>
>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>
>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
>>> the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>
>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>
>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
>>> be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>>> to Push-over.
>>>
>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
>>> favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>>> might
>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>
>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>>> supporting
>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
>>> likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>>
>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>> fails FBC.
>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>
>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>
>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>
>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
>>> case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>
>>>
>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>>> Hare.
>>>
>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>
>>> Chris
>>>
>>>
>>>
CB
Chris Benham
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 2:59 AM
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
Because STAR is much more vulnerable to Pushover than Hare, that may not
always be the best strategy. You might do better
to give max or near-max to an an unacceptable (or more than one) that
won't pairwise beat the anticipated acceptable
finalist.
And/or you may do better to give one or more of the acceptables zero so
as to keep them out of the final where they will lose to
unacceptable.
You are torn between trying to get two acceptables into the final versus
trying to get the acceptable versus unacceptable
match-up that will most likely result in the acceptable winning. And if
you are trying to do the latter you are torn between giving
max to a turkey unacceptable (to maximise his/her chance of making it
into the final) and giving near-max (to maximise the chance
that the turkey doesn't win in the final).
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of
your acceptables.
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no
known clear front-runners and the supporters of the candidates you deem
acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others and benefit from the
method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
candidate you
would in FPP.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is
much lower.
Chris
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation.
STAR trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of
your acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the
horror of STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
*Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their
sincere favourite as low as possible*.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I
don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject
runoff with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence
or common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
See above.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable
Vote with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions)
and Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties".
It's ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some
criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to
suggest that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham
<cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote
for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval,
by an intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to
give someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for
themselves with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some
arbitrary & (somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule &
count. …with the consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being
more complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions
might insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication,
including the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
count-fraud security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it
meets Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the
winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much
more likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not
unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is
wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
(automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit
more accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
according to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and
very bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have
been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless
way, apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by
not-so-deep thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order
of preference has been lauded as a solution, but in
elections where the third candidate is actually
competitive,vote-splitting remains a serious issue
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and RCV
only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary
and general election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on
each candidate individually, when all ballot data is
counted, and when voters are able to show equal preference,
vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which
do this pass theEqual Vote Criterion
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
<https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method
criterion
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may
cast a vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by any other
voter. Voting methods which pass the Equal Vote Criterion do
not exhibitvote-splitting
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the "Spoiler
Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast anequally
weighted vote
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and
Instant Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice
Voting) do not satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very
vague and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative
about Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters
whose Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use
the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
favourite). If the method was Approval they could have
approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote
their sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare.
The Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy
has said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But
STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two.
In that case then you have incentive to give every candidate
that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are
relying on you favourite winning the runoff without your
help, but if 4 stars then you might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the
final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely
on their favourite winning the runoff against their own
votes, i.e. with their votes supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more
risky (more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate
than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the
Favorite Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and
misleading, because STAR badly fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the
potential to empower us to be more effective on every other
issue we care about.
*
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
*
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent
your worst case scenario.
<https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
*
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties
are in the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but
I refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of
STAR than they are of Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all
the Condorcet methods.
Chris
>
> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
Because STAR is much more vulnerable to Pushover than Hare, that may not
always be the best strategy. You might do better
to give max or near-max to an an unacceptable (or more than one) that
won't pairwise beat the anticipated acceptable
finalist.
And/or you may do better to give one or more of the acceptables zero so
as to keep them out of the final where they will lose to
unacceptable.
You are torn between trying to get two acceptables into the final versus
trying to get the acceptable versus unacceptable
match-up that will most likely result in the acceptable winning. And if
you are trying to do the latter you are torn between giving
max to a turkey unacceptable (to maximise his/her chance of making it
into the final) and giving near-max (to maximise the chance
that the turkey doesn't win in the final).
> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of
> your acceptables.
>
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no
known clear front-runners and the supporters of the candidates you deem
acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others and benefit from the
method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
candidate you
would in FPP.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is
much lower.
Chris
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
> Michael wrote:
>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>
> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation.
> STAR trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>
>
> I said “some”, not “all”.
>
> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>
> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of
> your acceptables.
>
> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>
>
>
>
> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the
> horror of STAR.
>
> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>
> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their
> sincere favourite as low as possible*.
>
>
> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I
> don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject
> runoff with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>
> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>
>
> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence
> or common sense because STAR is obviously
> so silly and arbitrary.
>
>
> See above.
>
>
>
> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable
> Vote with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions)
> and Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>
> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties".
> It's ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some
> criterion
> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to
> suggest that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>
>
>
> Chris Benham
>
>
> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham
>> <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>>
>> [quote]
>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote
>> for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>> [/quote]
>>
>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>
>> The right use of Score:
>>
>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>
>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
>> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval,
>> by an intermediate point-rating.
>>
>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to
>> give someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>
>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>> unarbitrariness.
>>
>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for
>> themselves with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some
>> arbitrary & (somewhat or greatly) complicated definition, rule &
>> count. …with the consequent expense & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>
>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being
>> more complicated and less fair.
>>
>> More complicated, yes.
>>
>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions
>> might insist on one.
>>
>> …likewise Score.
>>
>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication,
>> including the loss of FBC compliance.
>>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
>> count-fraud security.
>>
>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>
>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>
>>
>>
>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it
>> meets Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the
>> winner
>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much
>> more likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not
>> unrelatedly,
>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is
>> wonderful.
>>
>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff
>> (automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit
>> more accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
>> according to CLC here).
>>
>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and
>> very bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have
>> been
>> motivated by three priorities:
>>
>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>
>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless
>> way, apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>
>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by
>> not-so-deep thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>
>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>
>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order
>>> of preference has been lauded as a solution, but in
>>> elections where the third candidate is actually
>>> competitive,vote-splitting remains a serious issue
>>> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and RCV
>>> only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary
>>> and general election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>
>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on
>>> each candidate individually, when all ballot data is
>>> counted, and when voters are able to show equal preference,
>>> vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which
>>> do this pass theEqual Vote Criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
>>> including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>
>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>> The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method
>>> criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
>>> requires that a voting method ensure that every voter may
>>> cast a vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by any other
>>> voter. Voting methods which pass the Equal Vote Criterion do
>>> not exhibitvote-splitting
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the "Spoiler
>>> Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast anequally
>>> weighted vote
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and
>>> Instant Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice
>>> Voting) do not satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
>>
>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very
>> vague and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>
>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative
>> about Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>
>> 49 Bush
>> 24 Gore
>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>
>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>
>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters
>> whose Gore> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use
>> the Compromise
>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
>> favourite). If the method was Approval they could have
>> approved both Nader and
>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote
>> their sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>
>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare.
>> The Nader voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>
>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy
>> has said to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But
>> STAR is much more vulnerable
>> to Push-over.
>>
>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two.
>> In that case then you have incentive to give every candidate
>> that you are sure your
>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are
>> relying on you favourite winning the runoff without your
>> help, but if 4 stars then you might
>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the
>> final.
>>
>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely
>> on their favourite winning the runoff against their own
>> votes, i.e. with their votes supporting
>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more
>> risky (more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate
>> than is the case with STAR.
>>
>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the
>> Favorite Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and
>> misleading, because STAR badly fails FBC.
>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>
>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>
>>>
>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>
>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the
>>> potential to empower us to be more effective on every other
>>> issue we care about.
>>>
>>> *
>>>
>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not
>>> incentivized. <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>
>>> *
>>>
>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent
>>> your worst case scenario.
>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>
>>> *
>>>
>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties
>>> are in the race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>
>>
>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but
>> I refute the suggestion that these claims are more true of
>> STAR than they are of Hare.
>>
>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all
>> the Condorcet methods.
>>
>> Chris
>>
>>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 5:55 AM
You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
candidates too.
But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
most non wv Condorcet.)
So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
…& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no known
clear front-runners
If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would work
fine.
and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
(admittedly worse in VF1.).
But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a complex
count & its consequences.
and benefit from the method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
candidate you
would in FPP.
Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR nightmare.
Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much lower.
Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
insecurity & vulnerability.
You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
which I’ve just now voted.
I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
simpler than RP.
Michael
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV only
offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election
with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
(and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
candidates too.
But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
most non wv Condorcet.)
So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
…& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
> to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
> acceptables.
>
>
> It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no known
> clear front-runners
>
If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would work
fine.
>
and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
> fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
> not.
>
> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
> set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
(admittedly worse in VF1.).
But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a complex
count & its consequences.
and benefit from the method's compliance with
> Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
> voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
> candidate you
> would in FPP.
>
Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
>
>
> Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR nightmare.
> Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much lower.
>
> Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
insecurity & vulnerability.
You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
which I’ve just now voted.
I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
simpler than RP.
>
>
> Michael
>
> On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
>> Michael wrote:
>>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>>
>> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
>> trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>>
>
> I said “some”, not “all”.
>
> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>
> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying & hoping
> to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
> acceptables.
>
> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>
>
>
>>
>> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
>> STAR.
>>
>> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>>
>> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
>> favourite as low as possible*.
>>
>
> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
> like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
> Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>
> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>
>>
>> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
>> common sense because STAR is obviously
>> so silly and arbitrary.
>>
>
> See above.
>
>>
>>
>> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote with
>> the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
>> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
>> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
>> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
>> Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>>
>> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
>> ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
>> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
>> that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>>
>>
>>
>> Chris Benham
>>
>>
>> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>>
>> [quote]
>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for the
>> sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>> [/quote]
>>
>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>
>> The right use of Score:
>>
>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>
>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a candidate
>> deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an intermediate
>> point-rating.
>>
>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>
>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique unarbitrariness.
>>
>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
>> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
>> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
>> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>
>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>
>> More complicated, yes.
>>
>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
>> insist on one.
>>
>> …likewise Score.
>>
>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>
>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>
>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
>> security.
>>
>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>
>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>
>>
>>>
>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
>>> Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>
>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated in
>>> the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
>>> to CLC here).
>>>
>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>
>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>
>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>
>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>
>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>
>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
>>> issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV only
>>> offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general election
>>> with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>
>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent vote-splitting.
>>> As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate individually,
>>> when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to show equal
>>> preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods which do
>>> this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>
>>>
>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>
>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>
>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>>> Vote Criterion.
>>>
>>>
>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>
>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
>>> (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>
>>> 49 Bush
>>> 24 Gore
>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>
>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>
>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
>>> the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>
>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>
>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
>>> be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>>> to Push-over.
>>>
>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on you
>>> favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>>> might
>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>
>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>>> supporting
>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
>>> likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>>
>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>> fails FBC.
>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>
>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>
>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>
>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
>>> case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>> -
>>>
>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>
>>>
>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>>> Hare.
>>>
>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>
>>> Chris
>>>
>>>
>>>
CB
Chris Benham
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 6:29 AM
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican.
That must be a very tight squeeze.
But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the
same set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
candidate will win.
Chris
On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
candidates too.
But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if
there might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred
burial with most non wv Condorcet.)
So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
…& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying
& hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of
some of your acceptables.
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are
no known clear front-runners
If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
work fine.
and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and
which are not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the
same set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
(admittedly worse in VF1.).
But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a
complex count & its consequences.
and benefit from the method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist
on voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same
Compromise candidate you
would in FPP.
Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare
is much lower.
Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
insecurity & vulnerability.
You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I
don’t propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our
poll, in which I’ve just now voted.
I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on
one. I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted
something even simpler than RP.
Michael
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham
<cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and
Participation. STAR trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to
the acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying
& hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of
some of your acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the
horror of STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
*Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote
their sincere favourite as low as possible*.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too,
I don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely
reject runoff with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any
intelligence or common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
See above.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single
Non-Transferable Vote with the Single Transferable Vote,
keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser,
Later-no-Harm and Later-no-Help but losing Participation and
Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid
Coalitions) and Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of
properties". It's ok not to like it if you are a
fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to
suggest that complete garbage like STAR is in some way
preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham
<cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my
vote for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or
not a candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial
approval, by an intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way
to give someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for
themselves with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use
some arbitrary & (somewhat or greatly) complicated
definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense &
count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while
being more complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some
jurisdictions might insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great
strategy-complication, including the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
count-fraud security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it
meets Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP
the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be
much more likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and
not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is
wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two
Runoff (automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make
STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a
bit more accurate", brings it into compliance with
Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient".
("Sky-high" according to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different
and very bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR
must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely
useless way, apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by
not-so-deep thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in
order of preference has been lauded as a solution, but
in elections where the third candidate is actually
competitive,vote-splitting remains a serious issue
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and
RCV only offers a marginal improvement compared to a
primary and general election with Choose-One Plurality
voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively
prevent vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters
can weigh in on each candidate individually, when all
ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
show equal preference, vote-splitting can be
eliminated. All voting methods which do this pass
theEqual Vote Criterion
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
<https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method
criterion
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
requires that a voting method ensure that every voter
may cast a vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by
any other voter. Voting methods which pass the Equal
Vote Criterion do not exhibitvote-splitting
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the
"Spoiler Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast
anequally weighted vote
<https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and
Instant Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked
Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this
very vague and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare)
certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get
negative about Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader
voters whose Gore> Bush preference was strong had
incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
favourite). If the method was Approval they could have
approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to
vote their sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than
Hare. The Nader voters would have incentive to give
Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over
strategy has said to be a result of it's failure of
Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final
two. In that case then you have incentive to give every
candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are
relying on you favourite winning the runoff without your
help, but if 4 stars then you might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into
the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists
rely on their favourite winning the runoff against their
own votes, i.e. with their votes supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much
more risky (more likely to backfire) and difficult to
coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on
the Favorite Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and
misleading, because STAR badly fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the
potential to empower us to be more effective on every
other issue we care about.
*
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is
not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
*
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps
prevent your worst case scenario.
<https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
*
Highly accurate, no matter how many
candidates/parties are in the race.
<https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to
mean, but I refute the suggestion that these claims are
more true of STAR than they are of Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and
all the Condorcet methods.
Chris
> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
> favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>
> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
> Republican.
That must be a very tight squeeze.
> But Approval favors the voter-median.
That is what I meant.
>
> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
> voter-median, which is Progressive.
I hope you are right.
> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the
> same set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>
> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
candidate will win.
Chris
On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
> You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
> candidates too.
>
> But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if
> there might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred
> burial with most non wv Condorcet.)
>
> So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
>
> …& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
> vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
>
> So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
>
> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
> favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>
> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
> Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
>
> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
> voter-median, which is Progressive.
>
> As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
> voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying
>> & hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of
>> some of your acceptables.
>>
> It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are
> no known clear front-runners
>
>
>
> If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
> work fine.
>
>
> and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
> fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and
> which are not.
>
> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the
> same set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>
>
> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
>
> But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
> (admittedly worse in VF1.).
>
> But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a
> complex count & its consequences.
>
>
> and benefit from the method's compliance with
> Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist
> on voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same
> Compromise candidate you
> would in FPP.
>
>
> Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
>
>
>
> Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
> nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare
> is much lower.
>
> Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
> including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
>
> But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
> insecurity & vulnerability.
>
> You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I
> don’t propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our
> poll, in which I’ve just now voted.
>
> I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on
> one. I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted
> something even simpler than RP.
>
>
>
> Michael
>
> On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham
>> <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>>
>> Michael wrote:
>>
>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>
>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>
>> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and
>> Participation. STAR trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>>
>>
>> I said “some”, not “all”.
>>
>> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to
>> the acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>>
>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying
>> & hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of
>> some of your acceptables.
>>
>> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the
>> horror of STAR.
>>
>> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>>
>> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote
>> their sincere favourite as low as possible*.
>>
>>
>> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too,
>> I don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely
>> reject runoff with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>>
>> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>>
>>
>> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any
>> intelligence or common sense because STAR is obviously
>> so silly and arbitrary.
>>
>>
>> See above.
>>
>>
>>
>> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single
>> Non-Transferable Vote with the Single Transferable Vote,
>> keeping compliance
>> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser,
>> Later-no-Harm and Later-no-Help but losing Participation and
>> Mono-Raise to gain
>> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid
>> Coalitions) and Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>>
>> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of
>> properties". It's ok not to like it if you are a
>> fundamentalist about some criterion
>> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to
>> suggest that complete garbage like STAR is in some way
>> preferable.
>>
>>
>>
>> Chris Benham
>>
>>
>> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham
>>> <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>>>
>>> [quote]
>>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my
>>> vote for the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>>> [/quote]
>>>
>>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>>
>>> The right use of Score:
>>>
>>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>>
>>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or
>>> not a candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial
>>> approval, by an intermediate point-rating.
>>>
>>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way
>>> to give someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>>
>>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>>> unarbitrariness.
>>>
>>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for
>>> themselves with the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use
>>> some arbitrary & (somewhat or greatly) complicated
>>> definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense &
>>> count-fraud vulnerability.
>>>
>>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while
>>> being more complicated and less fair.
>>>
>>> More complicated, yes.
>>>
>>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some
>>> jurisdictions might insist on one.
>>>
>>> …likewise Score.
>>>
>>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great
>>> strategy-complication, including the loss of FBC compliance.
>>>
>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>
>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>
>>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better
>>> count-fraud security.
>>>
>>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>>
>>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it
>>> meets Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP
>>> the winner
>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be
>>> much more likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and
>>> not unrelatedly,
>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is
>>> wonderful.
>>>
>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two
>>> Runoff (automated in the case of STAR) to Score (to make
>>> STAR) is just
>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a
>>> bit more accurate", brings it into compliance with
>>> Condorcet Loser
>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient".
>>> ("Sky-high" according to CLC here).
>>>
>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different
>>> and very bad. It seems to me that the inventors of STAR
>>> must have been
>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>
>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>
>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely
>>> useless way, apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>
>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by
>>> not-so-deep thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>
>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>
>>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in
>>>> order of preference has been lauded as a solution, but
>>>> in elections where the third candidate is actually
>>>> competitive,vote-splitting remains a serious issue
>>>> <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s>and
>>>> RCV only offers a marginal improvement compared to a
>>>> primary and general election with Choose-One Plurality
>>>> voting.
>>>
>>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively
>>>> prevent vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters
>>>> can weigh in on each candidate individually, when all
>>>> ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
>>>> show equal preference, vote-splitting can be
>>>> eliminated. All voting methods which do this pass
>>>> theEqual Vote Criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>,
>>>> including STAR Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>
>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>> The Equal Vote Criterion orEquality Criterion
>>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote>is avoting method
>>>> criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion>which
>>>> requires that a voting method ensure that every voter
>>>> may cast a vote which is as powerful as a vote cast by
>>>> any other voter. Voting methods which pass the Equal
>>>> Vote Criterion do not exhibitvote-splitting
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting>or the
>>>> "Spoiler Effect," ensuring that every vote can cast
>>>> anequally weighted vote
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and
>>>> Instant Runoff Voting (often referred to as Ranked
>>>> Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal Vote Criterion.
>>>
>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this
>>> very vague and confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare)
>>> certainly does.
>>>
>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get
>>> negative about Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>
>>> 49 Bush
>>> 24 Gore
>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>
>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>
>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader
>>> voters whose Gore> Bush preference was strong had
>>> incentive to use the Compromise
>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere
>>> favourite). If the method was Approval they could have
>>> approved both Nader and
>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to
>>> vote their sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>
>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than
>>> Hare. The Nader voters would have incentive to give
>>> Nader zero points.
>>>
>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over
>>> strategy has said to be a result of it's failure of
>>> Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>>> to Push-over.
>>>
>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final
>>> two. In that case then you have incentive to give every
>>> candidate that you are sure your
>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are
>>> relying on you favourite winning the runoff without your
>>> help, but if 4 stars then you might
>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into
>>> the final.
>>>
>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists
>>> rely on their favourite winning the runoff against their
>>> own votes, i.e. with their votes supporting
>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much
>>> more risky (more likely to backfire) and difficult to
>>> coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>>
>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on
>>> the Favorite Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and
>>> misleading, because STAR badly fails FBC.
>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>
>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>
>>>>
>>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>>
>>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the
>>>> potential to empower us to be more effective on every
>>>> other issue we care about.
>>>>
>>>> *
>>>>
>>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is
>>>> not incentivized.
>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>>
>>>> *
>>>>
>>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps
>>>> prevent your worst case scenario.
>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>>
>>>> *
>>>>
>>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many
>>>> candidates/parties are in the race.
>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>>
>>>
>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to
>>> mean, but I refute the suggestion that these claims are
>>> more true of STAR than they are of Hare.
>>>
>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and
>>> all the Condorcet methods.
>>>
>>> Chris
>>>
>>>
MO
Michael Ossipoff
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 7:12 AM
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican.
That must be a very tight squeeze.
But Approval favors the voter-median.
That is what I meant.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
I hope you are right.
But progressives can’t seem to let go of their awful lesser-evil.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
…if they can count on eachother’s solidarity. I used to point that out,
when I was defending Hare. But some supporters of the more distant
candidates you like might transfer the other way if they get eliminated.
A mutual-majority are safe, but there isn’t always mutuality…& that’s when
sincerity is regretted.
Probably one progressive’s voters will transfer to another progressive.
But, when there are unacceptables, then “probably” isn’t good enough. One
should maximally protect the acceptables. …often that requires
favorite-burial.
I’ve seen the sincerity-regret in the only IRV poll that I observed. It
illustrated that their use of IRV was a mistake. You lose the CW because
you ranked sincerely. Not good.
They should have used RP(wv). (In case there might be a natural
circular-tie, RP is better than MinMax.)
I like Hare for Pizza toppings & movies. Not for public political elections
or polls.
IRV isn’t Hare. It’s FairVote Hare. Their dishonest promotion makes it
effectively a different method.
And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
candidate will win.
Yes, a lot of voters are making a big mistake. Lesser-evil giveaway-suckers.
Yes, some regard evil as acceptable if it’s “lesser”.
There was a novel called I’ve been down so long, it looks like up to me.
Sad.
The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
Michael
On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
candidates too.
But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
most non wv Condorcet.)
So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
…& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au wrote:
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no known
clear front-runners
If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
work fine.
and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
(admittedly worse in VF1.).
But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a complex
count & its consequences.
and benefit from the method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
candidate you
would in FPP.
Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR nightmare.
Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much lower.
Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
insecurity & vulnerability.
You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
which I’ve just now voted.
I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
simpler than RP.
Michael
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV
only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
(and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 23:29 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
> centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>
> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
> Republican.
>
>
> That must be a very tight squeeze.
>
:-D
>
> But Approval favors the voter-median.
>
>
> That is what I meant.
>
>
> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
> voter-median, which is Progressive.
>
>
>
> I hope you are right.
>
But progressives can’t seem to let go of their awful lesser-evil.
>
>
> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
> set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>
> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
>
>
> I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
> can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
>
…if they can count on eachother’s solidarity. I used to point that out,
when I was defending Hare. But some supporters of the more distant
candidates you like might transfer the other way if they get eliminated.
A mutual-majority are safe, but there isn’t always mutuality…& that’s when
sincerity is regretted.
Probably one progressive’s voters will transfer to another progressive.
But, when there are unacceptables, then “probably” isn’t good enough. One
should *maximally* protect the acceptables. …often that requires
favorite-burial.
I’ve seen the sincerity-regret in the only IRV poll that I observed. It
illustrated that their use of IRV was a mistake. You lose the CW because
you ranked sincerely. Not good.
They should have used RP(wv). (In case there might be a natural
circular-tie, RP is better than MinMax.)
I like Hare for Pizza toppings & movies. Not for public political elections
or polls.
IRV isn’t Hare. It’s *FairVote* Hare. Their dishonest promotion makes it
effectively a different method.
> And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
> other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
> candidate will win.
>
Yes, a lot of voters are making a big mistake. Lesser-evil giveaway-suckers.
Yes, some regard evil as acceptable if it’s “lesser”.
There was a novel called _I’ve been down so long, it looks like up to me_.
Sad.
The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
>
>
> Michael
> On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>
>
> You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
> candidates too.
>
> But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
> might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
> most non wv Condorcet.)
>
> So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
>
> …& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
> vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
>
> So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
>
> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to favor
> centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>
> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
> Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
>
> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
> voter-median, which is Progressive.
>
> As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
> voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
>> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
>> acceptables.
>>
>>
>> It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no known
>> clear front-runners
>>
>
>
> If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
> work fine.
>
>>
> and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
>> fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
>> not.
>>
>> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
>> set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>>
>
> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
>
> But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
> (admittedly worse in VF1.).
>
> But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a complex
> count & its consequences.
>
>
> and benefit from the method's compliance with
>> Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
>> voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
>> candidate you
>> would in FPP.
>>
>
> Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
>
>>
>>
>> Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR nightmare.
>> Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much lower.
>>
> Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
> including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
>
> But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
> insecurity & vulnerability.
>
> You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
> propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
> which I’ve just now voted.
>
> I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
> I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
> simpler than RP.
>
>>
>>
>> Michael
>>
>> On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> Michael wrote:
>>>
>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>
>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>
>>>
>>> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
>>> trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>>>
>>
>> I said “some”, not “all”.
>>
>> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
>> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>>
>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
>> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
>> acceptables.
>>
>> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
>>> STAR.
>>>
>>> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>>>
>>> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
>>> favourite as low as possible*.
>>>
>>
>> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I don’t
>> like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff with
>> Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>>
>> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>>
>>>
>>> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
>>> common sense because STAR is obviously
>>> so silly and arbitrary.
>>>
>>
>> See above.
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
>>> with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
>>> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
>>> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
>>> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
>>> Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>>>
>>> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
>>> ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
>>> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
>>> that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Chris Benham
>>>
>>>
>>> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>> [quote]
>>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
>>> the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>>> [/quote]
>>>
>>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>>
>>> The right use of Score:
>>>
>>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>>
>>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
>>> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
>>> intermediate point-rating.
>>>
>>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>>
>>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>>> unarbitrariness.
>>>
>>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
>>> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
>>> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
>>> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>>
>>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>>
>>> More complicated, yes.
>>>
>>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
>>> insist on one.
>>>
>>> …likewise Score.
>>>
>>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>>
>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>
>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>
>>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
>>> security.
>>>
>>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>>
>>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets Favorite
>>>> Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>>
>>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
>>>> in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high" according
>>>> to CLC here).
>>>>
>>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>>>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>>
>>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>>
>>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>>
>>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>>
>>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>>
>>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
>>>> issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV
>>>> only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
>>>> election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>>
>>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>>>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
>>>> individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
>>>> show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
>>>> which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>>
>>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>>>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>>>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>>>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>>>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>>
>>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>>>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>>>> Vote Criterion.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>>>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>>
>>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about Hare
>>>> (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>>
>>>> 49 Bush
>>>> 24 Gore
>>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>>
>>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>>
>>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>>>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite). If
>>>> the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>>
>>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>>>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>>
>>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said to
>>>> be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more vulnerable
>>>> to Push-over.
>>>>
>>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>>>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
>>>> you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>>>> might
>>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>>
>>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>>>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>>>> supporting
>>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky (more
>>>> likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with STAR.
>>>>
>>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>>> fails FBC.
>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>>
>>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>>
>>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>>
>>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your worst
>>>> case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>> -
>>>>
>>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>>>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>>>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>>>> Hare.
>>>>
>>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>>
>>>> Chris
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
MG
Michael Garman
Thu, Apr 11, 2024 7:19 AM
The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
You say pessimism; I say realism. If only two objectionable candidates are
viable, it’s only natural to pick the less objectionable one.
On Thu, Apr 11, 2024 at 9:12 AM Michael Ossipoff email9648742@gmail.com
wrote:
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican.
That must be a very tight squeeze.
But Approval favors the voter-median.
That is what I meant.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
I hope you are right.
But progressives can’t seem to let go of their awful lesser-evil.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
…if they can count on eachother’s solidarity. I used to point that out,
when I was defending Hare. But some supporters of the more distant
candidates you like might transfer the other way if they get eliminated.
A mutual-majority are safe, but there isn’t always mutuality…& that’s when
sincerity is regretted.
Probably one progressive’s voters will transfer to another progressive.
But, when there are unacceptables, then “probably” isn’t good enough. One
should maximally protect the acceptables. …often that requires
favorite-burial.
I’ve seen the sincerity-regret in the only IRV poll that I observed. It
illustrated that their use of IRV was a mistake. You lose the CW because
you ranked sincerely. Not good.
They should have used RP(wv). (In case there might be a natural
circular-tie, RP is better than MinMax.)
I like Hare for Pizza toppings & movies. Not for public political
elections or polls.
IRV isn’t Hare. It’s FairVote Hare. Their dishonest promotion makes it
effectively a different method.
And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
candidate will win.
Yes, a lot of voters are making a big mistake. Lesser-evil
giveaway-suckers.
Yes, some regard evil as acceptable if it’s “lesser”.
There was a novel called I’ve been down so long, it looks like up to me.
Sad.
The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
candidates too.
But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
most non wv Condorcet.)
So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
…& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
voter-median, which is Progressive.
As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no
known clear front-runners
If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
work fine.
and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
not.
Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
set of acceptable candidates above all the others
If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
(admittedly worse in VF1.).
But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a
complex count & its consequences.
and benefit from the method's compliance with
Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
candidate you
would in FPP.
Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much
lower.
Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
insecurity & vulnerability.
You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
which I’ve just now voted.
I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
simpler than RP.
Michael
On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
Michael wrote:
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
I said “some”, not “all”.
e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
acceptables.
Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
STAR.
The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
favourite as low as possible.
Yes,, & isn’t that true with any runoff? It occurred to me too, I
don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff
with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
common sense because STAR is obviously
so silly and arbitrary.
Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
Chris Benham
On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au
wrote:
[quote]
Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
[/quote]
If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
The right use of Score:
Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
…with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
intermediate point-rating.
Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
unarbitrariness.
Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
& count-fraud vulnerability.
So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
complicated and less fair.
More complicated, yes.
I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
insist on one.
…likewise Score.
It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
the loss of FBC compliance.
But STAR is better than Hare because:
It retains some amount Score’s merit.
It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
security.
It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
according to CLC here).
But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
motivated by three priorities:
(1) the method isn't Hare,
(2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
(3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
issue https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s and RCV
only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion, including STAR
Voting https://www.starvoting.us/star,...
The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote is a voting method criterion
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion which requires
that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting or the "Spoiler Effect,"
ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote.
Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
Vote Criterion.
This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
49 Bush
24 Gore
27 Nader>Gore
Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite).
If the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
sincere favorite below equal-top.
But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
"Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said
to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more
vulnerable
to Push-over.
Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
might
fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
supporting
the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
(more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with
STAR.
The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
fails FBC.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
From https://www.starvoting.org/
Why STAR Voting?
Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
-
Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
<https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
-
Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
-
Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
Hare.
In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
Condorcet methods.
Chris
> The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
You say pessimism; I say realism. If only two objectionable candidates are
viable, it’s only natural to pick the less objectionable one.
On Thu, Apr 11, 2024 at 9:12 AM Michael Ossipoff <email9648742@gmail.com>
wrote:
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 23:29 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>
>>
>> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
>> favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>>
>> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
>> Republican.
>>
>>
>> That must be a very tight squeeze.
>>
>
> :-D
>
>
>>
>> But Approval favors the voter-median.
>>
>>
>> That is what I meant.
>>
>>
>> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
>> voter-median, which is Progressive.
>>
>>
>>
>> I hope you are right.
>>
>
> But progressives can’t seem to let go of their awful lesser-evil.
>
>>
>>
>> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
>> set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>>
>> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
>> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
>>
>>
>> I didn't say "candidate" singular, I said "set of candidates" that they
>> can vote together above all others, in whatever order they like.
>>
>
> …if they can count on eachother’s solidarity. I used to point that out,
> when I was defending Hare. But some supporters of the more distant
> candidates you like might transfer the other way if they get eliminated.
>
> A mutual-majority are safe, but there isn’t always mutuality…& that’s when
> sincerity is regretted.
>
> Probably one progressive’s voters will transfer to another progressive.
> But, when there are unacceptables, then “probably” isn’t good enough. One
> should *maximally* protect the acceptables. …often that requires
> favorite-burial.
>
> I’ve seen the sincerity-regret in the only IRV poll that I observed. It
> illustrated that their use of IRV was a mistake. You lose the CW because
> you ranked sincerely. Not good.
>
> They should have used RP(wv). (In case there might be a natural
> circular-tie, RP is better than MinMax.)
>
> I like Hare for Pizza toppings & movies. Not for public political
> elections or polls.
>
> IRV isn’t Hare. It’s *FairVote* Hare. Their dishonest promotion makes it
> effectively a different method.
>
>
>
>> And a lot of voters are interested in doing other things with their vote
>> other than just maximising the chance that an "acceptable"
>> candidate will win.
>>
>
> Yes, a lot of voters are making a big mistake. Lesser-evil
> giveaway-suckers.
>
> Yes, some regard evil as acceptable if it’s “lesser”.
>
> There was a novel called _I’ve been down so long, it looks like up to me_.
>
> Sad.
>
> The pessimism of lesser-evil voters is astounding.
>
>>
>>
>> Michael
>>
> On 11/04/2024 3:25 pm, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>
>>
>> You’re right—The runoff messes up STAR’s strategy with unacceptable
>> candidates too.
>>
>> But IRV shares the problem. I most non-wv Condorcet have it too, if there
>> might be successful burial (& there might easily be undeterred burial with
>> most non wv Condorcet.)
>>
>> So it isn’t a problem of only STAR.
>>
>> …& the ranked-methods have their completely prohibitive count-fraud
>> vulnerability problem, due to their complex count.
>>
>> So I ranked STAR over the ranked methods.
>>
>> Different topic: In a different post, you said that Approval tend to
>> favor centrists. FairVote says that, but it isn’t true.
>>
>> In this country, Centrist are candidates between the Democrat & the
>> Republican. But Approval favors the voter-median.
>>
>> The Democrats & Republicans are a very, very long way from the
>> voter-median, which is Progressive.
>>
>> As I keep saying, Approval’s Myerson-Weber equilibrium is at the
>> voter-median. Approval will soon home-in on the CW.
>>
>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 19:59 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
>>> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
>>> acceptables.
>>>
>>>
>>> It sounds like you are talking about a situation where there are no
>>> known clear front-runners
>>>
>>
>>
>> If we knew who the frontrunners are, VF1 (Vote-For-1, Plurality) would
>> work fine.
>>
>>>
>> and the supporters of the candidates you deem acceptable don't
>>> fully agree with you about which candidates are acceptable and which are
>>> not.
>>>
>>> Because if they do agree with you then they will all just vote the same
>>> set of acceptable candidates above all the others
>>>
>>
>> If all progressives had that kind of information, which candidate to
>> combine on, then VF1 would work fine.
>>
>> But yes, IRV & VF1 are alike in that way, sharing the same problem
>> (admittedly worse in VF1.).
>>
>> But who wants that problem? …especially when paying the price of a
>> complex count & its consequences.
>>
>>
>> and benefit from the method's compliance with
>>> Clone-Winner. And if there are known front-runners and you insist on
>>> voting super-safe then I suppose you can top-rank the same Compromise
>>> candidate you
>>> would in FPP.
>>>
>>
>> Exactly ! Favorite-burial defensive-strategy, in both methods.
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Not a big burden to lose sleep over and nothing like the STAR
>>> nightmare. Overall the strategic risk of voting sincerely in Hare is much
>>> lower.
>>>
>> Star’s runoff brings big strategy-problems, as do many other methods,
>> including IRV & margins Condorcet, etc.
>>
>> But at least it doesn’t share ranked-methods’ prohibitive count-fraud
>> insecurity & vulnerability.
>>
>> You know…the lesser of two evils. Well, I don’t choose evils, & I don’t
>> propose STAR. But I ranked it over the ranked-methods, in our poll, in
>> which I’ve just now voted.
>>
>> I wouldn’t propose a ranked method unless a jurisdiction insisted on one.
>> I’d then offer RP(wv), or maybe MinMax(wv), if they wanted something even
>> simpler than RP.
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Michael
>>>
>>> On 11/04/2024 10:56 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Wed, Apr 10, 2024 at 18:04 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Michael wrote:
>>>>
>>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>>
>>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> No it doesn't. Score meets Favorite Betrayal and Participation. STAR
>>>> trashes those just for Condorcet Loser.
>>>>
>>>
>>> I said “some”, not “all”.
>>>
>>> e.g. If there are unacceptable candidates, then just give max to the
>>> acceptables, & zero to the unacceptables.
>>>
>>> IRV? Try to rank the acceptables in order of winnability. …trying &
>>> hoping to match the ranking-order of the other preferrers of some of your
>>> acceptables.
>>>
>>> Questionable guesswork. An intractable strategic morass.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>> I could even make up a new criterion just to encapsulate the horror of
>>>> STAR.
>>>>
>>>> The Favourite Ultra-Betrayal Criterion:
>>>>
>>>> *Voters should never have any strategic incentive to vote their sincere
>>>> favourite as low as possible*.
>>>>
>>>
>>> Yes,, & isn’t that true with *any* runoff? It occurred to me too, I
>>> don’t like it. I much prefer Score to STAR. … completely reject runoff
>>> with Approval. …unless a jurisdiction insists on it.
>>>
>>> I much prefer Approval to Score, for minimalness & unarbitrariness.
>>>
>>>>
>>>> Hare should be much easier to sell to anyone with any intelligence or
>>>> common sense because STAR is obviously
>>>> so silly and arbitrary.
>>>>
>>>
>>> See above.
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Where as Hare just seeks to replace the Single Non-Transferable Vote
>>>> with the Single Transferable Vote, keeping compliance
>>>> with Plurality, Dominant Candidate, Clone-Loser, Later-no-Harm and
>>>> Later-no-Help but losing Participation and Mono-Raise to gain
>>>> Dominant Coalition (and therefore Majority for Solid Coalitions) and
>>>> Dominant Mutual Third and Clone-Winner.
>>>>
>>>> It has what Woodall referred to as a "maximal set of properties". It's
>>>> ok not to like it if you are a fundamentalist about some criterion
>>>> compliance it doesn't have (like Condorcet or FBC) but not to suggest
>>>> that complete garbage like STAR is in some way preferable.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Chris Benham
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On 11/04/2024 5:04 am, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Tue, Apr 9, 2024 at 17:31 Chris Benham <cbenhamau@yahoo.com.au>
>>>> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> [quote]
>>>> Score is Approval with a "I wish to weaken the effect of my vote for
>>>> the sake of being more sincere/expressive" box/button.
>>>> [/quote]
>>>>
>>>> If that’s how you want to vote in Score, then suit yourself.
>>>>
>>>> The right use of Score:
>>>>
>>>> Use only min & max ratings. i.e. Use Score as Approval.
>>>>
>>>> …with the difference that, when it’s uncertain whether or not a
>>>> candidate deserves approval, you can give hir partial approval, by an
>>>> intermediate point-rating.
>>>>
>>>> Nice, sometimes convenient, because, otherwise, the only way to give
>>>> someone partial approval would be probabilistically.
>>>>
>>>> But Score loses Approval’s absolute minimalness, & unique
>>>> unarbitrariness.
>>>>
>>>> Much better to let the voters deal with such things for themselves with
>>>> the absolutely minimal handtool, than to use some arbitrary & (somewhat or
>>>> greatly) complicated definition, rule & count. …with the consequent expense
>>>> & count-fraud vulnerability.
>>>>
>>>> So it is strategically equivalent to Approval while being more
>>>>> complicated and less fair.
>>>>>
>>>> More complicated, yes.
>>>>
>>>> I strongly oppose a runoff for Approval, but some jurisdictions might
>>>> insist on one.
>>>>
>>>> …likewise Score.
>>>>
>>>> It’s true that it somewhat increases Condorcet-efficiency &
>>>> Social-Utility (SU), but it brings great strategy-complication, including
>>>> the loss of FBC compliance.
>>>>
>>>> But STAR is better than Hare because:
>>>>
>>>> It retains some amount Score’s merit.
>>>>
>>>> It’s much, much simpler than Hare, resulting in much better count-fraud
>>>> security.
>>>>
>>>> It’s much less expensive to administer & implement than Hare.
>>>>
>>>> It’s much simpler to describe its workings when proposing it.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> And Approval has a quite good reputation here because it meets
>>>>> Favorite Betrayal (aka FBC) and compared with FPP the winner
>>>>> will strongly tend to have higher social utility and be much more
>>>>> likely a sincere Condorcet winner. Also, and not unrelatedly,
>>>>> it has a bias toward centrists that some people think is wonderful.
>>>>>
>>>>> But some people seem to think that adding a Top-Two Runoff (automated
>>>>> in the case of STAR) to Score (to make STAR) is just
>>>>> a harmless little gimmick that just makes the method "a bit more
>>>>> accurate", brings it into compliance with Condorcet Loser
>>>>> and so must make it more "Condorcet efficient". ("Sky-high"
>>>>> according to CLC here).
>>>>>
>>>>> But actually it makes the method profoundly different and very bad. It
>>>>> seems to me that the inventors of STAR must have been
>>>>> motivated by three priorities:
>>>>>
>>>>> (1) the method isn't Hare,
>>>>>
>>>>> (2) the method, in a purely technical and completely useless way,
>>>>> apparently meets Mono-raise (aka Monotonicity).
>>>>>
>>>>> (3) subject to being saleable to and understood by not-so-deep
>>>>> thinkers, the method be as bad as possible.
>>>>>
>>>>> From the "equal-vote" website: https://www.equal.vote/
>>>>>
>>>>> Ranked Choice Voting, where voters rank candidates in order of
>>>>> preference has been lauded as a solution, but in elections where the third
>>>>> candidate is actually competitive, vote-splitting remains a serious
>>>>> issue <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhO6jfHPFQU&t=169s> and RCV
>>>>> only offers a marginal improvement compared to a primary and general
>>>>> election with Choose-One Plurality voting.
>>>>>
>>>>> Luckily, many voting methods are can effectively prevent
>>>>> vote-splitting. As it turns out, when voters can weigh in on each candidate
>>>>> individually, when all ballot data is counted, and when voters are able to
>>>>> show equal preference, vote-splitting can be eliminated. All voting methods
>>>>> which do this pass the Equal Vote Criterion
>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion>, including STAR
>>>>> Voting <https://www.starvoting.us/star>,...
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The "Equal Vote Criterion" is just propaganda nonsense:
>>>>> https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equal_Vote_Criterion
>>>>>
>>>>> The Equal Vote Criterion or Equality Criterion
>>>>> <https://www.equal.vote/theequalvote> is a voting method criterion
>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Voting_system_criterion> which requires
>>>>> that a voting method ensure that every voter may cast a vote which is as
>>>>> powerful as a vote cast by any other voter. Voting methods which pass the
>>>>> Equal Vote Criterion do not exhibit vote-splitting
>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Vote-splitting> or the "Spoiler Effect,"
>>>>> ensuring that every vote can cast an equally weighted vote
>>>>> <https://electowiki.org/wiki/Equally_Weighted_Vote>.
>>>>>
>>>>> Choose-One Plurality Voting (First Past the Post) and Instant Runoff
>>>>> Voting (often referred to as Ranked Choice Voting) do not satisfy the Equal
>>>>> Vote Criterion.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> This is just dishonest blather. If anything meets this very vague and
>>>>> confused "criterion" IRV (aka Hare) certainly does.
>>>>>
>>>>> The classic scenario that motivated some people get negative about
>>>>> Hare (and also methods like Min-Max Margins):
>>>>>
>>>>> 49 Bush
>>>>> 24 Gore
>>>>> 27 Nader>Gore
>>>>>
>>>>> Gore>Bush 51-49, Bush>Nader 49-27, Nader>Gore 27-24.
>>>>>
>>>>> Hare eliminates Gore and elects Bush, so the Nader voters whose Gore>
>>>>> Bush preference was strong had incentive to use the Compromise
>>>>> strategy and vote Gore>Nader ("betraying" their sincere favourite).
>>>>> If the method was Approval they could have approved both Nader and
>>>>> Gore, preventing the election of Bush without having to vote their
>>>>> sincere favorite below equal-top.
>>>>>
>>>>> But in this type of scenario STAR does no better than Hare. The Nader
>>>>> voters would have incentive to give Nader zero points.
>>>>>
>>>>> "Traditionally" Hare's vulnerability to Push-over strategy has said
>>>>> to be a result of it's failure of Mono-raise. But STAR is much more
>>>>> vulnerable
>>>>> to Push-over.
>>>>>
>>>>> Say you are sure that your favourite will make the final two. In that
>>>>> case then you have incentive to give every candidate that you are sure your
>>>>> favourite can beat 4 or 5 stars. If 5 stars then you are relying on
>>>>> you favourite winning the runoff without your help, but if 4 stars then you
>>>>> might
>>>>> fail to get one of the predicted sure-loser turkeys into the final.
>>>>>
>>>>> In a Hare Push-over strategy scenario, the strategists rely on their
>>>>> favourite winning the runoff against their own votes, i.e. with their votes
>>>>> supporting
>>>>> the turkey against their favourite. This makes it much more risky
>>>>> (more likely to backfire) and difficult to coordinate than is the case with
>>>>> STAR.
>>>>>
>>>>> The equal-vote site has a link to a quite ok video on the Favorite
>>>>> Betrayal Criterion. I find that weird and misleading, because STAR badly
>>>>> fails FBC.
>>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtKAScORevQ
>>>>>
>>>>> From https://www.starvoting.org/
>>>>>
>>>>> Why STAR Voting?
>>>>>
>>>>> Voting reform is the keystone. A single cause with the potential to
>>>>> empower us to be more effective on every other issue we care about.
>>>>>
>>>>> -
>>>>>
>>>>> Honesty is the best strategy. Strategic voting is not incentivized.
>>>>> <https://www.starvoting.org/strategic_voting>
>>>>> -
>>>>>
>>>>> Even if your favorite can’t win, your vote helps prevent your
>>>>> worst case scenario. <https://www.starvoting.org/how_to_vote>
>>>>> -
>>>>>
>>>>> Highly accurate, no matter how many candidates/parties are in the
>>>>> race. <https://www.starvoting.org/accuracy>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> I'm not sure exactly what "accurate" is supposed to mean, but I refute
>>>>> the suggestion that these claims are more true of STAR than they are of
>>>>> Hare.
>>>>>
>>>>> In the poll I will vote STAR below Hare and Approval and all the
>>>>> Condorcet methods.
>>>>>
>>>>> Chris
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> ----
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